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Open Access Article
1 - Identifying and Analyzing Key Success Factors (KSF) in foresight Studies by using: Fuzzy Cognitive Map (FCM)
seyed abbas ebrahimi Mozaffar Naseri Taheri Hossein Damghanian Azimolah ZareeBackground:Foresight practically; relying on the interaction between a wide network of stakeholders and experts; is pursue shaping a favorable image of the future. The core element of this paper focuses on:What are the most prominent factors which play a fundamental rol MoreBackground:Foresight practically; relying on the interaction between a wide network of stakeholders and experts; is pursue shaping a favorable image of the future. The core element of this paper focuses on:What are the most prominent factors which play a fundamental role in foresight projects successful functioning. Objects: Identifying:(1)the critical elements in Successful foresight and,(2)prominent pitfalls and challenges in the foresight process. Methodology: The first step:Through investigating of library resources,(80)causes identified as effective factors in the foresight process. The second step: These factors in order to assess the face and content validity were presented to (10)experts in the field of foresight. The next:A questionnaire; with a fuzzy cognitive map approach; inclusive of (30)essential factors was designed and between(8) experts distributed. Ultimately:By using FCMAPPER and Excell Software Data analyzed. Findings:In terms of input index (Influence of other factors) three concepts;"using appropriate methodology and method of foresight", "realistic making decisions" and "implementing policies and actions"respectively are most influential factors. In terms of output index (effective of other factor) three concepts:"using appropriate methodology and method of foresight","the clarity of the rational principles and the logical reasons for performing foresight for those involved in foresight "and "most prominent futurists participate in the foresight project"sequentially are most effective factors. Conclusion:The most fundamental factor in more realistic making decisions and proposed policies and actions in consequence of implementing foresight project depends on the deepening and updating of knowledge of the country's future prospects in the field of familiarization with the latest methodology and modern methods of foresight. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
2 - Using Cognitive Mapping Method in Designing of Sustainable Supply Chain Model in Type-2 Fuzzy Environment
seies habib allah Mirghafoori ali Morovati Sharifabadi salim Karimi TakaloIntroduction: Despite the importance of the service sector and its contribution to the world economy, studies on the supply chain of the service sector in comparison with the industrial sector are very rare The purpose of this paper are: identify effective concepts on t MoreIntroduction: Despite the importance of the service sector and its contribution to the world economy, studies on the supply chain of the service sector in comparison with the industrial sector are very rare The purpose of this paper are: identify effective concepts on the sustainable supply chain of hospitals, and design a sustainable supply chain model for the hospital. Methods: This study is an applied descriptive survey. its nature is a type of qualitative and Delphi methods. At first, using deep interviews, effective concepts on the sustainable supply chain of the hospital were extracted. Then, using the Delphi method, the concepts were placed in the form of 15 main concepts. then, using of Type-2 fuzzy cognitive mapping method a causal model of sustainable supply chain were desined. Results: Effective concepts on the sustainable supply chain include 68 concepts that are in the form of the 15 main concepts such as: demand management, resource and capacity management, customer relationship management, supplier relationship management, service management, information management, financial performance management, Attention to the environment, contamination, energy consumption, legal requirements, employees, community and stakeholders, social accountability and business ethics. Based 15 concepts, the mapping of the sustainable supply chain of the hospital was designed. The results indicate that service delivery management is highly central among other concepts. Conclusion: By focusing on concepts such as service management and capacity and resources management that have a high level of focus, a sustained supply chain supply chain can be improved. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
3 - Z-Cognitive Map: An Integrated Cognitive Maps and Z-Numbers Approach under Cognitive Information
Mostafa Izadi Rassoul Noorossana Hamidreza Izadbakhsh Saber Saati Mohammad Khalilzadeh -
Open Access Article
4 - Analyzing the Drivers of Bullwhip Effect in Pharmaceutical Industry’s Supply Chain
Parvaneh Tavakkol Bijan Nahavandi Mahdi Homayounfar -
Open Access Article
5 - Lean- Agility Administrative Mechanism of the Interaction of Factors in Fuzzy Cognitive Map (Case Study: Tehran Abfa)
