Determine and Formulation Strategies for the Development of Afghanistan's Agriculture Sector Using SWOT Analysis, SPACE Matrix, and QSPM Approach
محورهای موضوعی : Strategic planning
مجتبی نیک زاد
1
(
دانشجوی دکتری گروه اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشکده اقتصاد و توسعه کشاورزی، دانشگاه تهران، کرج، ایران
)
سید صفدر حسینی
2
(
استاد گروه اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشکده اقتصاد و توسعه کشاورزی، دانشگاه تهران، کرج، ایران
)
حبیب الله سلامی
3
(
استاد گروه اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشکده اقتصاد و توسعه کشاورزی، دانشگاه تهران، کرج، ایران
)
امیرحسین چیذری
4
(
استادیار گروه اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشکده اقتصاد و توسعه کشاورزی، دانشگاه تهران، کرج، ایران
)
انورالحق احدی
5
(
استاد و وزیر زراعت، آبیاری و مالداری جمهوری اسلامی افغانستان، کابل، افغانستان
)
کلید واژه: agriculture, Afghanistan, development strategies, SWOT-QSPM Approach, Delphi Technique and Questionnaire,
چکیده مقاله :
The agricultural sector plays a vital role in Afghanistan's economy, but despite national and international efforts to support its growth, the sector has not achieved sustainable and significant development. This has led to problems such as poverty, reduced food security, and an increase in narcotics cultivation. In order to address these challenges and promote the development of Afghanistan's agricultural sector, a comprehensive study was conducted to formulate appropriate strategies aligned with the country's sustainable economic development goals. The study utilized the Delphi technique and questionnaire instrument to gather insights from experts in the field. By considering various internal and external factors, the SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, and Threats) analytical framework was applied to identify suitable strategies. Additionally, the strategic position of the agricultural sector was determined using the SPACE (Strategic Position and Action Evaluation) matrix. Based on the findings, conservative strategies, such as reorientation and revision of executive policies, were identified as crucial for the development of Afghanistan's agricultural sector. These strategies emphasize the importance of supportive policies and the evaluation and revision of existing policies and executive plans. By addressing the structural and infrastructural weaknesses within the agricultural sector and capitalizing on external opportunities, it is possible to overcome the challenges and promote sustainable growth. To prioritize the strategies, the study employed the QSPM (Quantitative Strategic Planning Matrix) approach. This approach allowed for the sorting of strategies based on their importance and priority, ensuring that the most effective and impactful actions are implemented first. In conclusion, the study highlights the need to focus on conservative strategies, particularly reorientation, and revision of executive policies, to address the challenges faced by Afghanistan's agricultural sector. By doing so, the sector can overcome its weaknesses and take advantage of external opportunities to achieve sustainable and significant growth.
اهمیت بخش کشاورزی به عنوان بخش اصلی اقتصاد افغانستان موجب شده است که رشد این بخش همواره بهعنوان هدف سیاستگذاریها و برنامهریزیهای کلان ملی و بینالمللی برای توسعه این کشور باشد. با این وجود، علیرغم حمایتهای گسترده ملی و بینالمللی این بخش نه تنها نتوانسته از رشد پایدار و قابل توجهی برخوردار گردد، بلکه این کشور را با مشکلاتی از جمله گسترش فقر، کاهش امنیت غذایی، گسترش کشت مواد مخدر رو به رو ساخته است. بنابراین، هدف از این مطالعه تعیین و تدوین استراتژی های جامع و مناسب برای توسعه بخش کشاورزی افغانستان به منظور دستیابی به اهداف اسناد بالادستی توسعه پایدار اقتصادی است. برای این منظور، پس از تعیین چشمانداز و مأموریتهای بخش کشاورزی افغانستان، بر اساس روش دلفی و ابزار پرسشنامه و با در نظر گرفتن کلیه مؤلفهها و عوامل مختلف محیطهای داخلی و خارجی، از چارچوب تحلیلی SWOT برای تعیین استراتژیهای مناسب استفاده شده است. در نهایت، جایگاه استراتژیک بخش کشاورزی توسط ماتریس SPACE تعیین گردید و با کاربرد رویکرد QSPM، استراتژیهای تعیین شده براساس اهمیت و اولویت مرتب شده اند. نتایج نشان میدهد که استراتژیهای محافظهکارانه شامل تغییر جهت و بازنگری (بررسی سیاستهای اجرایی بخش کشاورزی افغانستان) بیش از سایر استراتژیها ضروری است. این امر بر لزوم تمرکز بر سیاستهای حمایتی و ارزیابی و بازنگری سیاستها و برنامههای اجرایی به منظور غلبه بر ضعفهای گسترده ساختاری و زیرساختی بخش کشاورزی افغانستان با بهرهگیری از فرصتهای متعددخارجی تاکید دارد.
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