Future study Management: 114 (114)

Open Access Article

1 - The Role of Virtual Social Networks in Self-Regulatory Learning Strategies and Student Future Student's Student's Development
Somayeh bakhshi Parikhani Sadeq Hamedi Nasab Hadi Pourshafei

Background: Today, paying attention to the predictive role of using virtual social networks among students is significant. Objectives: This research studies the role of virtual social networks in self-regulation learning strategies and the development of students' futur More

Background: Today, paying attention to the predictive role of using virtual social networks among students is significant. Objectives: This research studies the role of virtual social networks in self-regulation learning strategies and the development of students' futures research potential at Kharazmi University in Tehran. Method: The research method is descriptive and correlational. The statistical population is all students of Kharazmi University who were studying in the academic year 1995-96. 356 students were selected by stratified random sampling as sample size. Data gathering tool was a questionnaire including social networking tools such as Shi, Leo, Yang, Lee and Kei (2014), Pingtjyr Self-Regulatory Learning Strategies (1990) and Persa's Future Learning Questionnaire (2011). The reliability of the tools was confirmed by Cronbach's alpha coefficient and their validity was verified by confirmatory factor analysis and correlation between the components. Finding: The amount of using virtual social networks by students on the components of self-regulation learning strategies with beta coefficient of 0.75 and significance level of 0.05 showed that this hypothesis was confirmed. According to the results of the second hypothesis, the beta coefficient for the ability to calculate, conceptual understanding, and futuristic morale is equal to 0.68, 0.72 and 0.44, so that everyone is at a significant level of 0.05 and this assumption is also confirmed. Not be Conclusion: The results of this study showed that students in using virtual social networks have higher scores in self-regulation learning strategies, motivational beliefs, ability to calculate, conceptual understanding and future spirit. Manuscript profile

Open Access Article

2 - Studying the concepts and basics of back-casting and comparing it with forecasting and visioning
معصومه کاظمی حسن gH نفیسه کاظمی اعظم BA

One of the most important goals of future study is to develop knowledge and to conceive a complicated set of possible futures and, as a result, paving the ground to create and to expand the best guidelines to face with confronting challenges. As a result, active and pro More

One of the most important goals of future study is to develop knowledge and to conceive a complicated set of possible futures and, as a result, paving the ground to create and to expand the best guidelines to face with confronting challenges. As a result, active and provocative decision making is ideal under such circumstances. Due to its normative nature and its emphasis on desired futures and considering uncertain conditions, back-casting is one of the best approaches to confront such challenges. Present study is conducted to investigate this approach on growing future study field. In this research, back-casting emergence trend, types of back-casting, steps of back-casting and its functionality are explained and this approach is contemplated. Also, forecasting and visioning methods are briefly reviewed and, ultimately, back-casting is compared with forecasting format as a contrary approach by considering a philosophical view against lack of justification, uncertainty against determinism and teleology against causality. It is also compared with visioning to open a window to conceive differences between back-casting and other techniques as guidance in using such techniques in practice Manuscript profile

Open Access Article

3 - Defining the policy lock in of the sector of renewable energy sector in Iran
tahereh miremadi zohreh Rahimirad

Context: Environmental degradation and climate change is one of the human security threats at the international and national level. However, there is no appropriate policy response regarding this problem at the national policy context. This is a policy lock-in in the se More

Context: Environmental degradation and climate change is one of the human security threats at the international and national level. However, there is no appropriate policy response regarding this problem at the national policy context. This is a policy lock-in in the sector of renewable energies in Iran. Aim: The aim of the paper is to determine why this policy lock in exists and how to mitigate it. Methodology: The research uses the post structuralist approach of Sohail Inayatullah and combines it with the methodology of meta-analysis to build a model of four layers of causal relations. Finding: The Neoclassical economics is the least analytical approach to deal with the environmental challenges. The systemic approach is relatively more complex and the MLP is the most comprehensive approach to analyze the causes of policy lock in of Iranian renewable energy sector. Conclusion: To analysis the policy lock in Iranian renewable energy sector, there are three sets of causal relationship which can presents three parts of policy mix prescription. Manuscript profile

