بررسی م د یر یت یکپارچه ته د ی د زلزله در فراین د زنجیره تامین آب شرب
محورهای موضوعی : مدیریتسیدعباس اسدی 1 , مژگان زعیم دار 2 , سیدعلی جوزی 3
1 - دانشجوی دکتری مدیریت محیط زیست- مدیریت محیط زیست، دانشکده علوم و فنون دریایی، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، واحد تهران
شمال، تهران، ایران.
2 - نویسنده مسئول، استادیار گروه محیط زیست، دانشکده علوم و فنون دریایی، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، واحد تهران شمال، تهران، ایران
3 - استاد تمام گروه محی طزیست، دانشکده علوم و فنون دریایی، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، واحد تهران شمال، تهران، ایران.
کلید واژه: زلزله, کلمات کلیدی: آب شرب, زنجیره تامین و مد یر یت یکپارچ ه,
چکیده مقاله :
چکیدهپژوهش حاضر با هدف بررسی مدیریت یکپارچه تهدید زلزله در فرایند زنجیره تامین آب شرب انجام شدهاست. برای انجام این پژوهش از روش تلفیقی استفاده شده است. جامعه آماری در فاز کیفی 14 نفر ازکارشناسان حوزه آبوفاضلاب و در فاز کمی، کارکنان شاغل در شرکت آب منطق های استان گیلان بودند کهاز بین آ نها، 230 نفر به روش غیر احتمالی در دسترس انتخاب شدند. به منظور تحلیل داد هها نیز از تحلیلمحتوا و روش مد لسازی معادلات ساختاری و نر مافزار Smart PLS 3 استفاده شد. یافتههای ب هدست آمدهنشان داد که رابطه مثبت و معناداری میان را هکارهای مدیریت یکپارچه شامل مقاو مسازی و ب هروزرسانیتاسیسات، منابع رزرو، آییننامههای بهسازی، مطالعات و آزما یشات دقیق و بهکارگیری تجهیزات فنی و انسانیبا تهد ید زلزله وجود داشته است و استفاده از هر یک از این راهکارها میتواند منجر به کاهش مخاطرات مرتبطبا زمان وقوع زلزله در کلا نشهر رشت شود .کلمات کلیدی: آب شرب، زلزله، زنجیره تامین و مد یر یت یکپارچ ه .
AbstractThe current research was conducted with the aim of investigating the integrated management of earthquake threat in the drinking water supply chain process. A combined method was used to conduct this research. The statistical population in the qualitative phase was 14 experts in the field of water and wastewater, and in the quantitative phase, the employees working in the regional water company of Guilan province, from whom, 230 people were selected by non-probability method. In order to analyze the data, content analysis and structural equation modeling method and Smart PLS 3 software were used. The findings showed that there was a positive and significant relationship between integrated management solutions including retrofitting and updating of facilities, reserve resources, improvement regulations, detailed studies and tests, and the use of technical and human equipment with the threat of earthquakes, and the use of each of these solutions It can lead to the reduction of risks related to the time of earthquake in Rasht metropolis.
منابع
-Alavi, Se. M., Massoud, M., Karimi, A. (2018). Assessing the resilience of urban water network infrastructure against earthquakes (case study: Tehran Region 2). Human Geography Research, 50(4), 977-991. (Persian)
-Alexander, D. (2007). Making research on geological hazards relevant to stakeholders’ needs. Quaternary international, 171, 186-192.
-Amaducci, F., Misuri, A., Salzano, E., & Cozzani, V. (2022). Assessment of Failure Frequencies of Pipelines in Natech Events Triggered by Earthquakes. Chemical Engineering Transactions, 91, 451-456.