Hamideh Kalantari Taher kalantariThe purpose of this study is Lean- agile administrative mechanisms of Tehran Water and Wastewater Company and the interaction of factors based on the fuzzy cognitive map of Lean- agility in the model. This is a phased approach to Lean-Agile provides the administrative m MoreThe purpose of this study is Lean- agile administrative mechanisms of Tehran Water and Wastewater Company and the interaction of factors based on the fuzzy cognitive map of Lean- agility in the model. This is a phased approach to Lean-Agile provides the administrative mechanisms. Empirical research from the case study method is used. Data collection instrument was a questionnaire that utilizes water and sewage in terms of professors and experts in Tehran that were collected and then distributed. Data analysis using the SPSS software and more work was done using MATLAB software. Results from this study is extracted, grouped Lean- agile factors administrative mechanisms of the above factors with the power of relational dynamic variables and factors related to the low-power static variable, based on the degree of interaction between them. This grouping variable which was corporate executives in decision-making water and sewage Tehran can Lean- agile to focus on building administrative mechanisms are vital, but can also be used in similar companies. The group also is making plans to develop lean - agile, highly efficient and effective administrative mechanisms. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
6 - Presenting the fuzzy cognitive mapping model of human resource motivation system in fourth generation universities
Fahimeh Babaei Mohammad Ataie mehdi alvani Naser HamidiBackground: The fourth generation university is based on educational, research, entrepreneurship and software technology, and the impact of this modern generation of universities is unlikely without motivated human resources. Purpose: The purpose of this study was to ex MoreBackground: The fourth generation university is based on educational, research, entrepreneurship and software technology, and the impact of this modern generation of universities is unlikely without motivated human resources. Purpose: The purpose of this study was to explain the policy of the country's fourth generation universities towards motivating academic human resources. Methods: This study was based on a mixed qualitative (metasynthesis) and quantitative (FCM) method. In the qualitative stage, 16 concepts have been defined using the theoretical, research and analytical foundations of experts and the analytical model and concepts in Matlab software. The output of the final matrix in the form of high-triangular matrix data for FCM design was entered into Mental Modeler online software and the graphic design model and weights of input, output, degree of centrality and any type of concepts were clarified. Findings: According to the degree of centrality of each concept, professionalization through intelligent specialization as the first factor, excellence based on intra-university transcendence as the second meaningful concept and internationalization through the development of science and technology parks as the third important concept to achieve the optimum policy and use of human resources were introduced in the fourth generation universities of the country. Based on the output of FCM, four scenarios were designed, each of which represented the changes caused by the increase in other components. Conclusion: Professionalization through intelligent specialization is an important priority in the way of motivating human resources of the fourth generation university. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
7 - Analysis of Causal Relationships Effective Factors on the Green Supplier Selection in Health Centers Using the Intuitionistic Fuzzy Cognitive Map (IFCM) Method
Hossein Sayyadi tooranloo Salim Karimi Takalo Fatemeh Mohyadini -
Open Access Article
8 - Investigating factors affecting the acceptance of m-government based on fuzzy cognitive map in Iran
Maryam Mehrparvar Zahra Mohemmi Fateme Dadmand -
Open Access Article
9 - Analyzing the Relationship among Humanized Flexible Manufacturing System (HFMS) Enablers in Auto Manufacturing Industries using Fuzzy Cognitive Map
Gholamreza Jamali Masoumeh MohammadiThis study aimed to analyze the relationship among Humanized Flexible Manufacturing System (HFMS) enablers in auto-manufacturing Industries using the Fuzzy Cognitive Map (FCM) approach. The theoretical foundation of the study was set and consolidated through a comprehen MoreThis study aimed to analyze the relationship among Humanized Flexible Manufacturing System (HFMS) enablers in auto-manufacturing Industries using the Fuzzy Cognitive Map (FCM) approach. The theoretical foundation of the study was set and consolidated through a comprehensive literature review and based on views from 10 experts in Iran auto-manufacturing companies. The research population comprised 20 auto-manufacturing industry experts familiar with the HFMS system and 320 employees at car manufacturing companies including Iran Khodro, Pars, and Zagros, Saipa, Kerman, Bahman and Modiran Khodro companies. A sample of 10 from the experts and 174 from the employees were randomly selected using Cochran Formula. The relationship among the HFMS system enablers was investigated by analyzing verbal tags in the form of FCM. The findings revealed that the most important flexible HFMS system enablers comprised employees’ commitment, availability of trained personnel, top management involvement and commitment, effective long-term planning, sound favourable financial condition, reduced maintenance cost, organizational work culture, employees’ satisfaction, provision of incentives and rewards and operational and control techniques. The findings underscore the key role of human factor in the FMS and signify the need for developing a road map in car-manufacturing companies that can be employed to prevent the loss of resources including human resources and updat the company’s objectives and perspectives in the strategic planning process. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
