Introduction: prediction the per capita health expenditures can be useful and effective in determining the best policies for financing and managing of health expenditures. Accordingly, the main objective of this study was to predict the per capita health expenditures tr More
Introduction: prediction the per capita health expenditures can be useful and effective in determining the best policies for financing and managing of health expenditures. Accordingly, the main objective of this study was to predict the per capita health expenditures trend in Iran. Methods: In this paper, we specified a health expenditure model relying on theoretical basics in order to obtain desirable forecasts. On the basis of three forms of linear, exponential and quadratic equations and using theoretical foundations in the field of per capita health expenditure function, we used genetic algorithm (GA) and particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm to simulate Iranians per capita health expenditure during 1979-2015. Then we selected the superior model in terms of prediction power criteria and forecast per capita health expenditure until 2041. Also, the statistical analyzes were performed using the MATLAB software version R2016b. Results: The predicted results indicate that per capita health expenditures in Iran will increase with a positive slope by 2041. The amount of this expenditure will be from $ 1081 (based on 2011 constant prices) in 2015 to $ 2628 in 2041 (about 2.5 times). Conclusion: With regard to the projected amount of per capita health expenditures up to 2041 horizon, policy makers in the health sector should take the necessary measures to finance the expenditures of this sector.
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In this research, Quantitative Structure–Activity Relationship (QSAR) studies have been used to predict activities of organochlorine pesticides. Firstly, the chemical structure of molecules was drawn with the Gauss view 05 program and optimized at Hartree–Fo More
In this research, Quantitative Structure–Activity Relationship (QSAR) studies have been used to predict activities of organochlorine pesticides. Firstly, the chemical structure of molecules was drawn with the Gauss view 05 program and optimized at Hartree–Fock level of theory and 6-31G* basis sets using Gaussian 09 software. The physiochemical properties namely octanol-water partition coefficient (logP) and toxicity (log LD50) are taken from the scientific web book. The dragon software has been used for the calculation of molecular descriptors. The suitable descriptors were selected with the aid of the genetic algorithm (GA) and backward techniques. At the next step, the relationship between molecular descriptors and the activities was investigated by multiple linear regression (MLR) method. In order to build and test QSAR models, a data set of organochlorine pesticides was randomly separated into 2 groups: training (80%) and test (20%) sets.
The models were evaluated with regression parameters: correlation coefficient (R), squared regression coefficient (R2), adjusted correlation coefficient (R2 adj) and root mean squared error (RMSE).
For the predictive ability and verification of the models are discussed by using Leave-One-Out (LOO)
cross-validation and external test set. The external prediction accuracy of the obtained models was examined using the above regression parameters. Results of validations and high statistical quality of models indicate that generated GA-MLR models are reasonable QSAR models. These models help to delineate the important descriptors responsible for predicting their activities.
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A single DC motor can be substituted by two different couple DC motors in submarines. By this way, by varying the speed of submarine, the power of propellant and subsequently the mechanical power of these motors would vary. One important promlem in controlling the mecha More
A single DC motor can be substituted by two different couple DC motors in submarines. By this way, by varying the speed of submarine, the power of propellant and subsequently the mechanical power of these motors would vary. One important promlem in controlling the mechanical coupling of these motors is the power sharing between them. In the previous reports the mechanical power was shared between them in nonoptimized manner. In this paper an optimized cantroller is indroduced that optimize the efficiency of the system. The power sharing between these motors would vary according to their speed. The proposed controller is based on Genetic Algoritm and is able to share the mechanical power between the motors in an optimized manner at different speeds. The simutation results shows the well behavior of system and also the optimize power sharing.
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This paper deals with the problem of the instability regions of a free-free uniform Bernoulli beam consisting of two concentrated masses at the two free ends under the follower and transversal forces as a model for a space structure. The follower force is the model for More
This paper deals with the problem of the instability regions of a free-free uniform Bernoulli beam consisting of two concentrated masses at the two free ends under the follower and transversal forces as a model for a space structure. The follower force is the model for the propulsion force and the transversal force is the controller force. The main aim of this study is to analyze the effects of the concentrated masses on the beam instability. It is determined that the transverse and rotary inertia of the concentrated masses cause a change in the critical follower force. This paper also offers an approximation method as a design tool to find the optimal masses at the two tips using an artificial neural network (ANN) and genetic algorithm (GA). The results show that an increase in the follower and transversal forces leads to an increase of the vibrational motion of the beam which is not desirable for any control system and hence it must be removed by proper approaches.
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