Open Access Article

4 - An Analysis of the Energy Consumption Status in the Framework of Future Study Case Study: Tabriz City
Abolfazl Ghanbari Musa Vaezi Zahra Amjadi

Background: The increasing importance of energy resources in the formation and growth of economic processes, as well as the need to exploit these resources, based on environmental considerations and sustainable economic and social development, highlights the issue of id More

Background: The increasing importance of energy resources in the formation and growth of economic processes, as well as the need to exploit these resources, based on environmental considerations and sustainable economic and social development, highlights the issue of identifying and Future Study of the factors affecting energy consumption. Objective: The present research studies the status of energy consumption in Tabriz city in the framework of Foresight. Methods: This research is applied and descriptive-analytic. The Delphi method and the group of experts have been used to identify the factors affecting energy consumption. After analyzing the factors, 40 factors were identified and selected as influential factors. Using MICMAC software, the interactive effects analysis method has been identified. Finally, out of 40 factors, 16 main factors were selected as effective key proponents. Findings: Based on the data included in the questionnaire and the Wizard scenario software analysis, there are five strong scenarios, of which two scenarios are desirable conditions, a scenario of critical conditions, and two other scenarios of intermediate conditions. 13 scenarios with high adaptability and 292 poor scenarios. Initial studies of 13 scenarios show that the relative relativity of undesirable numbers is favorable on desired conditions. Apart from a few limited scenarios that have the characteristics that are desirable and progressing, the rest of the scenarios do not have a good future. Conclusion: The main result of this research is that the future energy consumption situation in Tabriz will continue to be a continuation of the current situation with an unfavorable and unfavorable situation. Manuscript profile

Open Access Article

5 - Designing a Model for Total Branding in Organizations which Hold Non-Academic Educational Events
Sepehr Tarverdian ahmad Roosta Kambiz Heydarzadeh Mohammad Rahim Esfidani

The aim of this study was to designing a model for total branding in organizations which hold non-academic educational events. To achieve the research goal, the mixed method research was used which consists of two qualitative and quantitative parts. In the qualitative s More

The aim of this study was to designing a model for total branding in organizations which hold non-academic educational events. To achieve the research goal, the mixed method research was used which consists of two qualitative and quantitative parts. In the qualitative section of the research, an interviewing tool was used and and qualitative data was gatherd by interwing from educational experts. Then, using Grounded theory, the data was analyzed. Total branding model in the Non-Academic Educational Events including specific factors (competence, originality, professionalism, event advantage, total services, strategic attitude and knowledge workers) general effective factors (marketing, communications, hardware and software, financial resources and sponsors) background conditions (social conditions, economic conditions, political conditions, new technologies) Intervener factors (sanctions, unexpected events, permits) and consequences (satisfaction, survival, success, supremacy and social support) based on the main phenomenon of comprehensive branding and personal dimensions, the product and branding company. Then, this model was tested using the structural equation model. 407 from managers, assistant director and experts from companies and non-university training institutes participated in the research. Using the structural equation model, the relationships between the model variables were analyzed and evaluated and the results were reported.results of fit indices indicated that the research data have a suitable fitness model with the factor structure. Manuscript profile

Open Access Article

6 - The Role of Intellectual Capital on promoting the Performance of Knowledge-Based Companies with Futures studies approach: A Qualitative Study
Masoumeh Mohammadabadi Kiumars Niazazari negin jabbary

Futures Studies is the knowledge of intelligent analysis, design and establishment of future, an effort which analyzes resources and patterns to visualize the future and plan for it. The most important function of future studies is to create an image of the future to im More

