مدل یابی و تأثیر ابعاد اجتماعی حاشیه نشینی بر وقوع جرم (مطالعه موردی: مناطق حاشیهنشین شهر کاشان)
محورهای موضوعی : مطالعات برنامه ریزی شهری و منطقه ایمحسن شاطریان 1 , رسول حیدری سورشجانی 2 , کامران دولتیاریان 3
1 - استاد گروه جغرافیا و اکوتوریسم، دانشگاه کاشان، کاشان، ایران
2 - استادیار گروه جغرافیا و اکوتوریسم، دانشگاه کاشان، کاشان، ایران
3 - دانشجوی کارشناسی ارشد جغرافیا و برنامه ریزی شهری، گروه جغرافیا و اکوتوریسم، دانشگاه کاشان، کاشان، ایران
کلید واژه: شهر کاشان, حاشیهنشینی, مدلسازی معادلات ساختاری, جرائم اجتماعی, آزمون تی,
چکیده مقاله :
حاشیهنشینی بهعنوان یکی از معضلات شهری و تحت تأثیر قرار دادن امنیت اجتماعی و فراهم نمودن بستر جرم همواره موردتوجه مسئولین شهری و سازمانهای مربوطه بوده است. هدف پژوهش حاضر مدل یابی و تبیین تاثیر حاشیهنشینی بر وقوع جرائم اجتماعی در شهر کاشان می باشد. روش پژوهش- توصیفی تحلیلی میباشد. حجم نمونه با استفاده از نرم افزار Sample Power با سطح اطمینان 95 درصد و خطای احتمالی 5 درصد 160 نفر (خانوار) محاسبه شد که شامل مناطق لتحر، پمپ رعیتی گازرگاه، محله عربها و شهرک بیست دو بهمن می شود. برای تجزیهوتحلیل توصیفی و استنباطی دادهها از آزمون آماری T-Test در نرمافزار SPSS و جهت تبیین و مدلسازی اثرات نیز از مدلسازی معادلات ساختاری در نرمافزار AMOS استفاده گردید. نتایج حاصل از آزمون T نشانگر معنیدار بودن اثرات اجتماعی، با وقوع جرم در منطقه حاشیهنشین میباشد. تحلیل یافتههای منتج از مدلسازی معادلات ساختاری بیانگر این است که از بین شاخصهای موردسنجش، شاخص بیسوادی و کمسوادی بیشترین بار عاملی را با وزن رگرسیونی (97 /0) در وقوع جرائم به خود اختصاص داده است. پسازآن پایگاه خانوادگی با وزن رگرسیونی (95/0) در رتبهی دوم قرار دارد و دو متغیر بیکاری و اعتیاد بهصورت مشترک با وزن رگرسیونی (85/0) در جایگاه سوم و چهارم قرار دارند و نهایتاً عامل عدم احساس تعلق با وزن رگرسیونی (78/0) در رتبه پنجم قرار دارد و پس از تحلیل جزئیتر شاخصهای مذکور از هم گسستگی خانواده، ترک تحصیل، و عدم احساس تعلقخاطر، دوستان ناباب و سرقت بیشترین عامل جرم در مناطق چهارگانه شهر کاشان تشخیص داده شد.
Marginalization as one from problems urban and under the effect put to give Security social and provide to make substrate mass always you notice authorities urban and organizations respective been, target research present check and analysis factors effective on occurrence crimes social at areas marginalized city Kashan is. Method research - descriptive analytical is. Volume sample with use from soft the software sample power with level assurance 95 % and error probable 5 % 160 people (Household) consumption. Became that contains areas stagnant pump a farmer vazargah The neighbourhood arabs and township twenty two avalanche you can Be. To analysis descriptive and stan abaty Data from Test statistical T-Test At application SPSS and direction explaining and modeling effects also from modeling equations structural at application amos use respectively. Results the result from Test T marker meaningful to be effects social, with occurrence mass at area marginalized is. Analysis findings the result from modeling equations structural expresses This is that from among indices investigating it indicator Illiteracy and low literacy the most bar factor take with weight regression (97/0) at occurrence crimes to yourself assign data Is. After that base family with weight regression (0.95) at ratings second put has it and two variable unemployment and addiction for common with weight regression (0.85) at place third and fourth put have and finally factor lack of feeling belonging with weight regression (0.88) in rating fifth Put has it
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