Evaluation of Key Factors Affecting the Creative City with a Scenario-Based Approach: (Case Study: Birjand City)

Subject Areas : Urban Futurology

Massoumeh Hafiz Rezazadeh ¹ , Morteza Sadegh bakhtiari ² , Zahra sarabandi ³ , Sajad poudineh ⁴

1 - Department of Geography and Urban Planning, Zahedan Branch, Islamic Azad University, Zahedan, Iran
2 - Department of Geography and Urban Planning, Zahedan Branch, Islamic Azad University, Zahedan, Iran
3 - Department of Geography and Urban Planning, Zahedan Branch, Islamic Azad University, Zahedan, Iran
4 - Department of Geography and Urban Planning, Zahedan Branch, Islamic Azad University, Zahedan, Iran

Received: 2021-01-11 Accepted : 2021-11-04 Published : 2021-08-23

Keywords: Creative City, Key Factors, Wizard Scenario, Mic Mac, Birjand City,

Abstract :

The concept of the creative city has become a common paradigm and a new model of urban planning and policy since the mid-1990s, first in Britain and then in the United States. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the key factors affecting the creative city in Birjand with a scenario-based approach in the horizon of 1430. This research is applied based on its purpose; the research method is descriptive-analytical and in terms of the nature, it is analytical-exploratory due to its futurology approach. Data and information required for the research have been collected by documentary and survey methods (questionnaire). The statistical population of the research includes 20 experts, specialists and elites. MicMac and Scenario Wizard software have been used to analyze the indicators and criteria. The results of the analysis of the findings show that 16 key factors affect the future of the creative city of Birjand. Five scenarios, with different combinations of three  optimal، static and critical situations, are also likely to occur in the creative city of Birjand، of which 26.25% are critical، 46.25% are static and 27.5% are optimal. Considering this situation, it seems that the optimal and static situations have occupied a major part of the scenario page, and the critical and static situations are in the next priorities, respectively. In the most optimistic case, this (fourth) scenario will have an almost suitable situation out of 5 scenarios affecting the city of the creator, which alone has 6 favorable situations, and the other 4 scenarios are less desirable than this (fourth) scenario.