10 - Fuzzy Cognitive Map Model for Analyzing Factors Influencing the Performance of Business Cluster Development Initiatives
Mohammad Dehghan banadaki Sayed Heidar Mirfakhraddini Seyed Habibollah Mirghafouri Seyed Mahmoud ZanjirchiThe business cluster development model is a new method that has been used in the last two decades to develop and empower small and medium enterprises. Many countries, both developed and developing, have taken advantage of this development model to achieve regional devel MoreThe business cluster development model is a new method that has been used in the last two decades to develop and empower small and medium enterprises. Many countries, both developed and developing, have taken advantage of this development model to achieve regional development goals and improve the quality and quantity of their advantageous businesses located in a geographical area. In this research, the factors influencing the performance of business cluster development in Iran have been investigated using theme analysis and fuzzy cognitive map techniques. The data was collected using open interview tools and questionnaires. The present research encompasses the period from 2018 to 2021 and focuses on Iran, specifically examining all provinces where business cluster development plans have been enacted. Based on the model obtained from the fuzzy cognitive map method, the most important factor that affects the performance of business cluster development initiatives is financing of the plans and projects. On the other hand, the most crucial factor for effectiveness is the augmentation of collaborative efforts. Finally, based on the identification of the most important affected and influencing factors, backward and forward scenarios related to the performance of business cluster development plans were examined. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
11 - Application of Fuzzy Cognitive Map in Determining the Organization’s Success Path
Javad Sofiyabadi Bahare Kolahi changiz Valmmohamadi Mohammad mehdi MohediThe main purpose of this study is to determine the success path of Pars Khodro Company using Fuzzy Cognitive Map technique and analyzing the views of six experts of this company. Based on the objective of the research this research can be considered as an applied and de MoreThe main purpose of this study is to determine the success path of Pars Khodro Company using Fuzzy Cognitive Map technique and analyzing the views of six experts of this company. Based on the objective of the research this research can be considered as an applied and developmental research. And from the viewpoint, of collecting data, it is in line with the experimental research. The research method is based on the utilization of the new concepts in operation research (soft systems methodology). In order to simultaneously remove the constraints of balance scorecard (BSC) approach and study the strategic simulation, we utilized the capabilities of fuzzy cognitive map. The obtained results reveal that the surveyed company through accentuating upon the excellence of daily operational processes and the development of products based on the limited and innovative platforms would be able to move towards excellence and achieving its vision. Based on the proposed framework in this research study, managers of the Iranian companies would be able through leveraging the capabilities of strategic behaviors comparison to integrate their operational plans. This way, as they increase the efficiency of their processes, they can continue the journey towards excellence Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
12 - رتبه بندی صنایع بورس اوراق بهادار تهران با استفاده از روش ترکیبی نگاشت شناسی فازی، الکتر3 و تخصیص خطی
مجتبی موحدی مهدی همایونفر مهدی فدایی اشکیکی منصور صوفییکی از پیچیده ترین مسائل تصمیم گیری برای سرمایه گذاران بورس اوراق بهادار، ارزیابی عملکرد شرکت ها و در گام بعد رتبهبندی آنها می باشد که بر اساس رویکردهای مختلف قابل انجام است. در این مقاله، صنایع بورس اوراق بهادار تهران طی سالهای 1390 تا 9139 با استفاده از ترکیب روش ها Moreیکی از پیچیده ترین مسائل تصمیم گیری برای سرمایه گذاران بورس اوراق بهادار، ارزیابی عملکرد شرکت ها و در گام بعد رتبهبندی آنها می باشد که بر اساس رویکردهای مختلف قابل انجام است. در این مقاله، صنایع بورس اوراق بهادار تهران طی سالهای 1390 تا 9139 با استفاده از ترکیب روش های نگاشت شناختی فازی (FCM)، Electere III و تخصیص خطی (LA) مورد ارزیابی قرار گرفتند. بدین منظور ابتدا بر اساس بررسی ادبیات موضوع، 21 معیار به عنوان معیارهای اصلی در تحلیل عملکرد شرکت های حاضر در بورس اوراق بهادار انتخاب شدند. سپس از با استفاده از روش نگاشت شناسی فازی به عنوان ابزار تحلیل کیفی برای رتبه بندی معیارهای ارزیابی مالی بر اساس میزان جذب استفاده شد. با استفاده از FCM، پنج معیار به عنوان مهمترین معیار برای ارزیابی عملکرد تعیین شد. در مرحله بعد، کلیه صنایع موجود طی 10 سال از سال 1390 تا 1399 با استفاده از روش ELECTRE III به عنوان یک روش قدرتمند MCDA مورد ارزیابی قرار گرفتند. در نهایت از روش LA برای ادغام رتبه صنعت در دوره 10 ساله استفاده شد. نتایج حاکی از آن است که صنایع بیمه و بازنشستگی، صنایع چند رشته ای و صنایع غذایی (به جز شکر) در رتبه های اول تا سوم قرار دارند. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
13 - Designing the causal structure and analyzing the factors affecting good governance in the Ports and Maritime Organization using Fuzzy Cognitive Map
