تعیین ارزش گردش‌گری روستای کندوله کرمانشاه با کاربرد مدل لوجیت
محورهای موضوعی : معماری و شهرسازیسید تاج الدین منصوری 1 , حیدر جهان بخش 2
1 - پژوهشگر دکتری معماری دانشگاه شهید رجایی تهران، مدرس دانشگاه.* (مسوول مکاتبات)
2 - دانشیار گروه معماری دانشگاه پیام نور تهران شرق.
کلید واژه: مدل لوجیت, روستای توریستی کندوله, روش حداکثر درستنمائی,
چکیده مقاله :
زمینه و هدف : یکی از عوامل توسعهپایدار اکولوژیکی، با ارزش بودن سرمایههای طبیعی و ملی میباشد که این مفهوم، ما را بهسوی سؤالاتی درباره میزان ارزش گذاری محیطی راهنمایی می کند که میتواند در سطوح مالی رخ دهد. روش بررسی : در این بررسی برای اندازه گیری میزان تمایل به پرداخت بازدیدکنندگان از مدل لوجیت استفاده شده و براساس روش حداکثر درست نمائی، پارامترهای این مدل برآورد گردید. به این منظور، از پیمایشی شامل 100 بازدیدکننده روستای توریستی کندوله شهرستان کرمانشاه که به صورت تصادفی در مهرماه سال 1394 گزینش شده بودند، استفاده شد. یافته ها : نتایج این مطالعه نشان داد که متوسط تمایل به پرداخت افراد جهت بازدید از فضای این روستای تاریخی-توریستی براساس روش لوجیت، 16240 ریال میباشد. بحث و نتیجه گیری : بنابراین این روستا با توجه به تعدد بازدیدکنندگان در طول سال، ارزش تفریحی قابل توجهی داشته که این ارزش برای سیاست گزاران و تصمیمگیرندگان، توجیهی را فراهم می کند تا از کیفیت فضای این منطقه حمایت نمایند و از کم جلوه دادن آن جلوگیری کنند. متغیرهای تأثیرگذار بر این میزان تمایل به پرداخت شامل سن، تحصیلات، تعداد افراد خانواده، درآمد و رضایت از امنیت اجتماعی می باشد.
Background and Objective: One of ecologically sustainable development, the value of natural capital and national. This concept brings us to the questions about the valuation of environmental guidelines that can occur in financial levels. Method: In this study, to measure the willingness to pay (WTP) logit model was used based on the maximum likelihood method, model parameters were estimated. For this purpose, the survey included 100 visits tourist village KANDOLE city of Kermanshah, randomly selected in October 1394 were used. Findings: The results of this study showed that the average willingness to pay to visit the historical-tourist village based on logit, 16240 rials. Discussion and Conclusion: So this village due to the large number of visitors during the year, a significant recreational value, the value for policy makers and decision makers, provides justification to support the environmental quality of the area and prevented from degrading them. Factors affecting the willingness to pay, including age, education, family size, income and social security is the satisfaction.
- Amirnezhad, h. And Ataei-Salvat, K. (2002), Economic Assessment of Environmental Resources, Vol. 1, Avaya Media, Sari, 2011. (In Persian)
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- Forester B. (1998) .Valuing outdoor recreational activity: a methodological survey, journal of Leisure Research, NO: 21(2): PP 185-197.
- Matthew, N.K., Shuib, A., Ramachandran, S. and Herman S. (2000) .An inclusion of Willingness to Pay as an independent variable in the Individual Travel Cost Model. This work / research was partially funded by Ministry of Higher Education’s (Malaysia) Long Term Research Grant Scheme (LRGS) Programme. [Reference No.: JPT.S (BPKI) 2000/09/01/015Jld.4 (67)].
- Amigues, J., Boulatoff, C. and Desaigues, B. (2002) .The benefits and costs of riparian analysis habitat preservation: A willingness to accept / willingness to pay contingent valuation approach. Ecological Economics. 43: 17-31.
- Mayor, K., Scott, S. and Richard, S.J.T. (2007) .Comparing the Travel Cost Method and the Contingent Valuation Method – An Application of Convergent Validity Theory to the Recreational Value of Irish Forests. Working Paper No. 190.
- Reynisdottir, M., Song, H. and Agrusa, J. (2008) .Willingness to pay entrance fees to natural attractions: An Icelandic case study. Tourism Management. 29:1076– 1083.
- Twerefou, D.K. and Adjei Ababio D.K. (2012) .An economic valuation of the Kakum National Park: An individual travel cost approach. African Journal of Environmental Science and Technology Vol. 6(4), pp. 199-207.