-Arshadi, M. R., Etemadi, M., & Izadinia, M. (2011). Dynamic analysis of stress in a bent pipeline model. National Conference on Crisis Management, Earthquake and Vulnerability of Vital Places and Arteries, Tehran. (Persian)
-Baazm, Z., & Naseri, M. (2015). Analysis of water supply pipelines under loading caused by earthquake wave propagation with ABAQUS finite element software (case study: Birjand city water supply system). Second International Conference and the Third National Conference on the Application of New Technologies in Engineering Sciences, Mashhad. (Persian)
-Bostani, A., Golmaie, S. H., & Ansari, H. (2009). Bed and pipe modeling in urban water distribution network by finite element method with Ensys and Plaxis. Second National Water Conference, Behbahan Azad University. (Persian)
-Cerchiello, V., Ceresa, P., Monteiro, R., & Komendantova, N. (2018). Assessment of social vulnerability to seismic hazard in Nablus, Palestine. International journal of disaster risk reduction, 28, 491-506.
-Dehghani, F., Baqerpasand, M., Jahanshahi, A., & Dolue, B. (2006). Reinforcement of water supply facilities of reservoir dams. First International Conference on Seismic Retrofitting, Tehran. (Persian)
-Habibi, H. (2016). Necessity of modification of existing water storage ground concrete reservoirs based on passive defense criteria. Iran Congress of Water and Sewerage Science and Engineering, University of Tehran, Tehran. (Persian)
-Hasani, S. M., & Mahmoodabadi, M. (2016). Investigating the behavior of piping facilities due to earthquakes. International Institute of Seismology and Earthquake Engineering, 19(1), 55-61. (Persian)
-Jedi Qashlaq Ilkhchi, S., Esfandiari Darabad, F., & Jedi Qeshlaq Ilkhchi, M. (2013). The importance and necessity of passive defense and analysis of its application in cities. Sixth Congress of Iran Geopolitical Association Passive Defense, Mashhad, Iran Geopolitical Association, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad. (Persian)
-Kamalan, S. M. (2008). Iran, laws and regulations (law on fair distribution of water). Tehran: Kamalan. (Persian)
-Kazemi Balgeh Shiri, M. J., & Golestaneh, M. (2014). A study of passive protection in water storage tanks and transmission lines, Journal of Passive Protection, 20, 50-41. (Persian)
-Kim, J., Deshmukh, A., & Hastak, M. (2018). A framework for assessing the resilience of a disaster debris management system. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 28, 674-687.
54 / .......................... ... بررس ی م د یر ی ت یکپارچ ه ته د ی د زلزل ه در فراین د زن ج یر ه تا م ین .. .
-Koleva, M. N., Calderón, A. J., Zhang, D., Styan, C. A., & Papageorgiou, L. G. (2018). Integration of environmental aspects in modelling and optimisation of water supply chains. Science of the Total Environment, 636, 314-338.
-Lee, D. H., Kim, B. H., Lee, H., & Kong, J. S. (2009). Seismic behavior of a buried gas pipeline under earthquake excitations. Engineering structures, 31(5), 1011-1023.
-Lee, S., Choi, M., Lee, H. S., & Park, M. (2020). Bayesian network-based seismic damage estimation for power and potable water supply systems. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 197, 106796.
-Mani, A., Tabesh, M., & Zolfaghari, M. R. (2013). Hydraulic performance of post-earthquake water distribution networks based on head driven simulation method. Water Science and Technology: Water Supply, 13(5), 1281-1288.
-Mohammadi, P. (2020). Investigating the seismic pathology of the water pipeline network and providing resilient solutions to make the water and sewage network resilient against earthquakes. Sixth International Conference on Civil Engineering, Architecture and Urban Planning, Tehran. (Persian)
-Niko, M., Karachian, R., & Khorram Shokooh, N. (2018). A risk analysis model for safety management in water treatment plants (case study: Salman Farsi water treatment plant). Iran Water Resources Research, 14(2), 186-197. (Persian)
-Omranian Khorasani, H. (2015). Good governance and water management. Journal of Water and Sustainable Development, 3, 95-94. (Persian)
-PAHO (Pan American Health Organization) (2002). Emergencies and disasters in drinking water supply and sewage systems: Guidelines for effective response, 104 Regional office of the World Health Organization (WHO), Washington, DC.
