مکان‌یابی نیروگاه سیکل ترکیبی با استفاده از روش Fuzzy AHP و OWA (مطالعه موردی: استان قزوین)
محورهای موضوعی : مدیریت محیط زیست
سمیه علیزاده
1
(دانشجوی کارشناسی ارشد برنامه‌ریزی محیط زیست، دانشگاه تهران، تهران، ایران)
فاطمه سادات علوی‌پور
2
(دانشجوی دکترای تخصصی برنامه‌ریزی محیط زیست، دانشگاه تهران، تهران، ایران)
سعید کریمی
3
(استادیار دانشکده محیط زیست دانشگاه تهران، تهران، ایران*(مسوول مکاتبات))
جبار خالدی
4
(دانش‌آموخته‌ی کارشناسی ارشد مدیریت، برنامه‌ریزی و آموزش محیط زیست، دانشگاه تهران، تهران، ایران)
کلید واژه: مکان‌یابی, نیروگاه سیکل ترکیبی, Fuzzy AHP, OWA, منطق فازی,
چکیده مقاله :
زمینه و هدف: اثرات موقعیت مکانی نیروگاه‌ها بر جامعه، اقتصاد و محیط زیست، انتخاب مکان مناسب برای این تأسیسات را ضروری می‌سازد
Abstract Background and Objective: Considering the effects of power plants locations on society, economy and environment, it is important to choose a suitable site for this facility. In order to find a suitable location for the construction of combined-cycle power plant, GIS can effectively provide a combination of the required information for site selection. This study aims to identify the most important factors in determining the appropriate place for the construction of combined-cycle power plants. The role and influence of each factor (distance from access roads, altitude, slope of the land, distance from the earthquake-prone areas, distance from surface water resources and distance of the fault lines) are also determined. Method: Using fuzzy membership functions, the standardized criteria maps were created in GIS based on the nature and role of these factors in the site selection. First, it was necessary to multiply these layers to their weights based on their priorities for combination of the criteria. Fuzzy AHP was used for this purpose. Finally, Ordered Weighted Averaging was used to overlay and combine the layers. Findings: The results indicate that the northwestern part of Qazvin province is inappropriate for the intended purpose and eastern and southeast parts of the study area are forecasted. Discussion and Conclusion: Since the risk level of making decision is controlled at high, low or intermediate in combination of the layers by this method, the application of the results of this method will be acceptable, making decisions based on this method will have less uncertainty and the results of this method can be used with more confidence.
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- Rezaeifar A., Jabal Ameli. M. S., Chayibakhsh Langeroodi. A. (2005). Project Risks Ranking Using Multi-Attribute Decision Making Models, The 2th International Project Management Conference, Tehran, Iran (In Persian).
- Habibi A., Izadyar. P., Sarafrazi. A. (2014). Fuzzy Multi-criteria Decision Making, Katibeh gil Publishing (In Persian).
- Yager, R. R. (1988). On ordered weighted averaging aggregation operators in multicriteria decisionmaking. Systems, Man and Cybernetics, IEEE Transactions on, 18(1), 183-190.
- Bodily, S. E. (1985). Modern decision making: a guide to modelling with decision support systems. McGraw-Hill.
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- Jiang, H. Eastman, R. (2000). “Application of fuzzy measures in multi-criteria evaluation in GIS.” International Journal of Geographic Information Science, Vol. 14, No 2, 173-184 pp.
- Motiei langroodi, S. H., Nassiri, H., Azizi, A., Mostafaei, A. (2012) Modeling the ecological potential of land from the perspective of agricultural and rangelands using Fuzzy AHP method in the GIS environment (case study: Marvdasht City). land use planning. Vol. 4, No 6, 101-124 pp (In Persian).
- Atayi, M. (2010). Fuzzy Multi-criteria Decision Making, Shahrood University of Technology Publishing (In Persian).
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- Eastman, R. (2012), Idrisi selva tutorial, Clark University.
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- Wiersma, G B. (2004). "Environmental Monitoring", CRC Press LLC, United States of America.
- Reid, D. (2013). Sustainable development: an introductory guide. Routledge.
- Makhdoom, M., Darvishsefat, A. A., Jafarzadeh, H., Makhdoom, A. R. (2001). Environmental assessment and planning with GIS. University of Tehran Publication, 310 pages (In Persian).
- Beheshtifar, S., Voldan Zoj, M., Sadi Mesgari, M., Karimi, M. (2010). Locating the gas power plants using GIS, Journal of Civil Engineering and Mapping, Faculty of Engineering, Volume 44, Issue 4, 583-595 pp (In Persian).
- Mirzadeh M., Khodaparast Kazeroonian, S., (2013). Construction planning and optimal locating of the power plants in terms of power grid capacity, The 28th International Power Engineering Conference, Tehran (In Persian).
