The study of method evaluation and selection indicators in futures studies

Subject Areas : Futurology

Mohammadreza ArabBafrani ¹ , MohammadRahim Eivazi ²

1 - Futures Studies, management and economy, Imam Hossein University, Tehran. Iran
2 - Political Science and Studies of the Islamic Revolution، Shahed University, Tehran, Iran

Received: 2019-09-07 Accepted : 2019-12-15 Published : 2019-11-22

Keywords: Methodology Index, Method in Futures studies, Method Selection Index, futures studies, Methodology,

Abstract :

The methodology of Futures studies is weak because of its novelty, innovation and interdisciplinary character (influenced by other disciplines), and its multidisciplinary biology has led to a lack of proper coherence in its methodology. Futures studies researcher has many problems in selecting and evaluating methods appropriate to his research. Because of this serious weakness, research has been carried out to identify and introduce criteria for selecting and evaluating methods whose results are of great use to future studies researchers. However, because of the scope of these studies and the lack of a comprehensive look at them, the studies themselves have become plagued by confusion and confusion. In this study, it has been attempted to summarize the methodological indicators available in other researches and finally, with the help of experts, suggest indicators for future studies methods. The main method used in this study was library study, cross-sectional and expert interviews (in the form of questionnaires and open interviews). At the end, the methodology indicators of futures studies were extracted from different perspectives (methodological indicators, method selection indicators, indicators related to the issues facing the methods, and requirements for futures methodology requirements) and after thirteen questions, Indicators based on ratings have been introduced as the main indicators of evaluation and selection of future studies researchers in their research.