• List of Articles oil revenues

      • Open Access Article

        1 - Investigating the Short-Term and Long-Term Effects of Real Currency Value on Iran's Stock Exchange
        Masoume Karimi Gholamreza Zomorodian
        Money and monetary policy, on the one hand, are the source of economic activity and on the other hand, the value of money and the speed of its circulation are influenced by the conditions and economic activities. According to many scholars, the criterion of the importan More
        Money and monetary policy, on the one hand, are the source of economic activity and on the other hand, the value of money and the speed of its circulation are influenced by the conditions and economic activities. According to many scholars, the criterion of the importance of money is that it can have a decisive impact on the economical structure of the countries. Along with this approach the present study is looking for to determine and quantify the effect of the real value of money on Iran's gross domestic product, it will be a useful guide for policy makers to properly plan future programs. According to objectives this research is practical and according to the methodology inductive reasoning and the research design is retrospective study; the time period for doing this research is 1991- 2016. In this study, inferential statistics were used to analyze the relationship between variables. Accordingly, based on theoretical foundations and various studies which have been carried out both inside and outside the country, all the variables that influenced the Iran Stock Exchange were identified.In the following, according to the statistical characteristics of the variables, the Autoregressive Distributed Lag(ARDL) was selected as an appropriate econometric model. Based on the real value of money, short-term and long-term money does not have a significant effect on gross domestic product; but government expenditures, exports, imports and exchange rates have a positive and significant impact on Iran Stock Exchange over the short term and in the long termperiod. The results also indicated that the error correction model (ECM) coefficient in the study was about 0. 347; in other words, about 34.7 percent of the Iran Stock Exchange's imbalance variable from its long-term values disappears after a period of time. Accordingly, if the Iran Stock Exchange exits from the initial equilibrium due to the shock, 3 courses of time are needed to correct short-term imbalances and gross domestic product will return to the original long-term equilibrium. Manuscript profile
      • Open Access Article

        2 - Exchange Rate Pass-Through into Import Price in Iran Economy with Emphasis on Volatility of Oil Revenues (Nonlinear Approach)
        Mana Mesbahi Hosein Asgharpour Jafar Haghighat Seyed Alireza Kazerooni firooz fallahi
        Abstract The main objective of this paper is to investigate the impacts of fundamental variables and volatility of oil revenue (as one of the most important of environment prevailing components in Iran economy) on degree of exchange rate pass through (ERPT) into import More
        Abstract The main objective of this paper is to investigate the impacts of fundamental variables and volatility of oil revenue (as one of the most important of environment prevailing components in Iran economy) on degree of exchange rate pass through (ERPT) into import price. For this, Markov-Switching and EGARCH methods were used on the base of data for 1990:3 to 2014:1. The findings indicate that there are two ERPT into import price regimes in Iran economy. The ERPT is more than unitary in both regimes. Also, volatility of oil revenues has asymmetric impacts on ERPTs of regimes in terms of size and sign but it increases ERPT into import price in both regimes. Therefore, managing of volatility of oil revenues and exchange rate changes are suggested. Manuscript profile
      • Open Access Article

