ارزیابی طرح تفصیلی شهر اردبیل بر اساس روش تلفیقی
محورهای موضوعی : مطالعات برنامه ریزی شهری و منطقه ایمحمد حسن یزدانی 1 * , فاطمه زادولی 2
1 - استادگروه جغرافیا، دانشگاه محقق اردبیلی، اردبیل، ایران
2 - پژوهشگر پسادکتری جغرافیا و برنامه ریزی شهری ، دانشگاه محقق اردبیلی، اردبیل، ایران
کلید واژه: اردبیل, طرح تفصیلی, روش تلفیقی, مدل PESTLE, حداقل مربعات جزئی(PLS),
چکیده مقاله :
مقدمه: امروزه طرح‌های توسعه‌ی شهری متعددی در راستای غلبه بر مشکلات و دست‌یابی به توسعه و پایداری شهرها تهیه و اجرا می‌گردد. طرح‌هایی که به نظر در محتوا و اجرا دارای مشکلات متعددی هستند و ضروری است با ارزیابی کمی-کیفی و شناسایی نقاط ضعف این طرح‌ها به ارائه‌ی طرح‌هایی واقع‌گرایانه، منعطف و اجرایی مبادرت نمود. هدف پژوهش: هدف پژوهش حاضر، ارزیابی طرح تفصیلی شهر اردبیل بر اساس روش تلفیقی است.روش شناسی تحقیق: پژوهش حاضر از نوع کاربری و به روش توصیفی ـ تحلیلی است. جامعه آماری این پژوهش 10نفر از کارشناسان و مدیران مناطق شهری اردبیل و همچنین اعضای شورای این شهر است که با استفاده از روش گلوله برفی انتخاب شده‌اند. روش اصلی این پژوهش تلفیق روش فرایند تهیه و اجرای برنامه و طرح/فرایند/نتایج است که در راستای آن از مدل‌های PLS و SSIMو PESTLE استفاده شده است.قلمرو جغرافیایی پژوهش: قلمرو جغرافیایی این پژوهش شهر اردبیل است. یافته‌ها و بحث: یافته‌های پژوهش نشان می‌دهد که در معیار انطباق ضعف مدیریتی، عدم سازماندهی صحیح و عدم تخصیص بودجه کافی توسط دولت از دلایل عدم تحقق سرانه کاربریها است.در معیار انسجام درونی ایجاد پارکینگ در میادین مرکزی شهر و در اطراف منطقه مرکزی شهر بیشترین تاثیر و جلوگیری از رشد افقی شهر کمترین تاثیر را دارد. در معیار ارتباط هم اهداف بیست‌گانه طرح بیشتر در راستای اهداف جمعیتی و اجتماعی بوده و بخشی از آن به سوءمدیریت مربوط است. در معیار انسجام بیرونی با توجه به تحقیقات انجام شده اکثر تراکم‌های پیشنهادی محقق نشده است. معیار منابع مالی و انسانی نیز با توجه به شرایط ناپایدار اقتصادی شهرداری اردبیل، موفق نبوده است. عدم موفقیت معیار مشارکت در اجرای طرح و برنامه‌ریزی به علت اعتقاد برخی متخصصان به عدم دخالت مردم در طرح به دلیل نداشتن تخصص و مهارت علمی است. در ارتباط با معیار کاربست برنامه می‌توان گفت که این معیار به هیچ عنوان محقق نشده است و معضلات سیما و منظر شهری اردبیل از پیامد‌های آن بوده است. نتایج: نتایج تحقیق کمبود قدرت مدیریتی را در طی تهیه و اجرای طرح تفصیلی نشان می‌دهد.
Introduction: Today, several urban development plans are prepared and implemented in order to overcome the problems and achieve the development and sustainability of cities. Projects that seem to have many problems in content and implementation and it is necessary to provide realistic, flexible and executable plans by quantitative-qualitative evaluation and identifying the weaknesses of these plans.Goal: The present study is the evaluation of the detailed plan of Ardabil city based on the integrated method.Methodology: The present research is of user type and descriptive-analytical method. The statistical population of this study is 10 experts and managers of Ardabil urban areas as well as members of the city council who have been selected using the snowball method. The main method of this research is the combination of "process preparation and implementation process" and "plan / process / results" in which PLS, SSIM and PESTLE models have been used.Geographical area of research: The geographical area of this research is the city of Ardabil.Results and discussion: Findings show that in the criterion of adaptation of managerial weakness, lack of proper organization and lack of adequate budget allocation by the government are the reasons for the lack of per capita land use. The horizontal growth of the city has the least impact. In terms of relationship, the twenty goals of the plan are more in line with demographic and social goals, and part of it is related to mismanagement. In terms of external cohesion, according to the researches, most of the proposed densities have not been achieved. The criterion of financial and human resources has not been successful due to the unstable economic conditions of Ardabil Municipality. The failure of the criterion for participation in the implementation of the plan and planning is due to the belief of some experts that people do not interfere in the plan due to lack of scientific expertise and skills. Regarding the criteria for using the program, it can be said that this criterion has not been met at all and the problems of Ardabil TV and urban landscape have been one of its consequences.
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