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      • Open Access Article

        1 - Estimation of wheat water requirement under climate change in Moghan plain (Parsabad)
        Mahyar Ahadi Bromand Salahi shahram Kowsari Mehr
        Determining the water requirement of crops in the upcoming period and having an overview of it is essential in water resources management planning and using it we will be able to determine critical areas. The purpose of this research is to estimate the water requirement More
        Determining the water requirement of crops in the upcoming period and having an overview of it is essential in water resources management planning and using it we will be able to determine critical areas. The purpose of this research is to estimate the water requirement of wheat using general circulation model data (HadGEM2-ES) by the latest Climate Change Report (Fifth Report) as Representative Concentration Pathway scenarios (RCP), which is scaled using LARSWG model under RCP85 scenario. To this end, 30-year data (1990–2019) were entered into the model, and climatic data were predicted daily for the next 40 years in two time periods (2021–2040) and (2041–2060).The results show that over the 40-year period, all three parameters of maximum, minimum temperature and precipitation will have an increasing trend.In the next step, the data generated to calculate the water requirement of wheat in Pars Abad plain were entered into CROPWAT 8.0 software and it was observed that increasing temperature leads to increase evapotranspiration and increasing water requirement of wheat by 3 to 5% under climate changing. Manuscript profile
      • Open Access Article

        2 - forehead condition of the polar front in relation to the cold season on Iran
        dareush sepadeh - Bromand Salahi Bohlool Alijani Batool Zinali
        Abstract In this research, the seasonal behavior of polar jet streem has been identified based on the cold season (autumn and winter) on Iran. General analysis of jet streem process based on what is mentioned in the methods section was done in order to find the behavior More
        Abstract In this research, the seasonal behavior of polar jet streem has been identified based on the cold season (autumn and winter) on Iran. General analysis of jet streem process based on what is mentioned in the methods section was done in order to find the behavior patterns of jet streem in GRADS software environment . The results of the analysis indicate the existence of two main medium nuclei, one above Europe and a wider nucleus over North Africa and Saudi Arabia. The prevalence of nuclei in Europe has been higher than in North Africa. In autumn, the incidence of North African nuclei was about 30% lower than in Europe, and in winter the frequency of both nuclei was similar. The core of the polar jet streem in the two seasons, is located approximately 35 degrees north latitude. According to the information obtained from the average speed maps in autumn and winter, it seems that the speed change has been more than before. Manuscript profile
      • Open Access Article

        3 - Satellite Monitoring of Daytime Land Surface Temperature (LST) of Jazmourian Catchment Using MODIS Sensor Products
        behrooz abad - Bromand Salahi Koohzad Raispour masood moradi
        Land Surface Temperature (LST) is one of the most important variables that provides important information about the physical and chemical properties of the litosphere, atmosphere and hydrosphere. Since this variable represents the first thermal reaction to environmental More
        Land Surface Temperature (LST) is one of the most important variables that provides important information about the physical and chemical properties of the litosphere, atmosphere and hydrosphere. Since this variable represents the first thermal reaction to environmental changes, its analysis can provide valuable information to environmental scientists. In recent years, MODIS sensor data have been widely used to estimate LST. In the present study, MODIS sensor data (MOD11C3 & MYD11C3) were used to analyze the daytime LST on the Jazmourian basin (2003-2019). Extracted data were used after quality control and necessary processing to estimate daytime LST. Based on the results; LST values in the Jazmourian basin range from 20-55 °C and clearly follow the altitudes and latitudes. Seasonal analysis of the LST spatial distribution shows the winter and summer seasons with a range of 5-40 °C and 35-65 °C as the coldest and warmest seasons, respectively. Also in the monthly spatial distribution of LST, January and February had the lowest and June and July had the highest LST. The time series trend of LST anomaly indicates an increase of about 0.5 °C in the study period. Also, the spatial distribution of LST indicates the maximum of positive anomalies in the southwestern and central parts and the minimum of positive anomalies in the east of the basin. Manuscript profile
      • Open Access Article