- Ismaili Sari, AS. And Latifi Scuji, Reserve Economic Value at Forest Park Aoun Ban Ali Tabriz. Environmental Science and Technology, Volume 10, Issue 4, 2008. (In Persian)
- 13.Hati, b. Saleh Nia M., Hossein Zad Firoozi, J. And Dashti, Gh. (2011), Estimation of recreational value of Fadak park in Khoy city by individual travel cost method, Journal of Agricultural Economics Research. No. 2, pp. 121-114. (In Persian)
- Khosravi M. And Sabouhi M. (2011), Estimation of the Preservation Value of Fahlian River Marginal Tree Trees using Conditional Valuation Method, Journal of Environmental Sciences, Vol. 8, No. 4, pp. 82-73. (In Persian)
- Naji, M., Bennisad, M., Saleh, A. And Rafiei H. (13), Estimating the recreational value of Ghaem Kerman forest park using conditional valuation method, Iran Forest Journal, Iranian Forestry Association, Year 3, Issue 3, pp. 241-233. (In Persian)
- Hanemann, W.M. (1994) .Valuing the environment through contingent valuation. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 8(4): 19-43. (In Persian)
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- Amirnezhad, h. And Ataei-Salvat, K. (2002), Economic Assessment of Environmental Resources, Vol. 1, Avaya Media, Sari, 2011. (In Persian)
- Arbab, H. (2011), Environmental Economics and Natural Resources, By Rajeerd Perman, Yuma and James McGill Ray, Tehran, Nejman Ney, 1382. (In Persian)
- Yazidi, h. And Barzegar, S. (2002), Investigating the methods of economic valuation in the analysis of environmental problems of cities. (In Persian)
- Asafu-Ajay, J. (2002), Environmental Economics for Non-Consumers, Translated by Siavash Dehghanian and Zakaria Farajzadeh, Ferdowsi University Press, Mashhad. (In Persian)
- Khaksar Astaneh, H., Daneshvar M., Kalateh Arabi, and Akbari M. (2011), Estimation of recreational value of forest parks in Mashhad using conditional valuation method, Agricultural Economics Research, Vol. 3, No. 4. (In Persian)
- Forester B. (1998) .Valuing outdoor recreational activity: a methodological survey, journal of Leisure Research, NO: 21(2): PP 185-197.
- Matthew, N.K., Shuib, A., Ramachandran, S. and Herman S. (2000) .An inclusion of Willingness to Pay as an independent variable in the Individual Travel Cost Model. This work / research was partially funded by Ministry of Higher Education’s (Malaysia) Long Term Research Grant Scheme (LRGS) Programme. [Reference No.: JPT.S (BPKI) 2000/09/01/015Jld.4 (67)].
- Amigues, J., Boulatoff, C. and Desaigues, B. (2002) .The benefits and costs of riparian analysis habitat preservation: A willingness to accept / willingness to pay contingent valuation approach. Ecological Economics. 43: 17-31.
- Mayor, K., Scott, S. and Richard, S.J.T. (2007) .Comparing the Travel Cost Method and the Contingent Valuation Method – An Application of Convergent Validity Theory to the Recreational Value of Irish Forests. Working Paper No. 190.
- Reynisdottir, M., Song, H. and Agrusa, J. (2008) .Willingness to pay entrance fees to natural attractions: An Icelandic case study. Tourism Management. 29:1076– 1083.
- Twerefou, D.K. and Adjei Ababio D.K. (2012) .An economic valuation of the Kakum National Park: An individual travel cost approach. African Journal of Environmental Science and Technology Vol. 6(4), pp. 199-207.
- Ismaili Sari, AS. And Latifi Scuji, Reserve Economic Value at Forest Park Aoun Ban Ali Tabriz. Environmental Science and Technology, Volume 10, Issue 4, 2008. (In Persian)
- 13.Hati, b. Saleh Nia M., Hossein Zad Firoozi, J. And Dashti, Gh. (2011), Estimation of recreational value of Fadak park in Khoy city by individual travel cost method, Journal of Agricultural Economics Research. No. 2, pp. 121-114. (In Persian)
- Khosravi M. And Sabouhi M. (2011), Estimation of the Preservation Value of Fahlian River Marginal Tree Trees using Conditional Valuation Method, Journal of Environmental Sciences, Vol. 8, No. 4, pp. 82-73. (In Persian)
- Naji, M., Bennisad, M., Saleh, A. And Rafiei H. (13), Estimating the recreational value of Ghaem Kerman forest park using conditional valuation method, Iran Forest Journal, Iranian Forestry Association, Year 3, Issue 3, pp. 241-233. (In Persian)
- Hanemann, W.M. (1994) .Valuing the environment through contingent valuation. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 8(4): 19-43. (In Persian)