اعتبارات بانکی و رشد سرمایه‏گذاری در بخش کشاورزی ایران

Subject Areas : Environmental policy and management

Mehdi  Shabanzadeh ¹ (Ph.D. Student of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agricultural Economic and Development, university of Tehran)
Reza  Esfanjari Kenari ² (Ph.D. of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agricultural Economics, Zabol University)
Parinaz  Jansouz ³ (Ph.D. Student of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agricultural Economics, University of Sistan and Baluchestan)
Mohammad  Kavoosi Kalashami ⁴ (Assistant professor, Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agricultural Sciences, University of Guilan)

Received: 2014-07-08 Accepted : 2014-11-07 Published : 2016-03-01

Keywords: درآمدهای نفتی, اعتبارات بانکی, رشد سرمایه‏گذاری, الگوی Ardl,

Abstract :

در پژوهش حاضر ارتباط میان اعتبارات بانکی و رشد سرمایه‏گذاری در بخش کشاورزی ایران طی دوره زمانی 2011-1982 با استفاده از الگوی خود توزیع برداری (ARDL) مورد  بررسی قرار گرفته است. جهت دستیابی به این هدف، رشد سرمایه‏گذاری در بخش کشاورزی ایران تابعی از درآمدهای نفتی، اعتبارات بانکی، ارزش افزوده بخش کشاورزی و موجودی سرمایه در این بخش در نظر گرفته شده است. نتایج حاصل از پژوهش حاضر نشان می‏دهد که میان متغیرهای لحاظ شده در الگوی سرمایه‏گذاری بخش کشاورزی، ارتباط بلندمدت وجود دارد. از میان متغیرهای فوق اعتبارات بانکی بیشترین اثر را بر رشد سرمایه‏گذاری در بخش کشاورزی ایران دارد به طوری که افزایش دسترسی به اعتبارات نقش اساسی را در تشویق سرمایه‏‏گذاری در بخش کشاورزی ایران ایفا می‏نماید. هم­چنین کشش اعتبارات بانکی، درآمد نفتی، موجودی سرمایه و ارزش افزوده بخش کشاورزی نسبت به سرمایه‏گذاری در مطالعه حاضر به ترتیب 103/0، 015/0، 049/0 و 058/0- محاسبه شده است.

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