ahmad ghafarzadeh gholamreza memarzadehtehran naser hamidi nabiollah mohammadiPorts always play a strategic role in the development of a country's domestic and international trade, whether it is developing or developed. Ports as a base of maritime trade have changed a lot in recent decades, but in line with these changes, the Ports and Maritime O MorePorts always play a strategic role in the development of a country's domestic and international trade, whether it is developing or developed. Ports as a base of maritime trade have changed a lot in recent decades, but in line with these changes, the Ports and Maritime Organization, as the main custodian of port and maritime policy, must adapt quickly, and this adaptation and the process of change in the next generations of ports of the country should lead to good governance in the management of port affairs.The evolutionary process of port governance shows that a single version can not be used for governance reforms in all ports of the world, so in this study we try to examine the factors affecting good governance at the organizational level. The present study is a descriptive-survey research in terms of applied purpose and based on its nature and method. In this study, we first identify the factors affecting good governance by examining past literature studies in a hybrid manner and then examine the components by surveying experts using the Fuzzy Delphi method and finally to show the causal reasoning between the components of the technique. Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping is used. Findings indicate that the components of Equal rights and Equity, Responsiveness & Accountability, Defining Outcomes have the highest degree of centrality, respectively, and this indicates the importance of the above components compared to other components of good governance in the Ports and Maritime Organization. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
14 - Fuzzy cognitive mapping of factors affecting knowledge management Case study: Hajj and Pilgrimage Organization
mina feili Ruhollah Tavalaei Oveys TorabiExpert knowledge management for reuse is always considered by researchers. The present study identifies the dimensions and components affecting knowledge management using fuzzy cognitive mapping method. In existing researches, many methods have been proposed to identify MoreExpert knowledge management for reuse is always considered by researchers. The present study identifies the dimensions and components affecting knowledge management using fuzzy cognitive mapping method. In existing researches, many methods have been proposed to identify the factors affecting knowledge management, and have been developed in accordance with the specific environmental conditions and the type of knowledge in question. Despite extensive research and numerous knowledge management projects, identifying these factors in organizations has always faced many challenges. What is important in this article is to solve the problem of knowledge management through fuzzy cognitive mapping in Iranian organizations and especially in the Hajj and Pilgrimage Organization. For data collection, the method of expert meetings and the formation of a focus group with the presence of 8 experts in the field of knowledge and knowledge management was used and using previous research, a total of 9 factors were identified; The importance of each of these components was determined using FCMaper software and its fuzzy perceptual mapping pattern map was drawn using Pajek software. The results showed that among the 9 components, "joint venture" and "cooperation" were in a higher degree of importance than other factors. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
15 - The Strategic Model of the Effect of Knowledge Management on the Production Rate: Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping Approach
Alireza Agha gholizade sayar Kamran Rahimi Reza Gharaeepour Zohreh Hassani Knowledge management in different organizations has been adapted by effective use of resources and achieving competitive advantage. In this regard, organizations must consider a model for solving their current problems that can be the most effective in the More Knowledge management in different organizations has been adapted by effective use of resources and achieving competitive advantage. In this regard, organizations must consider a model for solving their current problems that can be the most effective in the organization's outputs with the least conflict. Therefore, in this study, the basics and variables of knowledge management were used to evaluate the supply chain performance of an oil products company. For this purpose, 5 main indicators of knowledge management including: creation, storage, sharing, exploitation and evaluation of knowledge were used, which these 5 indicators in the form of 26 variables were considered as model input. In the proposed model, first 26 knowledge management variables are refined by fuzzy cognitive mapping methods and the importance of each of them is determined, then using the concepts of systems dynamics, their effect on supply chain variables is measured in the form of cause and effect diagrams. Finally, according to the flow diagram and presentation of scenarios, we see that by using the proposed model, the production rate will increase by 30%. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
16 - Design of Fuzzy Scenario-Based Cognitive Map of Environmental Indicators of Performance Excellence Model (Case Study: Yazd Steel Industries)
