Numerical modeling of economic uncertainty

الموضوعات :

H Schjær-Jacobsen ¹

1 - Professor, Copenhagen University College of Engineering, Denmark

تاريخ الإرسال : 29 الإثنين , رجب, 1436 تاريخ التأكيد : 29 الإثنين , رجب, 1436 تاريخ الإصدار : 16 الأحد , جمادى الثانية, 1428

الکلمات المفتاحية: fuzzy number, Modeling, Probability, Economic uncertainty, stochastic, Interval, Triple esti-mate, Discounted Cash Flow,

ملخص المقالة :

Representation and modeling of economic uncertainty is addressed by different modeling methods, namely stochastic variables and probabilities, interval analysis, and fuzzy numbers, in particular triple estimates. Fo-cusing on discounted cash flow analysis numerical results are presented, comparisons are made between alter-native modeling methods, and characteristics of the methods are discussed.