آینده پژوهی مدیریت سازمان های ورزشی ایران در افق 1414
الموضوعات :
زهرا ناطقی
1
(1- دانشجوی دکتری گروه مدیریت ورزشی، واحد کرج، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، کرج ایران)
پریوش نوربخش
2
(استاد گروه مدیریت ورزشی، واحد کرج، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، کرج، ایران)
مهدی کهندل
3
(3- دانشیار گروه مدیریت ورزشی، واحد کرج، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، کرج، ایران)
مهوش نوربخش
4
(استاد گروه مدیریت ورزشی، واحد کرج، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، کرج، ایران)
الکلمات المفتاحية: برنامه ریزی راهبردی, عدم قطعیت, سازمان های ورزشی, مدیران ورزشی, آینده پژوهی,
ملخص المقالة :
هدف این پژوهش آینده پژوهی مدیریت سازمان های ورزشی ایران در افق 1414 بود. روش این پژوهش آمیخته و طرح آن از نوع همسوسازی بود. در مطالعه کیفی از روش تحلیل مضمون و در مطالعه کمی از روش آینده پژوهی استفاده شد. مشارکت کنندگان این مطالعه را صاحب نظران تشکیل می دادند که براساس روش نمونه گیری هدفمند و بر مبنای اشباع نظری 17 نفر انتخاب شدند. در بخش کیفی از مصاحبه نیمه ساختاریافته و در بخش کمی از پرسشنامه استفاده شد. جهت بررسی کیفیت و اعتباربخشی به نتایج کیفی در تحقیق حاضر از معیارهای ارزشیابی لینکلن و گابا استفاده شد و به منظور تأیید اعتبار ابزار اندازه گیری در بخش کمی، از روش روایی صوری و برای محاسبه ضریب قابلیت اعتماد از آلفای کرونباخ استفاده شد. در بخش کیفی جهت تحلیل اطلاعات از کدگذاری و در بخش کمی از تحلیل اثرات متقاطع و تحلیل اثرات متقابل استفاده شد. یافته ها نشان داد آینده مدیریت سازمان های ورزشی متأثر از 36 عامل می باشد و از بین آن ها 7 نیروی پیشران به نام های سازمان های چندوجهی، تیم سازی، تفکر سیستمی، تصمیم گیری سریع، منعطف و پویا، تقسیم کار جدید با الگوی جدید مدیریتی، تغییر چینش سنتی سازمان های ورزشی و مهارت کار گروهی در ابعاد فراسازمانی بدیل های احتمالی آینده مدیریت سازمان های ورزشی هستند که منجر به تولید دو سناریوی گروه اندیشی و گروه زدگی می شوند. بر این مبنا لازم است مدیران ورزش را برای رویایی رویی با این موقعیت آماده کرد.
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Bakay, M. E. (2022). 21st Century Skills for Higher Education Students in EU Countries: Perception of Academicians and HR Managers. International Education Studies, 15(2), 14-24.
BeigiRizi, M., ShahTalabi, B., & Yarmohamedian, M. H. (2018). Identifying the competency components of managers in the future university in order to provide a suitable model for Islamic Azad Universities in Iran. Educational Management Innovations(51), 59-74.
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Dari, B., Arabi, S. M., & Moghadam, A. (2011). Contingency model of training senior managers. Public Administration Perspective(12), 35-64.
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Hosseini, M. M., Talebpour, J., & Bagheri, A. (2019). A model in the development of managers' competencies with a future research approach in educational organizations. New developments in psychology, educational sciences and education(15), 1-16.
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Shen, J., & Tang, C. (2018). How does training improve customer service quality? The roles of transfer of training and job satisfaction. European management journal, 36(6), 708-716.
Škorić, S. (2018). Characteristics of sport managers and challenges facing sport organisations. 9th International Conference “An enterprise odyssey: Managing change to achieve quality development,
Strengers, Y., Pink, S., & Nicholls, L. (2019). Smart energy futures and social practice imaginaries: Forecasting scenarios for pet care in Australian homes. Energy Research & Social Science, 48, 108-115.
Yaghi, A., & Bates, R. (2020). The role of supervisor and peer support in training transfer in institutions of higher education. International Journal of Training and Development, 24(2), 89-104.
_||_Ananthram, S., & Chan, C. (2021). Challenges and strategies for global human resource executives: Perspectives from Canada and the United States. European management journal, 31(3), 223-233.
Bakay, M. E. (2022). 21st Century Skills for Higher Education Students in EU Countries: Perception of Academicians and HR Managers. International Education Studies, 15(2), 14-24.
BeigiRizi, M., ShahTalabi, B., & Yarmohamedian, M. H. (2018). Identifying the competency components of managers in the future university in order to provide a suitable model for Islamic Azad Universities in Iran. Educational Management Innovations(51), 59-74.
Boak, G., & Crabbe, S. (2019). Evaluating the impact of coaching skills training on individual and corporate behaviour. European journal of training and development, 43(1/2), 153-165.
Dari, B., Arabi, S. M., & Moghadam, A. (2011). Contingency model of training senior managers. Public Administration Perspective(12), 35-64.
