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      • Open Access Article

        1 - Predicting systematic banking crisis in selected developed countries by multiple logit method
        Mohammad Reza Asgarian Saeed Daei Karimzadeh Hossein Sharifi Renani
        In this paper, in order to deal with systematic banking crises that lead to turmoil in various economic sectors, using the multiple logit method, the factors affecting the probability of banking crises in 27 selected developed countries during the period 1994-2018 were More
        In this paper, in order to deal with systematic banking crises that lead to turmoil in various economic sectors, using the multiple logit method, the factors affecting the probability of banking crises in 27 selected developed countries during the period 1994-2018 were predicted. The results indicate the positive effect of inflation rate variables in the pre- and post-crisis period and the positive effect of the percentage of real interest rate changes in the post-crisis period on the probability of banking crisis. Economic growth rate and per capita production had a positive effect on the likelihood of a banking crisis in the pre-crisis period, but given the negative effect of these two variables in the post-crisis period, Granting bank loans to the private sector in the pre-crisis period had a negative effect on the likelihood of a banking crisis and doing it in the post-crisis period had a positive effect on it. Manuscript profile
      • Open Access Article

        2 - Analysis of the impact of monetary policy on the distribution of real income in Iran's economy
        fojan tadayon H. Sharifi-Renani
        One of the main goals of government policies in any economic system is to improve income distribution.On the other hand, the type of policy and monetary policy tools used by the Islamic government should be in line with the direction of the society towards a balance in More
        One of the main goals of government policies in any economic system is to improve income distribution.On the other hand, the type of policy and monetary policy tools used by the Islamic government should be in line with the direction of the society towards a balance in the level of living, income and wealth.In this research, in order to investigate the impact of monetary policy on the income distribution of Iran, the ARDL method and the latest available data during the period of 1401-1379 have been used.The results of the estimates showed that the improvement in the income distribution index in Iran's economy is a long-term process And expansionary monetary policies in Iran during the studied period led to inequality in the income distribution index.On the other hand, the results show that the expansionary monetary policy has less effect on the economy in the short term, but in the long term, this effect becomes larger and reduces income equality to a greater extent. Also, the increase in economic growth caused an increase in the distribution index, which was caused by high inflation in this period in Iran's economy. Manuscript profile
      • Open Access Article

        3 - Effects of Monetary Policy on Gross Development Product and Inflation through House Price Index in Iran
        H. Sharifi-Renani S. Ghobadi F. Amrollahi N. Honarvar
        The purpose of this research was to analyze the effect of monetary policy on gross domestic product and inflation via house price index as a proxy for other assets in Iran in 1989-2008. For the analysis time series data and vector error correlation method were used. The More
        The purpose of this research was to analyze the effect of monetary policy on gross domestic product and inflation via house price index as a proxy for other assets in Iran in 1989-2008. For the analysis time series data and vector error correlation method were used. The results showed that in the pattern 1 the positive monetary shocks in the short run increased the product and decreased the prices but, in the long run it decreased the product and increased the prices. The debt shocks of the banks to the central bank in the short run had little effect on the product and the prices. In the intermediate run these shocks had decreased the product and increased the prices. And in the long run it increased the product and decreased the prices. In pattern 2 positive shock of the legal deposits ratio leads to decrease in the production and increase in the inflation in the short, intermediate and the long run, through the banking lending. Results shoed also that money policy instruments (banks loan to the central bank and the rate of legal deposits) had a little effect on the granted facilities of the banks. Manuscript profile