        4 - پیش بینی و تحلیل امواج گرمایی شهر زنجان با استفاده از ریزگردان لارس دبلیو جی و شاخص بالدی
        Broumand Salahi زینب قدرتی
        موج­های گرمایی یکی از مهم‌ترین بلایای آب و هوایی است که پیامدهای زیست‌محیطی را بر طبیعت بر جای می­گذارند. هدف اصلی پژوهش، پیش­بینی امواج گرمایی شهرستان زنجان در دو بازه­ی زمانی 1390-1409 و 1425-1444 توسط نرم‌افزار LARS-WG با دو مدل HadCM3 و BCM2 و با سنا More
        موج­های گرمایی یکی از مهم‌ترین بلایای آب و هوایی است که پیامدهای زیست‌محیطی را بر طبیعت بر جای می­گذارند. هدف اصلی پژوهش، پیش­بینی امواج گرمایی شهرستان زنجان در دو بازه­ی زمانی 1390-1409 و 1425-1444 توسط نرم‌افزار LARS-WG با دو مدل HadCM3 و BCM2 و با سناریوی A1B است. پس از آماده‌سازی و کنترل کیفی، داده­ها به‌صورت روزانه وارد نرم‌افزار LARS-WG شدند و خروجی مدل پس از صحت سنجی توسط روش­های آماری، برای تحلیل موج گرمایی با استفاده از شاخص بالدی آماده شد. نتایج پژوهش نشان داد که بر اساس مقادیر R2، RMSE، MAE و آزمون کولموگروف اسمیرنوف، شبیه­سازی­های صورت گرفته در ایستگاه مورد مطالعه از دقت قابل قبولی برخوردارند. نتایج پژوهش همچنین نشان داد که در شهر زنجان بر اساس دو مدلBCM2 و HadCM3، موج کوتاه گرمایی در هر دو بازه روند افزایشی داشته است. بیشترین فراوانی موج کوتاه گرمایی در بازه زمانی اول در ماه‌های خرداد و تیر قرار دارد و در بازه زمانی دوم، فراوانیامواجکوتاهگرماییدر ماه‌هایفروردینواردیبهشتبیشتر شدهودرنتیجهباتوجهبهپیش‌بینیانجامگرفتهدرهردومدل،برتعدادروزهایگرمافزودهمی‌شود.براساسپیش‌بینیانجامشدهبراساسمدل BCM2،طولدورهگرمدرایستگاهموردمطالعهدرحالافزایشاستوماه­هایخنکفصلبهاربه‌تدریجبهسمتگرم‌ترشدنپیشمی‌روند. با توجه به پیش­بینی انجامشدهبراساسمدل BCM2، احتمال جابه­جایی فصول در این ایستگاه­ در سال‌های آینده وجود دارد و به‌تدریج فصل بهار به لحاظ ویژگی­های اقلیمی به فصل تابستان شباهت زیادی پیدا خواهد کرد. با توجه به پیش­بینی انجامشدهبراساسمدل HadCM3، موج کوتاه گرمایی در بازه زمانی اول روند افزایشی تندتری نسبت به بازه­ی زمانی دوم دارد و دردورهزمانیدوم،تغییراتفراوانیامواجگرماییکوتاهبیشتراستودرکل،روندافزایشیدمایایستگاهسینوپتیکزنجانراتأییدمی‌کند Manuscript profile
      • Open Access Article

        5 - Pattern finding and synoptic analysis of heat waves in Ardabil province
        Bromand Salahi Mahnaz Saber Fatemeh Vatanparast Ghaleh jogh
        This research has been conducted with the aim of identifying heat waves in Ardabil province and analyzing their synoptic patterns using a circular method. For this purpose, the daily average maximum temperature data of Ardabil, Parsabad and Meshkinshahr synoptic station More
        This research has been conducted with the aim of identifying heat waves in Ardabil province and analyzing their synoptic patterns using a circular method. For this purpose, the daily average maximum temperature data of Ardabil, Parsabad and Meshkinshahr synoptic stations were used in the statistical period of 1980-2020. The 95th percentile index was determined as a criterion for identifying a hot day, and its duration of at least 3 days was considered as the basis for defining a heat wave. Examining the trend of SLP, HGT and Tmax of these waves showed that on the hottest days of heat waves, the trend of SLP is downward and the trend of HGT and Tmax is upward. Clustering of heat wave generation patterns based on reanalysis data of sea level pressure and geopotential height of 500 hectopascals using cluster analysis method and Ward's clustering method led to the identification of 5 clusters which were presented in two main groups. In the first pattern, low pressure on the ground surface and high pressure in the middle level of the atmosphere, and in the second pattern, the location of the studied area in the west of the pseudo-Omega blocking of western Russia at the level of 500 hectopascals were identified as the synoptic factors of creating heat waves in Ardabil province. The common feature of both patterns is the high thickness of the atmosphere over the region on the days of this event. Manuscript profile