Futures Studies is the knowledge of intelligent analysis, design and establishment of future, an effort which analyzes resources and patterns to visualize the future and plan for it. The most important function of future studies is to create an image of the future to improve it. Knowledge-based companies, as the most tangible method of commercialization of the results of high tech research and producing a high added value, require a concept to provide a picture of the future for improvement and performance enhancements. As a result, the purpose of this study was to investigate the effect of intellectual capital on promoting the performance of knowledge-based companies with a Futures studies approach. Conducting the research with a qualitative method, for the in-depth study of the concepts concerned, the method of studying the documents and examining theoretical foundations as well as semi-structured interviews were used. Participants, 15 experts and specialists well-known in the knowledge-based companies of North Khorasan in the year 97 which were selected using purposeful sampling and snowball method to theoretical saturation boundary. In order to check the accuracy of the findings, the method of investigation by the members was used. To determine the reliability, a reliability method between two encoders was used. Data analysis was performed using inductive content analysis (6-step technique of Auerbach and Silverstein). Findings showed that with futuristic approach, the effect of intellectual capital on improving the performance of knowledge-based companies can be seen in two categories; inter-organizational effects (innovation and value creation, team building and decentralization, organizational learning, knowledge management, transformational leadership, meritocracy, technology acceptance) and external effects (networking, customer valuation and market orientation, branding and internationalization). This model can be used in decisions made to improve the performance of each company in accordance with the corporate strategy and culture. Manuscript profile

Open Access Article

7 - Innovation Management Model in MAPNA Power Equipment Manufacturing with Future Approach
Abbas Khamseh Golnaz Sardashti

In order to grow, profitability and reduce the risk of innovative activities in power plants, its innovation and management has a special place. Innovation management can help in investing and choosing the right methods to acquire technology, which plays a significant r More

In order to grow, profitability and reduce the risk of innovative activities in power plants, its innovation and management has a special place. Innovation management can help in investing and choosing the right methods to acquire technology, which plays a significant role in developing and building the country's economic infrastructure. Innovation management process is influenced by several factors. To better manage the innovation process, it is necessary to understand the effective factors and the way each one works. The purpose of this research is to identify the factors affecting innovation management in the power industry in order to design an innovation management model. The statistical population of this research is the experts and managers of the MAPNA group with a bachelor's degree and above, with a seniority of over three years. In this research, a descriptive survey type has been used. Data were collected using two methods of library studies including studying books, dissertations, articles and sites and field method, such as data collection through questionnaires and interviews. To provide the model, the system dynamics and Vensim software have been used. According to the results of this study, 26 indicators were identified as final indicators in 5 factors including: organizational systems and infrastructure, search, selection, implementation and acquisition of value as factors influencing innovation management in power plant manufacturing industries and the innovation management model was designed based on the dynamics of the system. Manuscript profile

Open Access Article

8 - The relationship of Spiritual Leadership with Future study and Organizational Innovation among staff
mohammad salehi s.zahra hoseini dronkolaei s.bagher rekabi

Background: In today's turbulent and changing environment, one of the tasks of organizations is to gain competitive advantage that this could be influenced by the style of leadership, organizational innovation and in particular the recognition of the future. Aim: The pu More

Background: In today's turbulent and changing environment, one of the tasks of organizations is to gain competitive advantage that this could be influenced by the style of leadership, organizational innovation and in particular the recognition of the future. Aim: The purpose of this study was to investigate the Relationship between Spiritual Leadership with Future study and Organizational Innovation in Fisheries Administration of Mazandaran Province.  Methods: The research method was correlation. 351 persons were selected as a sample from 4500 staff in the year of 2017 according to Cochran formula. The sampling was done randomly. Data was collected by standard questionnaires including future study (Parsa et al, 2011), organizational innovation (Amide et al, 2002) and Spiritual Leadership (Fry et al, 2005) that their validity were confirmed by related experts. To assess the reliability of the questionnaires, Cronbach's alpha was calculated. Data were analyzed using K-S, Pearson and Regression tests. Finding: The results showed that 27.4% of the variance in the dependent variables was explained by the Spiritual Leadership. Correlation coefficient between the Spiritual Leadership with Organizational Innovation (R = 0.0562) and Future study (R = 0.0857) was confirmed with Sig> 0.5.  The relationship between Future study and Organizational Innovation (R = 0.0483) with Sig> 0.5 had Confirmed. Conclusion: Spiritual Leadership had meaningful and positive relationship with Future study and Organizational Innovation among staff of fisheries administration of Mazandaran Province. Manuscript profile