        3 - اعتبارات بانکی و رشد سرمایه‏گذاری در بخش کشاورزی ایران
        Mehdi Shabanzadeh Reza Esfanjari Kenari Parinaz Jansouz Mohammad Kavoosi Kalashami
        در پژوهش حاضر ارتباط میان اعتبارات بانکی و رشد سرمایه‏گذاری در بخش کشاورزی ایران طی دوره زمانی 2011-1982 با استفاده از الگوی خود توزیع برداری (ARDL) مورد  بررسی قرار گرفته است. جهت دستیابی به این هدف، رشد سرمایه‏گذاری در بخش کشاورزی ایران تابعی از درآمدهای More
        در پژوهش حاضر ارتباط میان اعتبارات بانکی و رشد سرمایه‏گذاری در بخش کشاورزی ایران طی دوره زمانی 2011-1982 با استفاده از الگوی خود توزیع برداری (ARDL) مورد  بررسی قرار گرفته است. جهت دستیابی به این هدف، رشد سرمایه‏گذاری در بخش کشاورزی ایران تابعی از درآمدهای نفتی، اعتبارات بانکی، ارزش افزوده بخش کشاورزی و موجودی سرمایه در این بخش در نظر گرفته شده است. نتایج حاصل از پژوهش حاضر نشان می‏دهد که میان متغیرهای لحاظ شده در الگوی سرمایه‏گذاری بخش کشاورزی، ارتباط بلندمدت وجود دارد. از میان متغیرهای فوق اعتبارات بانکی بیشترین اثر را بر رشد سرمایه‏گذاری در بخش کشاورزی ایران دارد به طوری که افزایش دسترسی به اعتبارات نقش اساسی را در تشویق سرمایه‏‏گذاری در بخش کشاورزی ایران ایفا می‏نماید. هم­چنین کشش اعتبارات بانکی، درآمد نفتی، موجودی سرمایه و ارزش افزوده بخش کشاورزی نسبت به سرمایه‏گذاری در مطالعه حاضر به ترتیب 103/0، 015/0، 049/0 و 058/0- محاسبه شده است. Manuscript profile
      • Open Access Article

        4 - Investigating Effect of Development of Agricutural,Industrial, Service and Oil Revenue to ICOR of Agricultural Sector
        Zakiyeh Sadeghi Mojtaba Nikzad Mojtaba Bagheri Todsheki
        In this study, considering the importance of incremental capital output ratio (ICOR) in agriculture Investment capital and self-sufficiency in this sector in order to grow and being influenced by the past and previous relationships strong agricultural sector productivit More
        In this study, considering the importance of incremental capital output ratio (ICOR) in agriculture Investment capital and self-sufficiency in this sector in order to grow and being influenced by the past and previous relationships strong agricultural sector productivity growth in other sectors of the economy, especially the effect of oil revenues, was trying to, long-term relationships as well as their adjustment process described by the Autoregressive-Distributed Lag model (ARDL) to investigate.The results also confirm the long-run relationship between the variables of the model show that oil revenues in appropriate path to growth agricultural productivity have beentoo much attention to the industry and imports of agricultural products decreased investment in agricultural productivity.However,the service sector growth by improving marketing activities and financing farmers to improve venture capital productivity in the agricultural sector operates. In the long run, adjusting the intersection, the model indicates improved productivity in the agricultural sector is of capital. Shown the necessary support to the agricultural sector in the short term. Manuscript profile
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        5 - Impact of Oil Revenues on Creation of a Rentier State and Democracy in Post-revolution Iran (2005-2013)
        Mohsen Askari Jahaghi
      • Open Access Article

        6 - The effect of exchange rate fluctuations and oil prices on the stock index of companies during the corona conflict
        mozhgan khodaverdi amirreza keyghobadi
        he spread of the virus (Quid 19) since January 2017 in Wuhan, China has caused many diseases and deaths in the world. The consequences of this virus have caused recession and other global problems so that even developed countries claim to have social health systems. Adv More
        he spread of the virus (Quid 19) since January 2017 in Wuhan, China has caused many diseases and deaths in the world. The consequences of this virus have caused recession and other global problems so that even developed countries claim to have social health systems. Advanced were in trouble. Questions or hypotheses including: a) The main questions of the research: Does the financial crisis of Corona have a significant impact on the stock index of selected listed companies? Model sub-questions: Do currency crises have a significant effect on the stock index of selected stock exchange companies? Do oil crises have a significant effect on the stock index of selected stock exchange companies? Sub-hypotheses of the research: Currency crises have a significant effect on the stock index of selected listed companies. Oil crises have a significant impact on the stock index of selected listed companies. The statistical population is all companies listed in the Tehran Stock Exchange Organization that the research return time period is seven years between 1392 and 1399. The method used in the present study is descriptive-analytical, which in order to adapt economic theories to the realities of society, the relationships between variables are examined using statistics and after matching the theories, using From the inferential statistics and econometric method of the panel in Iveys software, the rejection or proof of the presented hypotheses is tested. All three models were accepted. Manuscript profile
      • Open Access Article

