تاثیر توسعه بخش ورزش بر رفاه اجتماعی با در نظر گرفتن نقش آستانه ای درآمدهای نفتی دولت: مورد کشورهای منتخب نفتی
محورهای موضوعی : نوآوری در مدیریت ورزشی
مصطفی خلیل محمد بهینه
1
,
حسین شریفی رنانی
2
,
مناف مرزه نعمه راضی
3
,
سعید دایی کریم زاده
4
1 - دانشجوی دکتری رشته اقتصاد، واحد اصفهان (خوراسگان)، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، اصفهان، ایران
2 - دانشیار اقتصاد، واحد اصفهان (خوراسگان)، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، اصفهان، ایران
3 - دانشیار اقتصاد، دانشگاه قادسیه، دیوانیه، عراق،
4 - دانشیار اقتصاد، واحد اصفهان (خوراسگان)، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، اصفهان، ایران
کلید واژه: توسعه بخش ورزش, درآمدهای نفتی, رفاه اجتماعی, کشورهای منتخب نفتی.,
چکیده مقاله :
ورزش از دیرباز به عنوان یکی از اجزای اصلی فعالیت بدنی شناخته شده که به طور قابل توجهی به سلامت فردی و رفاه اجتماعی کمک میکند. در این بین عواملی وجود دارد که میتواند بر این رابطه اثر داشته باشد که از جمله آنها میتوان به درآمدهای نفتی اشاره داشت. بر همین اساس، هدف اصلی تحقیق حاضر بررسی تاثیر توسعه بخش ورزش بر رفاه اجتماعی با در نظر گرفتن نقش آستانه ای درآمدهای نفتی در کشورهای منتخب نفتی است. جهت آزمون فرضیهی پژوهش از اطلاعات کلان اقتصادی 15 کشور صادر کننده نفت طی دوره زمانی 2012 تا 2023 استفاده شده است. با توجه به ماهیت ترکیبی دادهها، جهت آزمون فرضیه های پژوهش از رگرسیون چندگانه با استفاده از داده های تلفیقی با رویکرد PSTR بهره‌گیری شده است. یافته های تحقیق نشان میدهد در رژیم اول و زمانی که درآمدهای نفتی کمتر از 44/0 میباشد، متغیر توسعه بخش ورزش اثر مثبت بر متغیر رفاه اجتماعی داشته است که مقدار ضریب برابر با 15/0 میباشد در حالی که در رژیم دوم و زمانی که متغیر درآمدهای نفتی بیشتر از 44/0 میباشد، متغیر توسعه بخش ورزش اثر مثبت بر متغیر رفاه اجتماعی داشته است که مقدار ضریب برابر با 39/0 میباشد. دیگر یافته ها نیز نشان داد که درآمد سرانه و اندازه دولت اثرات مثبت و معنادار بر رفاه اجتماعی و نرخ تورم و نرخ ارز اثرات منفی و معنادار بر رفاه اجتماعی داشته است. بنایراین میتوان نتیجه گیری نمود که در صورت افزایش درامدهای نفتی در سطحی بالاتر از مقادیر آستانه ای آن، اثر توسعه بخش ورزش بر رفاه اجتماعی تقویت خواهد شد.
Sport has long been recognized as one of the main components of physical activity that significantly contributes to individual health and social welfare. Among them, there are factors that can affect this relationship, including oil revenues. Accordingly, the main pourpose of this study is investigate the impact of sports sector development on social welfare, considering the threshold role of oil revenues in selected oil-producing countries. To test the research hypothesis, macroeconomic information from 15 oil-exporting countries was used during the period 2012 to 2023. Given the mixed nature of the data, multiple regression using pooled data with the PSTR approach was used to test the research hypotheses. The research findings show that in the first regime and when oil revenues are less than 0.44, the sports sector development variable has a positive effect on the social welfare variable, with a coefficient of 0.15, while in the second regime and when oil revenues are more than 0.44, the sports sector development variable has a positive effect on the social welfare variable, with a coefficient of 0.39. Other findings also showed that per capita income and government size have positive and significant effects on social welfare, and inflation and exchange rates have negative and significant effects on social welfare. Therefore, it can be concluded that if oil revenues increase above their threshold values, the effect of sports sector development on social welfare will be strengthened.
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