Formulating a Development Strategy for the Coastal Cities of Bushehr Province with Emphasis on Addressing Existing Challenges
محورهای موضوعی : Sustainable Development
Seyed Taha Mousavi
1
,
Azita Rajabi
2
,
Naser Eghbali
3
1 - Ph.D. Student, Department of Geography and Urban Planning, Central Tehran Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran.
2 - Associate Professor, Department of Geography and Urban Planning, Central Tehran Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran.
3 - Professor, Department of Geography and Urban Planning, Central Tehran Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran
کلید واژه: Urban development strategy, damage assessment, coastal cities of Bushehr Province,
چکیده مقاله :
The strategic urban development plan is a tool for managing and improving the quality of life, economy, infrastructure, and environment of cities. The coastal cities of Bushehr province have not been able to fully utilize their capacities due to challenges such as weak infrastructure, environmental issues, and unemployment. Therefore, formulating an urban development strategy based on a thorough analysis of these problems is essential. This study is applied in terms of its objective and descriptive-analytical in nature, with data collected through both library and field methods. Data analysis was conducted using structural equation modeling with Smart PLS software. The findings indicate that the research model has good quality, and its fit was positively confirmed using communality and redundancy validity indices. The explained variance (0.68) demonstrates the simultaneous impact of three criteria—employment and economic strategies, environmental preservation, and expansion of trade relations—on sustainable urban development in the coastal cities of Bushehr province. Hypothesis testing also showed a positive and significant effect of implementing employment and economic sustainability strategies, environmental strategies, and trade expansion on sustainable urban development. Finally, the goodness-of-fit index (GOF) was 0.732, indicating the desirability of the structural model. The results suggest that policymakers should design programs tailored to the real needs of the region to achieve both economic growth and environmental preservation, providing a comprehensive vision for the development of Bushehr’s coastal cities and identifying investment priorities
The strategic urban development plan is a tool for managing and improving the quality of life, economy, infrastructure, and environment of cities. The coastal cities of Bushehr province have not been able to fully utilize their capacities due to challenges such as weak infrastructure, environmental issues, and unemployment. Therefore, formulating an urban development strategy based on a thorough analysis of these problems is essential. This study is applied in terms of its objective and descriptive-analytical in nature, with data collected through both library and field methods. Data analysis was conducted using structural equation modeling with Smart PLS software. The findings indicate that the research model has good quality, and its fit was positively confirmed using communality and redundancy validity indices. The explained variance (0.68) demonstrates the simultaneous impact of three criteria—employment and economic strategies, environmental preservation, and expansion of trade relations—on sustainable urban development in the coastal cities of Bushehr province. Hypothesis testing also showed a positive and significant effect of implementing employment and economic sustainability strategies, environmental strategies, and trade expansion on sustainable urban development. Finally, the goodness-of-fit index (GOF) was 0.732, indicating the desirability of the structural model. The results suggest that policymakers should design programs tailored to the real needs of the region to achieve both economic growth and environmental preservation, providing a comprehensive vision for the development of Bushehr’s coastal cities and identifying investment priorities
Alamati, Z., Kaldi, A., & Navabakhsh, M. (2022). Identifying the main drivers of urban development using a foresight approach: Case study of Tehran metropolis. Economics and Urban Planning, 3(1), 16–32.
Alavi, S. A., Tavakoli, M., & Gerousi, A. (2015). Urban future visioning with an urban development strategy (CDS) approach: Case study of Qom city. Journal of Sustainable City Architecture, 6(2), 23-32.
Al-Darwish, Y., Ayad, H., Taha, D., & Saadallah, D. (2018). Predicting the future urban growth and its impacts on the surrounding environment using urban simulation models: Case study of Ibb city–Yemen. Alexandria Engineering Journal, 57(4), 2887–2895.
Aminzadeh, A. (2022). An examination of CDS experiences in Iran and the world. Quarterly Journal of Environmental Sciences and Geography Knowledge, 1(2). https://civilica.com/doc/1871551/1
Eakin, H., Keele, S., & Lueck, V. (2022). Uncomfortable knowledge: Mechanisms of urban development in adaptation governance. World Development, 159, 1–19.
Fontana, A. G., Nascimento, V. F., Ometto, J. P., & do Amaral, F. H. F. (2023). Analysis of past and future urban growth on a regional scale using remote sensing and machine learning. Frontiers in Remote Sensing, 4, 1123254.
Han, Y., & Jia, H. (2020). Simulating the spatial dynamics of urban growth with an integrated modeling approach: A case study of Foshan, China. Ecological Modelling, 353, 107–116.
Hosseini, S. A., Yaghfouri, H., & Hadiani, Z. (2019). Investigating and analyzing the factors affecting the development of the physical-spatial structure of Qom city with a future research approach. Journal of Geography and Development, 18(61), 247–276.