-Palangi Jamal, A., Gholami Sefidkohi, M. A., & Bahmanyar, M. A. (2019). A column study of the effect of modified zeolite with different surfactant concentrations on phosphorus removal and its simulation with synthetic models and ANFIS. Iran Water and Soil Research, 50(2), 435-425. (Persian)
-Parish, Y. (2015). Investigating the effect of earthquake on urban water distribution networks. International Research Conference in Science and Technology. (Persian)
-Rahmani, F., Behzadian Moghadam, K., & Ardeshir, A. (2015). Rehabilitation of a water distribution system using sequential multiobjective optimization models. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 142(5).
-Saadeldin, R., Hu, Y., & Henni, A. (2015). Numerical analysis of buried pipes under field geo-environmental conditions. International Journal of Geo-Engineering, 6(1), 1-22.
-Samadi, L. (2017). Principles of exploratory seismology, first edition, academic jihad of Kharazmi unit. (Persian)
-Samadnejad, A., Gholipour, H., Zahoori Khosroshahi, M. B., & Lotfi, B. (2011). Vulnerability of water supply systems and arteries based on HAZUS-SR2. National Conference on Crisis Management, Earthquake and Vulnerability of Vital Places and Arteries, Tehran. (Persian)
-Shahinnia, E., Zarif Sanyaei, H., & Heydari, A. (2018). Security of drinking water distribution network based on passive defense considerations (case study of Isfahan city). International Conference on Security, Progress and Sustainable Development of Border Areas, Territorial Areas and Metropolises, Solutions and Challenges Focusing on Passive Defense and Crisis Management, Tehran: Imam Ali Officer University. (Persian)
فصلنامه مطالعات کمی در مدیریت...................................................................... / 55
-Sherafati, A., & Shabiri, Sh. (2021). Evaluation of CHIRPS precipitation data in analyzing the trend of precipitation characteristics in different climatic regions of Iran. Climatology Research Journal, 48, 111-121. (Persian)
-Sutanta, H., Rajabifard, A., & Bishop, I. D. (2013). Disaster risk reduction using acceptable risk measures for spatial planning. Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, 56(6), 761-785.
-Tanaka, Y. (2012). Disaster policy and education changes over 15 years in Japan. Journal of Comparative Policy Analysis: Research and Practice, 14(3), 245-253.
-Tanyimboh, T. T., & Kalungi, P. (2009). Multicriteria assessment of optimal design, rehabilitation and upgrading schemes for water distribution networks. Civil Engineering and Environmental Systems, 26(2), 117-140.
-Tavakoli Aminian, S. (2013). Empowerment of passive defense in increasing the security of water supply to the residents of the 9th district of Mashhad city. First National Conference on Drainage in Sustainable Agriculture, Tarbiat Modares University. (Persian)
-Vakhshuri, B., & Nahalparvari, V. (2011). The effect of seismic wave propagation and faulting on the vulnerability of water transmission lines based on materials, connections and performance levels. National Conference on Crisis Management, Earthquake and Vulnerability of Vital Places and Arteries, Tehran. (Persian)
-White, D. J., & Cheuk, C. Y. (2008). Modelling the soil resistance on seabed pipelines during large cycles of lateral movement. Marine structures, 21(1), 59-79.
-Yoo, D. G., Jung, D., Kang, D., Kim, J. H., & Lansey, K. (2015). Seismic hazard assessment model for urban water supply networks. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 142(2).
-Yoon, S., Lee, Y. J., & Jung, H. J. (2018). A comprehensive framework for seismic risk assessment of urban water transmission networks. International journal of disaster risk reduction, 31, 983-994.
منابع
-Alavi, Se. M., Massoud, M., Karimi, A. (2018). Assessing the resilience of urban water network infrastructure against earthquakes (case study: Tehran Region 2). Human Geography Research, 50(4), 977-991. (Persian)
-Alexander, D. (2007). Making research on geological hazards relevant to stakeholders’ needs. Quaternary international, 171, 186-192.
-Amaducci, F., Misuri, A., Salzano, E., & Cozzani, V. (2022). Assessment of Failure Frequencies of Pipelines in Natech Events Triggered by Earthquakes. Chemical Engineering Transactions, 91, 451-456.
