شناسایی عوامل اثرگذار بر رشد اقتصادی کشورهای توسعه‌یافته: کاربرد الگوی پانل توبیت و پانل توبیت فضایی

محورهای موضوعی : فصلنامه علمی -پژوهشی تحقیقات اقتصاد کشاورزی

محمد قربانی ¹ (استاد گروه اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشگاه فردوسی مشهد، مشهد، ایران)
سمیرا شایان مهر ² (دانشجوی دکتری اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشگاه فردوسی مشهد، مشهد، ایران)

تاریخ دریافت : 1398/02/03 تاریخ پذیرش : 1401/01/30 تاریخ انتشار : 1401/02/01

کلید واژه: رشد اقتصادی, سرمایه‌گذاری مستقیم خارجی, امید به زندگی, داده‌های پانل,

چکیده مقاله :

مقدمه و هدف: نا اطمینانی در نظریه‌های رشد اقتصادی و معیارهای جایگزین متعدد برای مؤلفه‌های اثرگذار بر رشد اقتصادی و عدم تصریح مناسب­ترین الگوی اقتصادسنجی جهت بررسی متغیرهای اثرگذار بر رشد اقتصادی باعث شده است تا ارائه الگوهای جدید رگرسیونی برای شناسایی دقیق‌تر عوامل مؤثر بر رشد اقتصادی موردتوجه محققین اقتصاد قرار گیرد. این تحقیق با هدف شناسایی عوامل مؤثر بر رشد اقتصادی در کشورهای توسعه‌یافته صورت گرفت. مواد و روش­ها: در این مطالعه نوع ارتباطات فضایی 21 کشور منتخب توسعه­یافته طی دوره 2013-2005 با استفاده از الگوهای پانل توبیت و پانل توبیت فضایی صورت گرفته است. یافته­ ها: ارزیابی میان الگوهای مورداستفاده در این تحقیق نشان داد که الگوی پانل توبیت فضایی با خطای فضایی نتایج مطلوب‌تری را ارائه می­دهد. نتایج نشان داد جمعیت، مخارج تحقیق و توسعه، سرمایه­گذاری مستقیم خارجی و امید به زندگی اثر مثبت و معنی­دار بر رشد اقتصادی دارند. بحث و نتیجه­ گیری: با توجه به برتری نتایج بدست آمده از الگوی پانل توبیت فضایی در مقایسه با الگوی پانل توبیت پیشنهاد می­شود در مطالعات آتی راجع به رشد اقتصادی کشورهای دارای مجاورت مکانی، الگوهای فضایی در کنار الگوهای رقیب مورداستفاده قرار گیرد تا نتایج مطلوب‌تری حاصل شود.  

چکیده انگلیسی:

The uncertainty in economic growth theory and multiple alternative measures to affecting components on economic growth and lack of specification of the most appropriate to investigate the variables affecting economic growth has led to introducing new regression models to identify more accurate factors affecting on economic growth that focused by economic researchers. Therefore, Therefore, this study aimed to identify factors affecting economic growth and type of spatial communications of 21 selected developed countries during 2005-2013 using panel Tobit and spatial panel Tobit models is taken. The evaluation among used models in this study showed that the spatial panel Tobit with spatial error gave favorable results. Results showed that population, research and development expenditure, foreign direct investment and life expectancy has significant positive effect and trade liberalization has an insignificant positive effect on economic growth. It is suggested in future studies about countries with adjacent location, spatial models used besides the competitive models to achieve better results.

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