مدل پیشبین تأثیر انرژی نهفته بر تغییرات فرهنگی در بهرهبرداری اجتماع مدارس سبز باتأکیدبر نقش تعدیلگر دیوار خارجی
محورهای موضوعی : تحولات اجتماعیسمیه دولت 1 , فهیمه معتضدیان 2 , غزال صفدریان 3 , حیدر جهانبخش 4
1 - گروه معماری، واحد پردیس، دانشگاه آزاداسلامی، پردیس، ایران
2 - استادیار گروه معماری، واحد پردیس، دانشگاه آزاداسلامی، پردیس، ایران.
3 - استادیار گروه معماری، واحد پردیس، دانشگاه آزاداسلامی، پردیس، ایران
4 - دانشیار گروه معماری، واحد تهران، دانشگاه پیامنور، تهران، ایران.
کلید واژه: تغییرات فرهنگی و اقلیمی, اجتماع کنونی, انرژی نهفته و انرژی بهرهبرداری, مطالعات اجتماعی, مدارس سبز, مدل پیشبین, هستۀ دیوار خارجی.,
چکیده مقاله :
ساختمانها بهدلیل مصرف منابع و انرژی، تأثیر قابلتوجهی بر تغییرات فرهنگی و اقلیمی دارند، که از چالشهای اصلی بشر در اجتماع کنونی میباشد. انرژی در ساختمان دارای 2مؤلفۀ انرژی نهفته و انرژی بهرهبرداری میباشد. بهطورخاص، دانشمندان در سرتاسرجهان برروی استراتژیهای کاهش مصرف انرژی ساختمانها درحال مطالعه و بررسی هستند که بیشتر مطالعات اجتماعی درپی کاهش مصرف انرژی بهرهبرداری و یا انرژی نهفته بهصورت مجزاء صورت گرفته است. لذا، شکافی ازمنظر عدمتوجه مطالعات اجتماعی به تأثیر انرژی نهفته ساختمایه برروی انرژی بهرهبرداری ساختمانها دیده میشود. همچنین مطالعات انرژی کمتر برروی ساختمانهای آموزشی با رویکرد اجتماعی صورت گرفتهاند. شکافهای موجود هدفاصلی پژوهش حاضر را تدوین و آزمون مدل پیشبین از تأثیرگذاری انرژی نهفته تغییرات فرهنگی برروی انرژی بهرهبرداری اجتماع ساختمانهای مدارس سبز قرار میدهد و بهدنبال نقش تعدیلکنندۀ انرژی نهفتۀ هستۀ دیوار خارجی در روابط علّی مدل مفهومی است. محقق با روش کمی و بهرهگیری از یک روششناسی سیستماتیک از تکنیکهای پیشرفته مدلسازی معادلات ساختاری واریانس محورجهت آزمون فرضیات پژوهش بهره برده است. تعداد 702نمونه پساز جمعآوری و غربالگری، با آزمون روایی، پایایی و برازش مدل بیرونی موردآزمون قرار گرفته و فرضیات در قالب مدل ساختاری آزمون گردیدند. نتایج R2 =0.704, 0.755 در 2معادلۀ ساختاری خبر از یک تبیین بسیار قدرتمند از واریانس یا رفتار متغیر بارسرمایشی و بارگرمایشی که همان انرژی بهرهبرداری میباشند، میدهد. بهعبارتی مدل در مجموع بین 70تا75درصد از تأثیر رفتار انرژی نهفته بر انرژی بهرهبرداری را پیشبینی میکند.
Buildings have a significant impact on cultural and climatic changes due to their resource and energy consumption, a main challenge for humanity in current society. Energy in buildings has two components: embodied energy and operational energy. Scientists worldwide study strategies to reduce building energy consumption, focusing on either operational or embodied energy separately. Thus, there is a gap in social studies regarding the impact of embodied energy on operational energy in buildings. Additionally, energy studies on educational buildings with a social approach are scarce. The primary aim of this research is to develop and test a predictive model of the impact of embodied energy on cultural changes and operational energy in green school buildings. It also examines the moderating role of the embodied energy of the exterior wall core in the causal relationships of the conceptual model. The researcher used a quantitative approach and a systematic methodology with advanced variance-based structural equation modeling techniques to test the hypotheses. After data collection and screening, 702 samples were tested for validity, reliability, and model fit of the external model, and the hypotheses were tested within the structural model. The results, with R2 = 0.704 and 0.755 in two structural equations, indicate a powerful explanation of the variance in cooling load and heating load (i.e., operational energy) based on embodied energy behavior. This suggests the model can predict 70-75% of the influence of embodied energy on operational energy.
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