Davoine, E., & Schmid, S. (2022). Career patterns of top managers in Europe: Signs of further globalisation? European management journal, 40(4), 467-474.
Díez-Martín, F., Miotto, G., & Cachón-Rodríguez, G. (2022). Organizational legitimacy perception: Gender and uncertainty as bias for evaluation criteria. Journal of Business Research, 139, 426-436.
Glushman, Т. М. (2016). Components of professional culture of the future manager of organizations. ScienceRise: Pedagogical Education, 5(1), 8-13.
Hosseini, M. M., Talebpour, J., & Bagheri, A. (2019). A model in the development of managers' competencies with a future research approach in educational organizations. New developments in psychology, educational sciences and education(15), 1-16.
Izadi, F., Ahmadi, A., & Charehjoo, F. (2021). Future research of the development of Kurdistan province, issues and challenges facing it. Applied Research Journal of Geographical Sciences, 21(62), 261-279.
Jafari, A., Sharififar, F., & Alam, S. (2019). The role of women in the country's sports management with a future-research approach. . Sports management studies, 11(58), 17-38.
Jajermi, H., Pourezat, A. A., & Durrani, K. (2021). Designing a manager training model for the future. Human Resources Education and Development Quarterly, 8(31), 177-208.
Kotter, J. P., Kim, W. C., & Mauborgne, R. A. (2011). HBR's 10 Must Reads on Change Management (including featured article" Leading Change," by John P. Kotter). Harvard Business Press.
Le Blanc, P. M., González-Romá, V., & Wang, H. (2021). Charismatic leadership and work team innovative behavior: The role of team task interdependence and team potency. Journal of Business and Psychology, 36, 333-346.
Lincoln, Y. S., & Guba, E. G. (1985). Naturalistic inquiry. sage.
Lussier, R. N., & Kimball, D. C. (2009). Applied sport management skills. Human Kinetics.
Mariam, F., Hayat, B., & Issam, B. (2022). The impact of the health crisis on sports organizations. African Scientific Journal, 3(11), 1-16.
Mushure, G. O. N. (2015). Perception of the External Environment in Zimbabwe 2008–2014: A case study of Delta Corporation Limited Zimbabwe. International Journal of Sciences: Basic and Applied Research, 22(2), 329-340.
Oliver, J. J., & Parrett, E. (2018). Managing future uncertainty: Reevaluating the role of scenario planning. Business Horizons, 61(2), 339-352.
Pashutan, M., Abdolvand, N., & Harandi, S. R. (2022). The impact of IT resources and strategic alignment on organizational performance: The moderating role of environmental uncertainty. Digital Business, 2(2), 100026.
Pedersen, P. M., & Thibault, L. (2014). Contemporary sport management, 5E. Human Kinetics.
Qader, K. S., Ismeal, B. A., Aziz, H. M., Hamza, P. A., Sorguli, S., Sabir, B. Y., Anwar, G., & Gardi, B. (2021). The effect of human resources management skills on accounting information quality in kurdistan public sector. International Journal of Humanities and Education Development (IJHED), 3(3), 131-143.
RahimiKia, Y., Kohandal, M., Khalifa, S. N., & Khodayari, A. (2022). The career path development model in physical education managers of Tehran Municipality. Research in educational sports accepted for online publication.
RezaiGhadi, M., & Rafie, H. (2021). Examining the applications of future research in public policy making. Policy sphere, 8(27), 85-102.
RezayanGhayebashi, A., Marzban, E., & Jahanshahi, O. (2020). Entertainment scenarios in the image of the Islamic Republic of Iran in the horizon of 2025. Communication Research Quarterly, 27(3), 149-179.
Seligman, M. E., & Tierney, J. (2017). We aren’t built to live in the moment. The New York Times, 19.
Seppänen, K. P. (2020). Sport managers in Finland University of Jyväskylä]. Finland.
ShaholiKohshori, J., Askari, A. R., Nazari, R., & Naghsh, A. R. (2020). Compilation of educational sport strategies in Iran based on scenario. Research in educational sports, 8(21), 223-250.
Sharbatzadeh, R., Foladie, J., Nouri, M., & Navkhasi, J. (2022). Prospective research on the development of human resources of the physical training organization of the Islamic Republic of Iran Army with the approach of structural analysis. Two-quarter journal of sports sciences and martial arts, 2(3), 1-17.
Shen, J., & Tang, C. (2018). How does training improve customer service quality? The roles of transfer of training and job satisfaction. European management journal, 36(6), 708-716.
Škorić, S. (2018). Characteristics of sport managers and challenges facing sport organisations. 9th International Conference “An enterprise odyssey: Managing change to achieve quality development,
Strengers, Y., Pink, S., & Nicholls, L. (2019). Smart energy futures and social practice imaginaries: Forecasting scenarios for pet care in Australian homes. Energy Research & Social Science, 48, 108-115.
Yaghi, A., & Bates, R. (2020). The role of supervisor and peer support in training transfer in institutions of higher education. International Journal of Training and Development, 24(2), 89-104.
