Strategies for Localizing Adaptation to Climate Change in Arid and Semi-Arid Regions of Iran
Subject Areas : Agriculture and climate
Reza Firouzi Zargar
1
,
Elham Habibollah
2
,
Mina Torabifard
3
,
Mehran Khalesi
4
1 - Department of Environment, Damavand Branch, Islamic Azad University, Damavand, Iran
2 - Department of Environment, Damavand Branch, Islamic Azad University, Damavand, Iran
3 - Department of Environment, Damavand Branch, Islamic Azad University, Damavand, Iran
4 - Department of Environmental Engineering, Science and Research Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran
Keywords: Climate change, Agricultural adaptation, Arid and semi-arid regions,
Abstract :
Climate change resulting from increased production and emissions of greenhouse gases has become one of the greatest environmental challenges. This study examines the agricultural adaptation strategies to climate change in the arid and semi-arid regions of Iran. The main objective of this research is to analyze the common strategies adopted by farmers to cope with the negative impacts of climate change and to offer suggestions for improving water resource management practices in these areas. To achieve this objective, field data were collected from local farmers and analyzed using questionnaires. Various statistical tests, including the Chi-square test, ANOVA, and Pearson correlation analysis, were applied to examine the relationships between variables and analyze the data. The results revealed that the two main strategies employed by farmers for adapting to climate change are changing crop types (66.7%) and using modern irrigation systems (53.3%). These findings suggest that farmers are particularly focused on altering crop patterns and utilizing modern irrigation technologies. Additionally, the analysis showed that reduced water resources and increased temperatures are considered the two primary impacts of climate change, with a strong correlation between the two (correlation coefficient of 0.85). Moreover, the results from the ANOVA test specifically highlighted the prioritization of developing modern irrigation infrastructure as one of the most significant needs for farmers and the study area. Therefore, it is recommended that farmers receive training on using advanced irrigation technologies and planting drought-resistant species. Policymakers should also provide special support measures to address the negative effects of climate change, including promoting research on the development of new irrigation technologies and selecting species resilient to dry climatic conditions. This research can serve as a scientific basis for agricultural policymaking in the arid and semi-arid regions of Iran, as well as for water resource management planning in response to the challenges of climate change.
1. Koohi S, Azizian A, Mazandaranizadeh H. The effects of climate change on drought conditions using fuzzy logic under SSP3 and SSP5 Scenarios. Iran-Water Resources Research, 2022; 18(3): 1-17. [In Persian]
2. Mohammadpour Khoie, MM, Nasseri M. Evaluation of unstationary and extreme value patterns of precipitation over Iran considering impacts of climate change. Journal of Climate Research, 2022; 1401(49): 131-148. [In Persian]
3. Cea L, Costabile P. Flood risk in urban areas: Modelling, management and adaptation to climate change. A review. Hydrology. 2022; 9(3):50.
4. Saboohi R, Soltani S, Khodagholi M. Trend analysis of temperature parameters in Iran. Theoretical and Applied Climatology. 2012; 109: 529–547.
5. Foley JA, Ramankutty N, Brauman KA, Cassidy ES, Gerber JS, Johnston M, Mueller ND, O'Connell C, Ray DK, West PC, Balzer C, Bennett EM, Carpenter SR, Hill J, Monfreda C, Polasky S, Rockström J, Sheehan J, Siebert S, Zaks D. Solutions for a cultivated planet. Nature. 2011; 478(7369):337-42.
6. Esmailnejad M. Understanding perceptual and adaptation to climate change by the saffron farmers of the Kashmar plain. Saffron Agronomy and Technology, 2018; 6(1): 105-117. [In Persian]
7. Esmaeilnejad M. Evaluation of adaptation to climate change in rural areas south of South Khorasan. Journal of Natural Environmental Hazards, 2017; 6(11): 85-100. [In Persian]
8. Huynh LT, Stringer LC. Multi-scale assessment of social vulnerability to climate change: An empirical study in coastal Vietnam. Climate Risk Management. 2018; 20:165-80.
9. Libonati R, Geirinhas JL, Silva PS, Monteiro dos Santos D, Rodrigues JA, Russo A, Peres. LF, Narcizo L, Gomes MER, Rodrigues AP, Dacamara CC, Pereira JMC, Trigo RM, Drought–heat wave nexus in Brazil and related impacts on health and fires: A comprehensive review. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences. 2022; 1517(1):44-62.
10. Mohammadzadeh A, Azimzadeh Y. The effect of climate change on the physical and chemical properties of arid and semi-arid soils. Journal of Water and Soil Resources Conservation. 2023 ;3(47) :133-146. [In Persian]
11. Akbary M, Sayad V. Analysis of climate change studies in Iran. Physical Geography Research, 2021; 53(1): 37-74. [In Persian]
12. Sadeghinia A, Rafati S, Sedaghat M. Spatial analysis of climate change in Iran. Journal of Spatial Analysis Environmental Hazards 2022; 8 (4) :55-70. [In Persian]
13. IPCC. Climate Change 2021: The physical science basis. Contribution of working group I to the sixth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge University Press; 2021.
14. Kvale S, Brinkmann S. Interviews: Learning the craft of qualitative research interviewing. Second ed, Thousand oaks, California, USA. Sage Publications; 2009.
15. DiCicco-Bloom B, Crabtree BF. The qualitative research interviews. Medical Education. 2006; 40(4):314-21.
16. Kontopantelis E, Springate DA, Reeves D. A re-analysis of the Cochrane library data: The dangers of unobserved heterogeneity in meta-analyses. PLoS One. 2013; 8(7): e69930.
17. Lakens D. Sample size justification. Collabra: psychology. 2022; 8(1):33267.
18. Berndt AE. Sampling methods. Journal of Human Lactation. 2020; 36(2):224-6.
19. Okoli C, Pawlowski SD. The Delphi method as a research tool: an example, design considerations and applications. Information & Management. 2004; 42(1):15-29.
20. Linstone HA, Turoff M. The Delphi method: techniques and applications, New Jersey, USA. Addison-Wesley; 1975.
21. Braun V, Clarke V. Using thematic analysis in psychology. Qualitative Research in Psychology. 2006; 3(2):77-101.
22. Creswell JW. Research design: Qualitative, quantitative, and mixed methods approach. 4th ed. Thousand oaks, California, USA. Sage Publications; 2014.
23. Roni SM, Djajadikerta HG. Data analysis with SPSS for survey-based research. First ed. Singapore: Springer; 2021.
24. García-López J, García-Ruiz R, Domínguez J, Lorite IJ. Improving the sustainability of farming systems under semi-arid conditions by enhancing crop management. Agricultural Water Management. 2019; 223:105718.
25. Shayanmehr S, Porhajašová JI, Babošová M, Sabouhi Sabouni M, Mohammadi H, Rastegari Henneberry S, Shahnoushi Foroushani N. The impacts of climate change on water resources and crop production in an arid region. Agriculture. 2022;12(7):1056.