Analyzing the factors affecting population decline in the cultural background of Lorestan province based on the opinion of scientific experts (Delphi study)

Subject Areas : sociology

Marjan Zarandi Khaledi ¹ , Hasan Esmaeilzade ²

1 - PhD in Cultural Sociology, Assistant Professor of Farhangian University
2 - * Ph.D. in Sociology, Researching Social Issues, Assistant Professor, Farhangian University of [e-mail]

Received: 2022-09-20 Accepted : 2023-11-21 Published : 2024-06-20

Keywords: Social Factors, Economic factors, cultural factors and modernity, environmental and climatic factors. Population policies,

Abstract :

The current research was conducted with the aim of finding the reasons for low population growth in Lorestan province. The interactive theory of the population as a theoretical approach is the template in the present research.Method: The research method is qualitative and Delphi type. The statistical population of the research is all media experts, psychology, sociology, demography and religious experts of Lorestan province. Out of this number, 20 people were selected in a targeted manner. A semi-structured interview technique was used to collect information. The duration of the interviews was 30 minutes and their analysis was done using the Claysey method.Findings: Negative individualism, the prevalence of western modernity based on consumption and diversity, women's identity changes, housing problems, marriage problems, youth migration, unemployment, education, the spread of divorce, changing attitudes towards marriage, the spread of virtual media, lack of security. Job, economic weakness, high cost of children, value changes, multiple children as a bad thing, attitude towards children as a luxury item, lack of trust, uncertainty in the future of the country, lack of openness of planners, lack of scientific and theoretical research and the importance of climatic conditions. One of the reasons for population decline in Lorestan province is that they are classified in the form of economic factors in the first place, cultural and social factors, environmental and climatic factors. The current situation can be explained in terms of youth marriage and birth control.Results: In general, it can be concluded that if social and economic platforms and facilitators are realized in the field of changing the society's attitude towards childbearing, with the help of the media in line with macro policies, the problem of decreasing the population of the province can be solved to some extent.

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