        7 - Oil revenues and economic growth in Iran: evidence from the space-state model
        Seyed Ahmad Hashemi Miri hamid kakaei Gholamreza Abbasi Hooshang Momeni Vesalهan
        One of the most important concerns of policymakers is achieving high economic growth. Accordingly, in the present study, the effect of oil revenues, human capital, liquidity and investment on economic growth in the period of 1991-2021has been investigated in the form of More
        One of the most important concerns of policymakers is achieving high economic growth. Accordingly, in the present study, the effect of oil revenues, human capital, liquidity and investment on economic growth in the period of 1991-2021has been investigated in the form of space-state model. The results of the research showed that the impact of oil revenues, investment and human capital on economic growth was positive and decreased over time. Also, liquidity has a uniform negative effect on economic growth. Therefore, improving the performance of the National Development Fund can provide the basis for a greater positive impact of oil revenues on economic growth. Also, if macroeconomic stability is not established, the increase in liquidity will lead to the transfer of money to non-productive activities and subsequently to the reduction of economic growth. On the other hand, in the conditions of macroeconomic instability, it will not be possible to increase the formation of fixed capital, and in this way, the improvement of economic growth will be limited. Manuscript profile
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        8 - آثار درآمدهای نفتی بر رشد اقتصادی ایران مبتنی بر شکست‌های ساختاری درون زا
        محسن مهرآرا
      • Open Access Article

        9 - Investigating the role of economic growth in the effect of oil revenue shock and exchange rate on the efficiency of Iran's banking network (Self-vector regression)
        بهار حافظی Neda Asadollahzadeh Jafari sayed mohsen khalifeh soltsni
        In the present study, the impact of positive and negative shocks of oil revenues, inflation and exchange rate in different economic growth states on the efficiency of the banking network using threshold structural vector autoregression model in the period of 1398:4-1387 More
        In the present study, the impact of positive and negative shocks of oil revenues, inflation and exchange rate in different economic growth states on the efficiency of the banking network using threshold structural vector autoregression model in the period of 1398:4-1387:1 It was discussed seasonally, according to the results, the effect of a positive shock to oil revenues in economic recession and boom is similar to the efficiency of the banking network, and it had a positive effect in the short term and a negative effect in the medium term. But the effect of positive shock to inflation and exchange rate on banking efficiency depends on different regimes of economic growth. The positive shock of inflation in the recession has had a negative effect in the short term and a positive effect in the medium term on the efficiency of the banking network. In the conditions of prosperity, inflation has had a positive effect on the efficiency of the banking network in the short and medium term. The positive shock of the exchange rate in recessionary conditions has only a short-term negative effect on the efficiency of the banking network, but in the conditions of prosperity, the positive shock of the exchange rate has a positive effect on the efficiency of the banking network in the short term and a negative effect on the efficiency of the banking network in the medium term. Manuscript profile
      • Open Access Article

        10 - Effect of Oil Revenues on the Military Burden in Oil-Rich Countries of Middle East
        Aboulghasem Gol khandan
        The main objective of this paper is to investigate the effect of oil revenues on the military expenditures in nine oil-rich countries of Middle East during the years 1995-2018. For this purpose, a general model of military expenditures designed for these countries and t More
        The main objective of this paper is to investigate the effect of oil revenues on the military expenditures in nine oil-rich countries of Middle East during the years 1995-2018. For this purpose, a general model of military expenditures designed for these countries and to estimate it the generalized method of moments (GMM) is used in the form of dynamic panel data. The results of the model estimation show that the oil revenues have a positive and significant effect on the military expenditures in the studied countries. So that with an increase of 1 percent in the share of oil revenues to GDP, the ratio of military spending to GDP (military time) increased in this country about 0.16 percent. On this basis, it can be said that the oil plays a significant role in providing military expenditure and security in the oil-rich countries of Middle East Manuscript profile