Study on Status of Higher Education System in Our Country Using Dynamics Systems Modeling
Subject Areas : Futurology
M.A.
Afshar Kazemi
1
(نویسنده مسئول)
H.
Asgarian
2
(ندارد)
Keywords: Beer game, Dynamics Systems Modeling, Higher Education System, Delay, Capacity, Nonlinear
, 
, system,
Abstract :
One of the important and determining sectors of each society is its higher education system. The highereducation of each country is the factor which creates expert workforce and resolves the various problems ofthe country in a scientific way. In our society these factors and other various factors cause the everincreasingdemand for continuation of higher education at the university and entry to this system and create agap between the number of applicants and the existing facilities, encourage creation of new capacities(mostly with planning) because there is a delay between the beginning of capacity-creation and its fruition.At time of delivery of newly-created capacities, again there is not a harmony between the demand andcapacity. Sometimes this causes the existing capacities not to be filled and completed.In this research we have tried to model the structure of capacity-creation for applicants of entering theIranian higher-education system and execute it in the framework of systemic thought and dynamic systemtools in VENSIM software.Accordingly at first the main variables defining this system to a considerable extent are identified andrealized and their relations are codified according to casual loop diagrams. Then its technical structure iscompleted through design of the main model according to Flow & Stock diagram and assimilated in thesoftware. Through execution of model and analysis of its results the status of the higher education system infuture, derived from today's policies and planning, will be specified. At last more important, more effectiveand more principal indexes will be identified. Some variables can be added to this model. Furthermore anystrategy and solution can be tested and assessed without witnessing the probably negative consequences inreal world.