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      • Open Access Article

        1 - Identifying and Analyzing Key Success Factors (KSF) in foresight Studies by using: Fuzzy Cognitive Map (FCM)
        seyed abbas ebrahimi Mozaffar Naseri Taheri Hossein Damghanian Azimolah Zaree
        Background:Foresight practically; relying on the interaction between a wide network of stakeholders and experts; is pursue shaping a favorable image of the future. The core element of this paper focuses on:What are the most prominent factors which play a fundamental rol More
        Background:Foresight practically; relying on the interaction between a wide network of stakeholders and experts; is pursue shaping a favorable image of the future. The core element of this paper focuses on:What are the most prominent factors which play a fundamental role in foresight projects successful functioning. Objects: Identifying:(1)the critical elements in Successful foresight and,(2)prominent pitfalls and challenges in the foresight process. Methodology: The first step:Through investigating of library resources,(80)causes identified as effective factors in the foresight process. The second step: These factors in order to assess the face and content validity were presented to (10)experts in the field of foresight. The next:A questionnaire; with a fuzzy cognitive map approach; inclusive of (30)essential factors was designed and between(8) experts distributed. Ultimately:By using FCMAPPER and Excell Software Data analyzed. Findings:In terms of input index (Influence of other factors) three concepts;"using appropriate methodology and method of foresight", "realistic making decisions" and "implementing policies and actions"respectively are most influential factors. In terms of output index (effective of other factor) three concepts:"using appropriate methodology and method of foresight","the clarity of the rational principles and the logical reasons for performing foresight for those involved in foresight "and "most prominent futurists participate in the foresight project"sequentially are most effective factors. Conclusion:The most fundamental factor in more realistic making decisions and proposed policies and actions in consequence of implementing foresight project depends on the deepening and updating of knowledge of the country's future prospects in the field of familiarization with the latest methodology and modern methods of foresight. Manuscript profile
      • Open Access Article

        2 - Analyzing the Relationship among Humanized Flexible Manufacturing System (HFMS) Enablers in Auto Manufacturing Industries using Fuzzy Cognitive Map
        Gholamreza Jamali Masoumeh Mohammadi
        This study aimed to analyze the relationship among Humanized Flexible Manufacturing System (HFMS) enablers in auto-manufacturing Industries using the Fuzzy Cognitive Map (FCM) approach. The theoretical foundation of the study was set and consolidated through a comprehen More
        This study aimed to analyze the relationship among Humanized Flexible Manufacturing System (HFMS) enablers in auto-manufacturing Industries using the Fuzzy Cognitive Map (FCM) approach. The theoretical foundation of the study was set and consolidated through a comprehensive literature review and based on views from 10 experts in Iran auto-manufacturing companies. The research population comprised 20 auto-manufacturing industry experts familiar with the HFMS system and 320 employees at car manufacturing companies including Iran Khodro, Pars, and Zagros, Saipa, Kerman, Bahman and Modiran Khodro companies. A sample of 10 from the experts and 174 from the employees were randomly selected using Cochran Formula. The relationship among the HFMS system enablers was investigated by analyzing verbal tags in the form of FCM. The findings revealed that the most important flexible HFMS system enablers comprised employees’ commitment, availability of trained personnel, top management involvement and commitment, effective long-term planning, sound favourable financial condition, reduced maintenance cost, organizational work culture, employees’ satisfaction, provision of incentives and rewards and operational and control techniques. The findings underscore the key role of human factor in the FMS and signify the need for developing a road map in car-manufacturing companies that can be employed to prevent the loss of resources including human resources and updat the company’s objectives and perspectives in the strategic planning process. Manuscript profile
      • Open Access Article

