چکیده مقاله :
هدف اصلی این مطالعه بررسی وضعیت کشاورزان شهرستانهای گوناگون استان خراسان رضوی در مقابله با شرایط مخاطرهآمیز تولید میباشد. روش تحلیل داد هها با استفاده از برنامهریزی 74/ میباشد. نتایج نشان داد که حدود 6 (TOPSIS) چندمعیاری و بکارگیری روش تاپسیس 67 درصد سطح زیر کشت استان خراسان رضوی از نظر برخورداری از / درصد از بهره برداران و 76 2 درصد / امکانات و شرایط مقابله با مخاطرات، در وضعیتی محروم و نامناسب قرار دارند و تنها 33 از بهرهبرداران، در وضعیت مناسب و برخوردار قرار دارند. در انتها و در جهت توانمندسازی بهرهبرداران و کشاورزان استان خراسان رضوی در مواجهه با شرایط مخاطرهآمیز، توسعهی کشاورزی ترکیبی، استفاده از ماشینآلات مناسب و متناسب و همچنین استفاده از پتانسیل تعاون روستایی در بکارگیری نهادهها توصیه شده است.
چکیده انگلیسی:
The main objective of this paper is to study farmer's situation encountering uncertainty. The data were analyzed with multiple criteria programming and TOPSIS method. The results showed that about 74.6% farmers and 67.76% of cultivation areas in Khorasan Razavi province were not in suitable situation encountering uncertainty. Only 2.33% of farmers were in suitable situation. Finally, for improvement of farmers encountering uncertainty, diversifying farming enterprises such as development of ranching, using appropriate agricultural machinery and increase group work through rural cooperatives were recommended.
منابع و مأخذ:
1- Akcaoz, H. and Ozkan, B. 2005. Determining risk sources and strategies
among farmers of contrasting risk awareness: A case study for Cukurova region
of Turkey. Journal of Arid Environments, 62.
2- Asgharpour, M.J. 1996. Multiple criteria decision making. University of
Tehran Press. Tehran.
3- Chu, T.C. and Lin, Y.C. 2003. A fuzzy TOPSIS method for robot selection.
International Journal of Manufacturing Technology, 21: 284-290.
4- COAG. 2008. Gestión de los riesgos en la explotación agraria. Coordinadora
de Organizaciones de Agricultores y Ganaderos, Madrid.
5- CRED. 2008. Center for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters. In
Internet: <http://www.cred.be/>.
6- Dismukes, R., Bird, J.L. and Linse, F. 2004. Risk Management Tools in
Europe: Agricultural Insurance, Futures, and Options. US-EU Food and
Agriculture Comparisons/WRS-04–04. Economic Research Service, USDA.
7- EC (European Commission). 2007. Agricultural insurance schemes. JRC
report. Brussels.
8- Hosseini, S.S., Eravani, S. and Nikoukar, A. 2009. Investigation the effect of
Support Policies of government on income risk poultry producers in Iran.
Journal of Agricultural and Economics Development, 23(1): 88-97.
9- Khorasan Razavi Organization Agricultural Jihad . 2007. http://www.koaj.ir
10- Meuwissen, M.P.M., Huirne, R.B.M. and Hardaker, J.B. 2001. Risk and
risk management: an empirical analysis of Dutch livestock farmers. Livestock
Production Science, 69: 43–53.
11- Rejda, G. 2002. Principles of Risk Management and Insurance. AddisonWesley.
12- Ren, L., Yanqiong, Z., Wang, Y. and Sun, Z. 2007. Comparative analysis of
a NovelM-TOPSIS method and TOPSIS. Lifeng Ren, Institute of Biomedical
Engineering of Central South University, Changsha. China.
13- Roosta, K., Farajolahossini, S.J., Chizari, M. and Hosseini, S.M. 2009.
Investigation of Extension mechanisms which is effective on the risk
management of wheat Production in Khorasan Razavi Province. Journal of
Agricultural Science Natural Resource, 15(6): 9-21.
14- Rostami, F. 2003. Risk management of wheat production in family farming
system (acase study Harsin city). Msc Thesis. University Of Tehran.
15- Statistical Year Book of Khorasan Razavi. 2001-2007. Ostandari
Organization. Astane Ghods Press. Mashhad.
15- Statistical Year Book of Iran. 2007. http://amar.sci.org.ir.
16- Vrolijk, H.C.J., Poppe, K.J. and Wisman, J.H. 2007. Volatility of farm
incomes, prices and yields in the European Union. Working Paper (WP2,
Income Stabilisation). LEIDLO. Den Haag.
17- Wang, T., Lee, H. and W.U. C. 2007. A Fuzzy TOPSIS approach with
subjective weights and objective weights. Proceedings of the 6th WSEAS
International Conference on Applied Computer Science, Hangzhou, China,
April.
18- You, Q.H. and Ding, R.H. 2005. Negative problem of TOPSIS. Technology
Groud, 5: 25–27.