بررسی روابط میان مولفه‌های ساختاری توسعه نظام آموزش عالی ایران با رویکرد آینده پژوهی
محورهای موضوعی : آموزش عالیسپیده مدانلو جویباری 1 , مجتبی طبری 2 , مسعود یوسف زاده 3 , محمدرضا باقرزاده 4
1 - دانشجوی دکتری مدیریت دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی واحد قائم شهر، ایران
2 - دانشیار گروه مدیریت دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی واحد قائم شهر، ایران
3 - استادیار گروه مدیریت آموزشی دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی واحد قائم شهر، ایران
4 - استادیارگروه مدیریت دولتی ، واحد قائم‌شهر ،دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی ،قائم شهر، ایران
کلید واژه: فناوری اطلاعات و ارتباطات, آینده‌پژوهی, توسعه آموزش عالی, فرهنگ سازمانی آینده‌گرا, ساختار سازمانی چابک,
چکیده مقاله :
هدف کلی تحقیق حاضر، بررسی روابط میان مولفه‌های بعدساختاری توسعه نظام آموزش عالی ایران با رویکرد آینده‌پژوهی بود. این تحقیق از نظر هدف، کاربردی است که با رویکرد آمیخته با طرح اکتشافی انجام شد. جامعه آماری تحقیق را در بخش کیفی، اعضای هیات‌علمی و خبرگان پنل آینده‌پژوهی و در بخش کمی، اعضای هیات‌علمی و کارکنان دانشگاه‌های آزاد اسلامی منطقه3 کشور به‌ترتیب به‌تعداد 20 نفر و 5878 نفر تشکیل دادند. در بخش کیفی از روش نمونه‌گیری هدفمند تعداد 15نفر و در بخش کمی با روش نمونه‌گیری تصادفی طبقه‌ای و براساس فرمول کوکران تعداد 361 نفر به‌عنوان نمونه انتخاب شدند. جهت جمع‌آوری داده‌ها از پرسش‌نامه محقق‌ساخته استفاده شد. روایی صوری و محتوایی ابزار به تایید متخصصان رسید و پایایی ترکیبی و ضریب آلفای‌کرونباخ مورد تایید بود. جهت تجزیه و تحلیل داده‌ها از آزمون‌های تحلیل عاملی اکتشافی و تحلیل مسیر استفاده شد. مطابق با نتایج برای بعدساختاری 5 مولفه منابع مالی(825/0)، فرهنگ‌سازمانی آینده‌گرا(810/0)، فناوری‌اطلاعات و ارتباطات(798/0)، ساختارسازمانی چابک(760/0) و استقلال دانشگاه(756/0) شناسایی گردید. بیشترین اثرگذاری را مولفه منابع مالی بر ساختارسازمانی چابک و مولفه منابع مالی بر فناوری‌اطلاعات و ارتباطات دارد و کمترین تاثیر بین مولفه‌ها مربوط به اثرگذاری مولفه فرهنگ‌سازمانی بر استقلال دانشگاه و مولفه منابع مالی بر استقلال دانشگاه دارد.
The present study aimed to investigate the causal relationships between the structural Components for the development of the Iranian higher education system with a future study approach. In terms of purpose, this research is an applicable one that was prepared with a mixed method with the exploratory design. In the qualitative part, the statistical population of the study consisted of experts of the futures study panel, and in the quantitative part, included faculty members and staff of Islamic Azad universities in Region 3 of the country, 20 people and 5878people, respectively. In the qualitative part of the purposive sampling method, 15 people and in the quantitative part with the combined cluster and stratified sampling method and based on the Cochran''s formula, 361 people were selected as the sample. A researcher-made questionnaire was adopted to collect data. The face and content validity of the instrument(0.881) as well as the combined reliability(0.932) and Cronbach''s alpha(0.922) coefficient were approved by experts. Exploratory and confirmatory factor analysis tests were used to analyze the data. The five sub-criteria of financial resources(0.825), futuristic organizational culture (0.810), information and communication technology(0.798), agile organizational structure (0.760), and university independence(0.756) were identified according to the results of structural criteria.
Alvani, S., Mardani, M. (2013). Designing Patterns of Higher Education Development in Iran’s 2025 Vision. Social Development & Welfare Planning, 5(14), 26-68.
Brennan, L., Cusack, T., Delahunt, E., Kuznesof, S., Donnelly, S. (2017). Academics’ conceptualisations of the research-teaching nexus in a researchintensive Irish university: A dynamic framework for growth & development.
Elmassah, S., Biltagy, M., & Gamal, D. (2020). Engendering sustainable development competencies in higher education: The case of Egypt. Journal of Cleaner Production, 266, 121959.
Fathollahi, A., Yamani, M., Farasatkhah, M., Ghasi Tabatabaei, M. (2015). Content Analysis of Higher Education Program’s with a Focus on Structural and Functional Changes of Academic Autonomy. Journal of Science and Technology Policy, 8(1), 27-47.
Ghaznavi, M., Jafari Fard, R., Kikha, A., Kheradmand, Z. (2014), A Study of the Components of Virtual Education Development in the Higher Education System of Iran from the Perspective of Implementing University Professors, First National Conference on Educational Sciences and Psychology, Marvdasht,
Mahmoudzadeh, A., Mahboobfar, M, R. (2012). Surveying the field of futures research in the world and futuristic planning in the higher education system of the Islamic Republic of Iran. The First National Conference on Futurology, Tehran, Yadegar Derakhshan Aria Company.