        3 - Fuzzy Cognitive Map Model for Analyzing Factors Influencing the Performance of Business Cluster Development Initiatives
        Mohammad Dehghan banadaki Sayed Heidar Mirfakhraddini Seyed Habibollah Mirghafouri Seyed Mahmoud Zanjirchi
        The business cluster development model is a new method that has been used in the last two decades to develop and empower small and medium enterprises. Many countries, both developed and developing, have taken advantage of this development model to achieve regional devel More
        The business cluster development model is a new method that has been used in the last two decades to develop and empower small and medium enterprises. Many countries, both developed and developing, have taken advantage of this development model to achieve regional development goals and improve the quality and quantity of their advantageous businesses located in a geographical area. In this research, the factors influencing the performance of business cluster development in Iran have been investigated using theme analysis and fuzzy cognitive map techniques. The data was collected using open interview tools and questionnaires. The present research encompasses the period from 2018 to 2021 and focuses on Iran, specifically examining all provinces where business cluster development plans have been enacted. Based on the model obtained from the fuzzy cognitive map method, the most important factor that affects the performance of business cluster development initiatives is financing of the plans and projects. On the other hand, the most crucial factor for effectiveness is the augmentation of collaborative efforts. Finally, based on the identification of the most important affected and influencing factors, backward and forward scenarios related to the performance of business cluster development plans were examined. Manuscript profile
      • Open Access Article

        4 - Application of Fuzzy Cognitive Map in Determining the Organization’s Success Path
        Javad Sofiyabadi Bahare Kolahi changiz Valmmohamadi Mohammad mehdi Mohedi
        The main purpose of this study is to determine the success path of Pars Khodro Company using Fuzzy Cognitive Map technique and analyzing the views of six experts of this company. Based on the objective of the research this research can be considered as an applied and de More
        The main purpose of this study is to determine the success path of Pars Khodro Company using Fuzzy Cognitive Map technique and analyzing the views of six experts of this company. Based on the objective of the research this research can be considered as an applied and developmental research. And from the viewpoint, of collecting data, it is in line with the experimental research. The research method is based on the utilization of the new concepts in operation research (soft systems methodology). In order to simultaneously remove the constraints of balance scorecard (BSC) approach and study the strategic simulation, we utilized the capabilities of fuzzy cognitive map. The obtained results reveal that the surveyed company through accentuating upon the excellence of daily operational processes and the development of products based on the limited and innovative platforms would be able to move towards excellence and achieving its vision. Based on the proposed framework in this research study, managers of the Iranian companies would be able through leveraging the capabilities of strategic behaviors comparison to integrate their operational plans. This way, as they increase the efficiency of their processes, they can continue the journey towards excellence Manuscript profile
      • Open Access Article

        5 - Identifying the Dimensions Affecting on the Willingness of Isfahan Steel Company Employees for Technological Innovation
        habib zare ahmadabadi keyvan ghasemi ali saffari darberazi davood endelib ardakani
        For organizations that compete in a changing and uncertain environment, innovation is critical to the growth, success, and survival of the organization. The purpose of this study was to investigate the effect of technological innovation capabilities on employees' willin More
        For organizations that compete in a changing and uncertain environment, innovation is critical to the growth, success, and survival of the organization. The purpose of this study was to investigate the effect of technological innovation capabilities on employees' willingness to innovate in Isfahan Zob Ahan Company. after reviewing the research background, 11 dimensions were extracted. The data of this study were collected through a questionnaire. For analyzing the data, structural equation modeling with partial least squares approach was used which, given that a significant number of hypotheses were not approved, were returned to the industry for reconsideration reasons and interviews with selected individuals were formed from different levels of organization. The staff members introduced issues such as meritocracy, planning for a career path for individuals, and alignment of staff and managers, which, in their view, could affect the employees' willingness to innovate technologically. In the last step, using the data obtained from the questionnaire and Excel software, the correlation matrix was extracted and used as input of the FCMapper software. Then we introduced the FCMapper output in the Pajek software to draw a fuzzy cognitive map. Based on the research findings, the dimensions of research and development capability, strategic planning capability and organizational capability with the highest degree of centrality were identified. Also, in order to improve the research hypotheses, four scenarios have been studied and analyzed. Manuscript profile