بررسی ارتباط بین تغییرات قیمت نفت، اعتبارات بانکی و توسعه بخش بهداشت و درمان: مطالعه موردی کشورهای منتخب صادرکننده نفت
محورهای موضوعی : -اقتصاد بهداشت و درمان
علی حمید شاطی غریری
1
,
حسین شریفی رنانی
2
,
مناف مرزه نعمه راضی
3
,
سارا قبادی
4
1 - دانشجوی دکتری رشته اقتصاد، واحد اصفهان (خوراسگان)، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، اصفهان، ایران،
2 - دانشیار اقتصاد، واحد اصفهان (خوراسگان)، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، اصفهان، ایران
3 - دانشیار اقتصاد، دانشگاه قادسیه، دیوانیه، عراق،
4 - استادیار اقتصاد، واحد اصفهان (خوراسگان)، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، اصفهان، ایران
کلید واژه: قیمت نفت, اعتبارات بانکی, بخش بهداشت و درمان, کشورهای منتخب صادر کننده نفت.,
چکیده مقاله :
مقدمه: نفت خام یکی از منابعی است که بودجه کشورهای صادر کننده نفت توسط آن تامین می‌شود. در همین راستا تغییرات و به طور خاص کاهش قیمت نفت به صورت مستقیم، امور مالی دولت‌ها را تحت فشار زیادی قرار خواهد داد که بخش بهداشت و درمان یکی از بخش‌هایی است که فشار مالی را تجربه کرده و به صورت غیرمستقیم نیز، حجم اعتبارات بانکی و اثرپذیری ان از تغییرات قیمت نفت، بر توسعه بخش بهداشت و درمان می‌تواند اثر گذاری داشته باشد. در همین راستا هدف اصلی تحقیق حاضر بررسی ارتباط بین تغییرات قیمت نفت، اعتبارات بانکی و توسعه بخش بهداشت و درمان درکشورهای منتخب صادرکننده نفت می‌باشد.
روش پژوهش: برای این منظور از داده‌های 12 کشور عضو اوپک شامل ایران، عراق، عربستان، کویت، ونزوئلا، لیبی، امارات، الجزایر، نیجریه، گابن، گینه و کنگو طی دوره زمانی 2003 تا 2023 استفاده شده است. روش تجزیه و تحلیل داده‌ها مبتنی بر روش رگرسیونی پانل پویا (GMM) می‌باشد.
یافته‌ها: یافته‌های تحقیق نشان می‌دهد که تغییرات قیمت نفت منجر به کاهش سرمایه گذاری در بخش بهداشت و درمان شده و توسعه این بخش را دچار کاهش می‌نماید. علاوه بر این مشاهده شد که تغییرات قیمت نفت از طریق مکانیسم کاهش حجم اعتبارات بانکی نیز منجر به تضعیف بیشتر توسعه بخش بهداشت و درمان در کشورهای مورد بررسی شده است.
نتیجه‌گیری: بر همین اساس نتیجه گیری می‌گردد که در بررسی عوامل موثر بر توسعه بخش بهداشت و درمان در کشورهای صادر کننده نفت، اثرات مستقیم تغییرات قیمت نفت و اثرات غیر مستقیم کاهش حجم اعتبارات بانکی مد نظر قرار بگیرد.
Introduction: Crude oil is one of the sources that provide the budget of oil exporting countries. In this regard, the changes and especially the decrease in the price of oil will directly put the financial affairs of the governments under a lot of pressure. Banking and its effectiveness from oil price changes can have an effect on the development of the healthcare sector. In this regard, the main goal of this research is to examine the relationship between oil price changes, bank credits and the development of the health and treatment sector in selected oil exporting countries.
Methods: For this purpose, the data of 12 OPEC member countries, including Iran, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Venezuela, Libya, UAE, Algeria, Nigeria, Gabon, Guinea and Congo, have been used during the period from 2003 to 2023. The data analysis method is based on dynamic panel regression method (GMM).
Results: The findings of the research show that changes in oil prices lead to a decrease in investment in the healthcare sector and reduce the development of this sector. In addition, it was observed that changes in oil prices through the mechanism of reducing the amount of bank loans have also led to further weakening of the development of the healthcare sector in the countries under review.
Conclusion: Based on this, it is concluded that the direct effects of oil price changes and the indirect effects of reducing the volume of bank loans should be considered in the investigation of the factors affecting the development of the health and treatment sector in oil exporting countries.
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