Malekinia, E., Malekinia, Z., Feizi, S. (2018). Survey on Imperative Strategies for Iranian's Higher Education System in Globalization Age. Quarterly Journal of The Macro and Strategic Policies, 6(24), 518-545.
Mariani, B., & Horsley, T.L. (2020). Simulation Research Rubric: Further Analysis of Published Simulation Studies and Future Implications. Clinical Simulation in Nursing, 48, 89-93.
Niaz Azari, M. (2015). Future studies to determine the components of the model in higher education. Future study Management, 23(97), 55-64.
Sajjadi, H., Mottaghi, E. (2018). Meta-analysis of the Performance of Iran Higher Education System with a Focus on National Development Plans. Journal of Iranian Social Development Studies, 10(3), 7-25.
Salami, N., Razzaqi Shirsavar, H., , Haqqani, M. (2018). Identification of Static - Dynamics Factors of Higher Education System In Iran, Iranian Higher Education, 10 (2): 89-110
Salami, R., Khani, M., Safari Dabarzi, A. (2012). The study of foresight effect in Naja’s research area. Quarterly journal of Industrial Technology Development, 10(19), 73-88.
Samari, E., Yaminidozi Sorkhabi, M., Salehi Omran, E., Garaeinezhad, G. (2014). Investigation and identification of effective factors in the process of university development in Iranian public universities. Journal of Educational Planning Studies, 2(4), 67-100.
Sharifi, M., Karimi, F., Saedian, N. (2016). Evaluate the components of transnational higher education in higher education of Iran. Educational researches, 11(48), 41-60.
Sleuthing, G. (2012). The business of education: Improving international student learning experiences in Malaysia. World Journal of Social Sciences 2(6): 179-199.
Tarasyev , A.A., Sudakova , A.E., & Agarkov , G.A. (2018). Integral Evaluation of the Investment Effectiveness into Universities Development. IFAC-PapersOnLine, 51 (32), 484-489.
_||_Alvani, S., Mardani, M. (2013). Designing Patterns of Higher Education Development in Iran’s 2025 Vision. Social Development & Welfare Planning, 5(14), 26-68.
Brennan, L., Cusack, T., Delahunt, E., Kuznesof, S., Donnelly, S. (2017). Academics’ conceptualisations of the research-teaching nexus in a researchintensive Irish university: A dynamic framework for growth & development.
Elmassah, S., Biltagy, M., & Gamal, D. (2020). Engendering sustainable development competencies in higher education: The case of Egypt. Journal of Cleaner Production, 266, 121959.
Fathollahi, A., Yamani, M., Farasatkhah, M., Ghasi Tabatabaei, M. (2015). Content Analysis of Higher Education Program’s with a Focus on Structural and Functional Changes of Academic Autonomy. Journal of Science and Technology Policy, 8(1), 27-47.
Ghaznavi, M., Jafari Fard, R., Kikha, A., Kheradmand, Z. (2014), A Study of the Components of Virtual Education Development in the Higher Education System of Iran from the Perspective of Implementing University Professors, First National Conference on Educational Sciences and Psychology, Marvdasht,
Mahmoudzadeh, A., Mahboobfar, M, R. (2012). Surveying the field of futures research in the world and futuristic planning in the higher education system of the Islamic Republic of Iran. The First National Conference on Futurology, Tehran, Yadegar Derakhshan Aria Company.
Malekinia, E., Malekinia, Z., Feizi, S. (2018). Survey on Imperative Strategies for Iranian's Higher Education System in Globalization Age. Quarterly Journal of The Macro and Strategic Policies, 6(24), 518-545.
Mariani, B., & Horsley, T.L. (2020). Simulation Research Rubric: Further Analysis of Published Simulation Studies and Future Implications. Clinical Simulation in Nursing, 48, 89-93.
Niaz Azari, M. (2015). Future studies to determine the components of the model in higher education. Future study Management, 23(97), 55-64.
Sajjadi, H., Mottaghi, E. (2018). Meta-analysis of the Performance of Iran Higher Education System with a Focus on National Development Plans. Journal of Iranian Social Development Studies, 10(3), 7-25.
Salami, N., Razzaqi Shirsavar, H., , Haqqani, M. (2018). Identification of Static - Dynamics Factors of Higher Education System In Iran, Iranian Higher Education, 10 (2): 89-110
Salami, R., Khani, M., Safari Dabarzi, A. (2012). The study of foresight effect in Naja’s research area. Quarterly journal of Industrial Technology Development, 10(19), 73-88.
Samari, E., Yaminidozi Sorkhabi, M., Salehi Omran, E., Garaeinezhad, G. (2014). Investigation and identification of effective factors in the process of university development in Iranian public universities. Journal of Educational Planning Studies, 2(4), 67-100.
Sharifi, M., Karimi, F., Saedian, N. (2016). Evaluate the components of transnational higher education in higher education of Iran. Educational researches, 11(48), 41-60.
Sleuthing, G. (2012). The business of education: Improving international student learning experiences in Malaysia. World Journal of Social Sciences 2(6): 179-199.
Tarasyev , A.A., Sudakova , A.E., & Agarkov , G.A. (2018). Integral Evaluation of the Investment Effectiveness into Universities Development. IFAC-PapersOnLine, 51 (32), 484-489.
