List of Articles mohammad ebrahim afifi

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  1 - Understanding the future uncertainties of the state of urban development plans in Iran in the context of scenario planning (Case study: Noorabad city master plan)
  Ahmad Rezaiee Marzie Moghali Ebrahim Afifi
  10.30495/uf.2023.1976829.1082
  Comprehensive urban plans, as the most important management tool on a city-wide scale, have faced problems in the decades that have passed since their emergence, which have accompanied the achievement of their intended goals and results. Addressing the issue of comprehe More

  Comprehensive urban plans, as the most important management tool on a city-wide scale, have faced problems in the decades that have passed since their emergence, which have accompanied the achievement of their intended goals and results. Addressing the issue of comprehensive plan evaluation is considered an important tool to measure the success and feasibility of comprehensive plan proposals and will help urban planners to better deal with the problems of preparing and compiling comprehensive plans that have been prepared Become familiar. The purpose of this article is to evaluate the feasibility of the main and effective proposals in the comprehensive plan of Noorabad Mamasani City using the application of the futurology approach. The present study, in terms of applied purpose, has been conducted in terms of exploratory method at the exploratory level and based on the future research approach. In this study, using the Delphi method and the participation of 30 experts, the results were analyzed in the Mick Mac software environment, and then these factors were determined based on the importance and uncertainty, prioritization, and the most vital factors, and to identify the drivers. The key is the software (Micmac) and the script is used for the scripting wizard software. interference of officials, lack of communication with the consultant, unreasonable solutions, lack of attention to local conditions, lack of government assistance, lack of credit assistance, and lack of stable income. Manuscript profile
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  2 - Evaluation of Effective Factors in the Process of Physical Development of Tabriz City Using Remote Sensing Methods
  Mohammad Ibrahim Afifi Vahid Sohrabi
  The rapid growth of urbanization has put heavy pressure on the land and surrounding resources and has caused a reduction in vegetation, open spaces and serious social and environmental problems. Therefore, an essential step for managing and planning urban development, a More

  The rapid growth of urbanization has put heavy pressure on the land and surrounding resources and has caused a reduction in vegetation, open spaces and serious social and environmental problems. Therefore, an essential step for managing and planning urban development, as well as evaluating its cumulative effects, is to investigate and simulate the physical development of the city. The purpose of this study is to understand the effective factors in the process of physical development of Tabriz metropolis according to the category of sustainable urban spatial development from the ecological aspect and maintaining its environmental conditions in the next two decades. For this purpose, according to the optimal separation capability of users, in the image classification process, the object-oriented image analysis method was used, which also relies on spectral information and information related to texture, shape, and content, and using Landsat 5 multi-temporal satellite images. and 7 and Shigra satellite image processing techniques of land use changes in the time period 4891-1102 have been evaluated with an emphasis on the spatial expansion of Tabriz metropolis. Based on the results, the area of Tabriz metropolis (the mother city of Tabriz and satellite cities) has increased from 7220.34 hectares in 1984 to 22346.82 hectares in 2012. A significant area of recent development has taken place on floodplains and areas vulnerable to earthquakes, which requires the management of the future development of the surrounding cities. For this purpose, factors affecting the physical development of Tabriz metropolis based on research background in the form of 42 indicators were identified and mapped using multivariate evaluation methods based on linear combination and fuzzy CLW and by extracting lands prone to future physical development along with the dependent variable of urban changes. During the years of 1984-2012, with the use of VokraM-aC automatic Markov chain cells, the future pattern of land use was predicted in the form of an environmental protection approach and in accordance with the principles of sustainable development until 2038. Agricultural and garden lands will be damaged. Manuscript profile