-Arshadi, M. R., Etemadi, M., & Izadinia, M. (2011). Dynamic analysis of stress in a bent pipeline model. National Conference on Crisis Management, Earthquake and Vulnerability of Vital Places and Arteries, Tehran. (Persian)
-Baazm, Z., & Naseri, M. (2015). Analysis of water supply pipelines under loading caused by earthquake wave propagation with ABAQUS finite element software (case study: Birjand city water supply system). Second International Conference and the Third National Conference on the Application of New Technologies in Engineering Sciences, Mashhad. (Persian)
-Bostani, A., Golmaie, S. H., & Ansari, H. (2009). Bed and pipe modeling in urban water distribution network by finite element method with Ensys and Plaxis. Second National Water Conference, Behbahan Azad University. (Persian)
-Cerchiello, V., Ceresa, P., Monteiro, R., & Komendantova, N. (2018). Assessment of social vulnerability to seismic hazard in Nablus, Palestine. International journal of disaster risk reduction, 28, 491-506.
-Dehghani, F., Baqerpasand, M., Jahanshahi, A., & Dolue, B. (2006). Reinforcement of water supply facilities of reservoir dams. First International Conference on Seismic Retrofitting, Tehran. (Persian)
-Habibi, H. (2016). Necessity of modification of existing water storage ground concrete reservoirs based on passive defense criteria. Iran Congress of Water and Sewerage Science and Engineering, University of Tehran, Tehran. (Persian)
-Hasani, S. M., & Mahmoodabadi, M. (2016). Investigating the behavior of piping facilities due to earthquakes. International Institute of Seismology and Earthquake Engineering, 19(1), 55-61. (Persian)
-Jedi Qashlaq Ilkhchi, S., Esfandiari Darabad, F., & Jedi Qeshlaq Ilkhchi, M. (2013). The importance and necessity of passive defense and analysis of its application in cities. Sixth Congress of Iran Geopolitical Association Passive Defense, Mashhad, Iran Geopolitical Association, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad. (Persian)
-Kamalan, S. M. (2008). Iran, laws and regulations (law on fair distribution of water). Tehran: Kamalan. (Persian)
-Kazemi Balgeh Shiri, M. J., & Golestaneh, M. (2014). A study of passive protection in water storage tanks and transmission lines, Journal of Passive Protection, 20, 50-41. (Persian)
-Kim, J., Deshmukh, A., & Hastak, M. (2018). A framework for assessing the resilience of a disaster debris management system. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 28, 674-687.
54 / .......................... ... بررس ی م د یر ی ت یکپارچ ه ته د ی د زلزل ه در فراین د زن ج یر ه تا م ین .. .
-Koleva, M. N., Calderón, A. J., Zhang, D., Styan, C. A., & Papageorgiou, L. G. (2018). Integration of environmental aspects in modelling and optimisation of water supply chains. Science of the Total Environment, 636, 314-338.
-Lee, D. H., Kim, B. H., Lee, H., & Kong, J. S. (2009). Seismic behavior of a buried gas pipeline under earthquake excitations. Engineering structures, 31(5), 1011-1023.
-Lee, S., Choi, M., Lee, H. S., & Park, M. (2020). Bayesian network-based seismic damage estimation for power and potable water supply systems. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 197, 106796.
-Mani, A., Tabesh, M., & Zolfaghari, M. R. (2013). Hydraulic performance of post-earthquake water distribution networks based on head driven simulation method. Water Science and Technology: Water Supply, 13(5), 1281-1288.
-Mohammadi, P. (2020). Investigating the seismic pathology of the water pipeline network and providing resilient solutions to make the water and sewage network resilient against earthquakes. Sixth International Conference on Civil Engineering, Architecture and Urban Planning, Tehran. (Persian)
-Niko, M., Karachian, R., & Khorram Shokooh, N. (2018). A risk analysis model for safety management in water treatment plants (case study: Salman Farsi water treatment plant). Iran Water Resources Research, 14(2), 186-197. (Persian)
-Omranian Khorasani, H. (2015). Good governance and water management. Journal of Water and Sustainable Development, 3, 95-94. (Persian)
-PAHO (Pan American Health Organization) (2002). Emergencies and disasters in drinking water supply and sewage systems: Guidelines for effective response, 104 Regional office of the World Health Organization (WHO), Washington, DC.