Imani, B. (2019). Prospective research of balanced point development based on scenario planning: Case study of Ardabil province. Geography and Development, 18(58), 17–44.
Kaya, S., & Curran, P. J. (2019). Monitoring urban growth on the European side of the Istanbul metropolitan area. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation, 18, 18–25.
Khoshab, A., Khakpour, B., & Alaei, R. (2022). Pathology of urban development plans from preparation to implementation with emphasis on the comprehensive and detailed plan of Mashhad. Journal of Geography and Urban Space Development, 9(3), 195-218.
Liu, J., Ye, J., Yang, W., & Yu, S. (2020). Environmental impact assessment of land use planning in Wuhan city based on ecological suitability analysis. Procedia Environmental Sciences, 2, 19–32.
Mallick, S. K., Das, P., Maity, B., Rudra, S., Pramanik, M., Pradhan, B., & Sahana, M. (2021). Understanding future urban growth, urban resilience and sustainable development of small cities using prediction-adaptation-resilience (PAR) approach. Sustainable Cities and Society, 74, 103196.
Ministry of Interior, Division of Country Affairs. (2019).
Motevalli, S., et al. (2021). An analysis of the role of coastal tourism in sustainable urban development (Case study: Coastal cities of Babolsar, Noor, and Royan). Spatial Planning and Arrangement, 25(4). https://hsmsp.modares.ac.i
Norouzifard, M., et al. (2014). Feasibility of using urban development strategy (CDS) in the Iranian urban planning system. Urban Management Quarterly, (34).
Pourahmad, A., Hataminejad, H., & Hosseini, S. H. (2006). Pathology of urban development plans in Iran. Geographical Researches. https://journals.ut.ac.ir/
Rafiei, M., et al. (2022). Planning the development of marginal settlements in metropolitan areas with an urban development strategy approach (Case study: Amir Arab neighborhood of Isfahan). Scientific-Research Quarterly of Spatial-Location, (22). https://jspr.jdisf.ac.ir/
Rasouli, M., & Shirmohammadi, M. (2019). Analyzing the pattern of physical development of cities in desert areas with a foresight approach: Case study of Yazd city. Geographical Explorations of Desert Regions, 8(1), 269–299.
Safaeipour, M., & Aryannejad, N. (2023). Foresight of key factors affecting urban development: Case study of Dezful city. Iranian Foresight Scientific Biannual, 8(2), 348-388.
Safaipour, M., & Shanbepour, F. (2018). Future planning of urban development based on scenario writing: Case study of Ahvaz metropolis. Geography and Human Relations, 2(3), 7.
Safar Alizadeh, I., Bahrami Jaf, S., & Khan-zadeh, M. (2023). Future research of key drivers affecting the urban development of border areas based on the approach of urban and regional governance: Case study of Javanroud. Quarterly of Geography and Regional Future Research, 1(2), 51–60.
Salavarzizadeh, M., Sheikhi, H., & Goldousti, Z. (2021). Identification and analysis of factors affecting urban development with a foresight approach (Case study: Ilam city). Human Geography Research, 53(4), 1491-1508. https://doi.org/10.22059/JHGR.2021.303319.1008124
Seid Beigi, S., Mousapour Miandehi, P., Malania Jelodar, Sh., & Malmir, M. (2022). Identification of key factors in urban development with a foresight approach: Case study of Sari city. Quarterly Journal of Human Settlements Planning Studies, 17(1), 89-106. https://doi.org/20.1001.1.25385968.1401.17.1.20.0
Shavarmand Consulting Engineers. (2003). Methods for implementing urban development plans in Iran (Vol. 1, 2nd ed.). Organization of Municipalities of Iran. https://lib.ut.ac.ir/
Statistical Center of Iran. (2016). Census of Bushehr Province.
Ubilla-Bravo, G. F. (2024). A geospatial model of periurbanization: The case of three intermediate-sized and subregional cities in Chile. Land, 13(5), 694.
Wanfu, J., Chunshan, Z., Tao, L., & Guojun, Z. (2019). Exploring the factors affecting regional land development patterns at different developmental stages: Evidence from 289 Chinese cities. Cities, 91, 193–201.
Zand Moghadam, M. R. (2022). Investigating the role of geomorphological factors in the physical development of the city using AHP and GIS: A case example of Firouzkoh. Natural Ecosystems of Iran, 13(3), 34–57.
Zhang, J. X., Cheng, J. W., Philbin, S. P., Ballesteros-Perez, P., Skitmore, M., & Wang, G. (2023). Influencing factors of urban innovation and development: A grounded theory analysis. Environmental Development and Sustainability.
Ziyari, K., Hosseini, A., & Behzadi Rad, M. (2022). Analysis and identification of key drivers in urban development strategy in urban planning: A foresight approach to the city issue. Sustainable City Journal, 5(3), 39-60. https://www.jscity.ir/article_164499.html
