The international future order scenario in the years leading to 2030
Subject Areas :ali asghar naeimi 1 , amirhoshang mirkooshesh 2 , ali mohammadzadeh 3
1 - دانشجوی دکتری روابط بین الملل، واحد تهران شاهرود، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، شاهرود، ایران.
2 - Faculty member of Political Science and international Relations, Islamic Azad University, Semnan,Shahrood Branch
3 - استادیار علوم سیاسی، واحد شاهرود، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، شاهرود، ایران
Keywords: Futures studies, International system, Scenario Writing, single-Multipolar system,
Abstract :
From the past, predicting the future and that the global system will be in accordance with its various variables, both the side and the other, and the political actors and the governing authorities in order to supply national interests and safeguard and protect their independence and territorial integrity, as well as a concern and issue. Therefore, actors of the international arena, which are the same political countries, compete with other actors in order to redress their citizens ' rights, and pursue unwritten conflicts. Therefore, due to the efforts of some effective activists, including China, Russia and the European Union to form the governing order of the international arena, or to change and transform it, have a writer with a multi-scenario design, the future of international order in the years leading to 2030 using scenario-oriented approach in the theoretical framework of the idea of the cause of mining. Therefore, it can be predicted that, in addition to the growing economic, military, political and diplomatic growth of China, alongside the Russian offensive approach and the increasing nationalism of the European Union, at the end of the Third Decade of the twenty-one ad we will not only see the stresses and changes in international order, but also the ruling system of its current form and the Monopolator towards a single - Multipolar system with us and a few Influential focus including China, Russia and the European Union will redirect.
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