-Palangi Jamal, A., Gholami Sefidkohi, M. A., & Bahmanyar, M. A. (2019). A column study of the effect of modified zeolite with different surfactant concentrations on phosphorus removal and its simulation with synthetic models and ANFIS. Iran Water and Soil Research, 50(2), 435-425. (Persian)
-Parish, Y. (2015). Investigating the effect of earthquake on urban water distribution networks. International Research Conference in Science and Technology. (Persian)
-Rahmani, F., Behzadian Moghadam, K., & Ardeshir, A. (2015). Rehabilitation of a water distribution system using sequential multiobjective optimization models. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 142(5).
-Saadeldin, R., Hu, Y., & Henni, A. (2015). Numerical analysis of buried pipes under field geo-environmental conditions. International Journal of Geo-Engineering, 6(1), 1-22.
-Samadi, L. (2017). Principles of exploratory seismology, first edition, academic jihad of Kharazmi unit. (Persian)
-Samadnejad, A., Gholipour, H., Zahoori Khosroshahi, M. B., & Lotfi, B. (2011). Vulnerability of water supply systems and arteries based on HAZUS-SR2. National Conference on Crisis Management, Earthquake and Vulnerability of Vital Places and Arteries, Tehran. (Persian)
-Shahinnia, E., Zarif Sanyaei, H., & Heydari, A. (2018). Security of drinking water distribution network based on passive defense considerations (case study of Isfahan city). International Conference on Security, Progress and Sustainable Development of Border Areas, Territorial Areas and Metropolises, Solutions and Challenges Focusing on Passive Defense and Crisis Management, Tehran: Imam Ali Officer University. (Persian)
فصلنامه مطالعات کمی در مدیریت...................................................................... / 55
-Sherafati, A., & Shabiri, Sh. (2021). Evaluation of CHIRPS precipitation data in analyzing the trend of precipitation characteristics in different climatic regions of Iran. Climatology Research Journal, 48, 111-121. (Persian)
-Sutanta, H., Rajabifard, A., & Bishop, I. D. (2013). Disaster risk reduction using acceptable risk measures for spatial planning. Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, 56(6), 761-785.
-Tanaka, Y. (2012). Disaster policy and education changes over 15 years in Japan. Journal of Comparative Policy Analysis: Research and Practice, 14(3), 245-253.
-Tanyimboh, T. T., & Kalungi, P. (2009). Multicriteria assessment of optimal design, rehabilitation and upgrading schemes for water distribution networks. Civil Engineering and Environmental Systems, 26(2), 117-140.
-Tavakoli Aminian, S. (2013). Empowerment of passive defense in increasing the security of water supply to the residents of the 9th district of Mashhad city. First National Conference on Drainage in Sustainable Agriculture, Tarbiat Modares University. (Persian)
-Vakhshuri, B., & Nahalparvari, V. (2011). The effect of seismic wave propagation and faulting on the vulnerability of water transmission lines based on materials, connections and performance levels. National Conference on Crisis Management, Earthquake and Vulnerability of Vital Places and Arteries, Tehran. (Persian)
-White, D. J., & Cheuk, C. Y. (2008). Modelling the soil resistance on seabed pipelines during large cycles of lateral movement. Marine structures, 21(1), 59-79.
-Yoo, D. G., Jung, D., Kang, D., Kim, J. H., & Lansey, K. (2015). Seismic hazard assessment model for urban water supply networks. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 142(2).
-Yoon, S., Lee, Y. J., & Jung, H. J. (2018). A comprehensive framework for seismic risk assessment of urban water transmission networks. International journal of disaster risk reduction, 31, 983-994.