Open Access Article

9 - The Effect of Knowledge Management on Entrepreneurial Behavior in Employees (Case Study: Municipal Employees of District 9 of Tehran)
hajieh rajabi farjad Niloufar Mirsepasi Hamidreza Isapur

Background: Rapid changes in the environment, the intensification of the competitive environment between companies and the increasing community expectations, shows the need for entrepreneurship for the survival of organizations, and knowledge management can play a signi More

Background: Rapid changes in the environment, the intensification of the competitive environment between companies and the increasing community expectations, shows the need for entrepreneurship for the survival of organizations, and knowledge management can play a significant role in the entrepreneurial behavior of employees in organization. Objective: This article discusses the effect of knowledge management on employees' entrepreneurial behavior in Tehran Municipality 9th District in 2014-2015. Methods: The research method was descriptive-survey and an applied one. The statistical population included all the employees working in the municipality of 9th district of Tehran which added to 476 people. The sampling method was Random Stratified Sampling. Using Cochran’s formula 213 people were chosen as the sample size. To gather the data, standard questionnaires were used .Structural equation modeling (SEM) was adopted for data analysis. The validation of the structural model was achieved using LISREL. Findings: The data of this research has influenced the five dimensions of knowledge management (acquisition of knowledge, knowledge creation, knowledge storage, knowledge distribution and knowledge maintenance) on entrepreneurial behavior dimensions with 5 dimensions (paperwork reduction, change in employee behavior, strategic vision, creation of a work environment Energetic and supportive environment). The findings showed that knowledge management has a significant effect on entrepreneurial behavior of employees. Conclusion: This finding means that in the municipality of 9th district of Tehran, The use of knowledge management can play an important role in entrepreneurial behavior of employees; therefore, we must pay special attention to it in the organization. Manuscript profile

Open Access Article

10 - Designing lay-off pattern of human resources, Based on Securing Future Job Approach for the Staff in Municipalities of Esfahan Province
Mohsen Sanei Naser Mirsepasi Karamollah Daneshfard Nazanin Pilehveri

The purpose of the research is to present a pattern regarding lay-off in municipalities of Esfahan province, and to analyze the impact of structural, behavioral and individual factors on lay-off and its aspects. The research was done to secure future jobs for the staff More

The purpose of the research is to present a pattern regarding lay-off in municipalities of Esfahan province, and to analyze the impact of structural, behavioral and individual factors on lay-off and its aspects. The research was done to secure future jobs for the staff who either want to leave or the staff who have remained in the organization. The method used to do this research is descriptive and correlative .The method used to collect information is mixed (qualitative and quantitative).In the first stage (qualitative approach), the subjects were 22 experts who had suitable information about the issue of lay-off. A lay-off pattern and the influential factors on lay-off were designed using the fuzzy Delphi method and also fuzzy logic. The two methods were used to have more correlation between the views of the experts. Then, in the quantitative part, a questionnaire was designed in order to evaluate the pattern and then after reviewing the validity of the questionnaire through Exploratory Factor Analysis, it was given to some managers who, based on Judgmental Sampling, had been chosen out of managers of branches of municipalities in Esfahan province. The relationships between components of the model were reviewed using structural equation model. The findings demonstrated that all of the e hypotheses were confirmed. Considering the mentioned indices  for the aspects of lay-off in this research ,municipalities can adopt effective decisions regarding determining the kind of job ,the kind of performance they will have in future  (for the staff that will remain in the organization) and also about necessary measures taken to secure future jobs for the staff leaving the organization. Manuscript profile

XML

List of Articles