اثربخشی اقدامات حاکمیتی در مقابله با تغییرات اقلیمی در دستیابی به اهداف توسعه پایدار: مطالعه موردی ایران
محورهای موضوعی : فصلنامه علمی -پژوهشی تحقیقات اقتصاد کشاورزی
محمد رضا اکبری
1
,
مهناز کلانتری پور
2
,
حامد نجفی علمدارلو
3
*
,
سید حبیب الله موسوی
4
1 - اقتصادکشاورزی، دانشگاه تربیت مدرس، تهران، ایران.
2 - اقتصادکشاورزی، دانشگاه تربیت مدرس،تهران، ایران
3 - گروه اقتصادکشاورزی، دانشکده کشاورزی، دانشگاه تربیت مدرس، تهران، ایران
4 - گروه اقتصاد کشاورزی/ دانشگاه تربیت مدرس
کلید واژه: انتشار کربن, رگرسیون چندک, تغییرات اقلیمی. ,
چکیده مقاله :
در سال‌های اخیر، ایران با تنوع الگوهای آب و هوایی گسترده و چالش‌های جدی در برابر تغییرات اقلیمی و توسعه پایدار مواجه شده است. مشکلات متعددی مانند خشکسالی‌های مداوم، کمبود آب، گرد و غبار، سیل و بلایای طبیعی، امنیت غذایی، سلامت عمومی و زیرساخت‌های حیاتی کشور را تهدید کرده‌اند. در چنین شرایطی، اقدامات حاکمیتی نقش مهمی در مقابله با تغییرات اقلیمی و هدایت کشور به سمت توسعه پایدار دارند. هدف اصلی این تحقیق بررسی تأثیر شاخص‌های حاکمیت بر کنترل انتشار کربن، از طریق افزایش آگاهی زیست‌محیطی و ارتقاء رفتارهای محیطزیستی است. مطالعات قبلی به بررسی عوامل مؤثر بر انتشار کربن پرداخته و راهکارهایی برای کاهش آن ارائه دادهاند؛ با این حال، تخریب محیط‌زیست همچنان ادامه دارد. این تحقیق از تکنیک رگرسیون چندکی برای داده‌های سالانه ایران در دوره 2000 تا 2022 استفاده می‌کند. نتایج نشان میدهد که متغیرهای حاکمیت با ضرایب منفی قابل توجه، انتشار کربن را کاهش می‌دهند و بهبود اثربخشی حاکمیت و کیفیت نظارت نیز باعث کاهش انتشار کربن در ایران می‌شود. بنابراین، برای مقابله با خطرات زیست‌محیطی، بهبود اثربخشی حکمرانی باید در کشور ایران تقویت شود. همچنین، لازم است که کیفیت مقررات مربوط به تدوین و اجرای سیاست‌های محیطزیستی افزایش یابد تا اطمینان حاصل شود که شرکت‌ها و افراد به رفتارهای محیطزیستی مسئولانه پایبند هستند.
In recent years, Iran has faced a wide variety of weather patterns and serious challenges against climate change and sustainable development. Several problems such as continuous droughts, lack of water, dust, floods and natural disasters have threatened the country's food security, public health and critical infrastructure. In this situation, governance measures play an important role in dealing with climate change and guiding the country towards sustainable development. The main purpose of this research is to investigate the effect of governance indicators on carbon emission control, through increasing environmental awareness and promoting environmental behaviors. Previous studies have examined the factors affecting carbon emission and have provided solutions to reduce it; However, environmental degradation continues. This research uses the quantile regression (QR) technique for Iran's annual data in the period from 2000 to 2022. The results of the QR technique show that governance variables reduce carbon emissions with significant negative coefficients, and improving the effectiveness of governance and the quality of supervision also reduces carbon emissions in Iran. Therefore, to deal with environmental risks, improving governance effectiveness should be strengthened in Iran. Also, it is necessary to increase the quality of regulations related to the formulation and implementation of environmental policies to ensure that companies and individuals adhere to responsible environmental behaviors.
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