omid golshan tafti seyed heidar mirfakhradini davood endelib ardakani habib zare ahmadabadiEconomic activities use and depend on natural resources, and the nature of their processes is such that they potentially pollute the environment. Therefore, environmental evaluation practices in various industries, including the steel industries, should be reviewed. The MoreEconomic activities use and depend on natural resources, and the nature of their processes is such that they potentially pollute the environment. Therefore, environmental evaluation practices in various industries, including the steel industries, should be reviewed. The purpose of this study is to identify the environmental indicators of performance excellence model of Yazd Steel Industries and design the relationships between them through fuzzy cognitive map. This study is applied in terms of purpose and descriptive-survey in terms of type and data collection. At first, with the meta-synthesis approach, 40 articles were reviewed as samples and in order to identify complementary indicators, environmental activists in the steel industry were interviewed, in which 269 environmental indicators, 36 concepts and 9 categories of performance excellence model were identified. In order to collect data and examine the relationship between environmental concepts, industrial and academic experts have completed the questionnaires and with the fuzzy cognitive map technique and FCMapper and Pajek softwares, a linking model between factors and scenario making has been designed. The research findings from the designed fuzzy cognitive map show 157 relationships between 36 concepts, of which six scenarios are obtained in two ways, backward scenario and forward scenario Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
17 - Investigating the Internal Structure of EFQM Excellence Model by Combined Approach Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping and Structural Equation Modeling in Ceramics and Tile Industries of Yazd
Seyed Heidar Mirfakhraddini davood endelib ardakani nasrin jamshidiIn today's competitive and complex world, it is absolutely essential to use a comprehensive and appropriate system such the EFQM excellence model in order to evaluate performance, identify strengths and weaknesses, and improve performance of organizations. Since no orga MoreIn today's competitive and complex world, it is absolutely essential to use a comprehensive and appropriate system such the EFQM excellence model in order to evaluate performance, identify strengths and weaknesses, and improve performance of organizations. Since no organization can reach its goals without paying attention to the relationship between components and the feedback, the purpose of this study is to quantitatively determine and confirm the feedback relationships and loops in EFQM model in ceramics and tile industries of Yazd. In this regard, a combination of two approaches is used fuzzy cognitive mapping and structural equation modeling. In the first step, 7 experts identify 22 relationships among 9 criteria of the EFQM model. In the second step, the accuracy of these relationships is tested by80 senior managers of ceramics and tile industries through two conceptual models. These models are formed based on two EFQM model principles namely the effect of enablers on the results and impact of the results on enablers in feedback, through learning, creativity, and innovation. Determination of the type and intensity of these relationships and quantitative verification helps managers to identify the strengths and weaknesses, introduce continuous improvement projects, and increase self-assessment scores in the above industries. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
18 - Identifying the Dimensions Affecting on the Willingness of Isfahan Steel Company Employees for Technological Innovation
habib zare ahmadabadi keyvan ghasemi ali saffari darberazi davood endelib ardakaniFor organizations that compete in a changing and uncertain environment, innovation is critical to the growth, success, and survival of the organization. The purpose of this study was to investigate the effect of technological innovation capabilities on employees' willin MoreFor organizations that compete in a changing and uncertain environment, innovation is critical to the growth, success, and survival of the organization. The purpose of this study was to investigate the effect of technological innovation capabilities on employees' willingness to innovate in Isfahan Zob Ahan Company. after reviewing the research background, 11 dimensions were extracted. The data of this study were collected through a questionnaire. For analyzing the data, structural equation modeling with partial least squares approach was used which, given that a significant number of hypotheses were not approved, were returned to the industry for reconsideration reasons and interviews with selected individuals were formed from different levels of organization. The staff members introduced issues such as meritocracy, planning for a career path for individuals, and alignment of staff and managers, which, in their view, could affect the employees' willingness to innovate technologically. In the last step, using the data obtained from the questionnaire and Excel software, the correlation matrix was extracted and used as input of the FCMapper software. Then we introduced the FCMapper output in the Pajek software to draw a fuzzy cognitive map. Based on the research findings, the dimensions of research and development capability, strategic planning capability and organizational capability with the highest degree of centrality were identified. Also, in order to improve the research hypotheses, four scenarios have been studied and analyzed. Manuscript profile
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