- Sohrab T. Samadi R., (2007), Preparation of Environmental Model for Establishment of Thermal Power Plants in the Country, Environmental Studies, 44, 73-82 pp (In Persian).
- Pan, J., Teklu, Y., Rahman, S., & De Castro, A. (2000). An interval-based MADM approach to the identification of candidate alternatives in strategic resource planning. Power Systems, IEEE Transactions on, 15(4), 1441-1446.
- Rezaeifar A., Jabal Ameli. M. S., Chayibakhsh Langeroodi. A. (2005). Project Risks Ranking Using Multi-Attribute Decision Making Models, The 2th International Project Management Conference, Tehran, Iran (In Persian).
- Habibi A., Izadyar. P., Sarafrazi. A. (2014). Fuzzy Multi-criteria Decision Making, Katibeh gil Publishing (In Persian).
- Yager, R. R. (1988). On ordered weighted averaging aggregation operators in multicriteria decisionmaking. Systems, Man and Cybernetics, IEEE Transactions on, 18(1), 183-190.
- Bodily, S. E. (1985). Modern decision making: a guide to modelling with decision support systems. McGraw-Hill.
- Mellers, B. A., & Chang, S. J. (1994). Representations of risk judgments. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 57(2), 167-184.
- Public Service Commission of Wisconsin. (1999). “Common Power Plant Siting Criteria.”http://psc.wi.gov/thelibrary/publications/electric/electric05.pdf.
- Klassen, K. Marjerrison, A. (2002). “Siting a Wind Turbine Farm in Pipestone County, Minnesota Using a GIS Framework.”
- Delaney, K. Lachapelle, A. (2003). “A GIS Approach to Sitting a Coal-Fired Power Plant in Franklin County, Illinois.”
- Martin, P. C. Hannah, I. W. (1991). Modern Power Station Practice, Vol. A (Station planning and design), British Electricity International.
- Sadri, H. R. Adibfar, A. Hamidi, P. Sayad, J. (2004). “Techno-Economic Feasibility Power Plant Projects: Visions and Solutions.” 19th International power system conference, Tehran, Iran.
- SABAa. (2002). Report of the Site Selection Strategy for New Thermal Power Plants with considering Environmental Impacts and Using GIS, Iran Energy Efficiency Organization (IEEO - SABA), Environment Group.
- SABAb. (2003). Report of the site selection for new thermal power plants in Semnan, Zanjan, Ilam and Ardebil Provinces, Iran Energy Efficiency Organization (IEEO - SABA), Environment Group.
- Chi, K. H, Park, N. W. and Chung, C. J. (2002). “Fuzzy Logic Integration for Landslide Hazard Mapping Using Spatial Data from Boeun, Korea.” Symposium on Geospatial Theory, Processing and Applications Ottawa.
- Sui, D. Z. (1992). “A Fuzzy GIS Modeling Approach for Urban Land Evaluation.” Journal of computers, Environment and Urban Systems, Vol. 16, PP. 101-115.
- Jiang, H. Eastman, R. (2000). “Application of fuzzy measures in multi-criteria evaluation in GIS.” International Journal of Geographic Information Science, Vol. 14, No 2, 173-184 pp.
- Motiei langroodi, S. H., Nassiri, H., Azizi, A., Mostafaei, A. (2012) Modeling the ecological potential of land from the perspective of agricultural and rangelands using Fuzzy AHP method in the GIS environment (case study: Marvdasht City). land use planning. Vol. 4, No 6, 101-124 pp (In Persian).
- Atayi, M. (2010). Fuzzy Multi-criteria Decision Making, Shahrood University of Technology Publishing (In Persian).
- Carlsson, C., and R.Full´er and S.Full´er. (1997). “OWA operators for doctoral student selection problem”, in: R.R.Yager and J.Kacprzyk eds., The ordered weighted averaging operators: Theory, Methodology, and Applications, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Boston, 197-178 pp.
- Mousavi, M., Yazdani Chaharborj, R. (2015). Land suitability analysis for development of Tabriz city using AHP-OWA model, Journal of Geographical Researches of Urban Planning, Vol. 3, No 3, 361- 381 pp (In Persian).
- Eastman, R. (2012), Idrisi selva tutorial, Clark University.
- Darban Moghami, A., Shamsayi A., Shad, R., (2011), The systematic development of hydroelectric power plants using GIS and Topsis multi-criteria decision-making method, the 1th National System Approach Conference (In Persian).
- WANG, Z. W., TANG, K., & YAN, L. (2011). Comprehensive Decision-making for the Site Selection of Thermal Power Plants Based on Entropy TOPSIS [J]. Safety and Environmental Engineering, 5, 027.