بررسی رابطه خشک سالی هواشناسی و هیدرولوژی در دشت سیستان
محورهای موضوعی : آب و محیط زیستآرتمیس رودری 1 , فرزاد حسنپور 2 , مصطفی یعقوب زاده 3 , مجید دلاور 4
1 - دکترای آبیاری زهکشی، دانشکده آب و خاک، دانشگاه زابل، ایران.
2 - دانشیار، دانشکده آب و خاک، دانشگاه زابل، زابل، ایران *(مسوول مکاتبات).
3 - استادیار گروه مهندسی آب، دانشگاه بیرجند، بیرجند، ایران.
4 - استادیار گروه مهندسی آب، دانشگاه تربیت مدرس، تهران، ایران.
کلید واژه: شاخص میانگین متحرک, دشت سیستان, خشک سالی هواشناسی, خشک سالی هیدرولوژی,
چکیده مقاله :
زمینه و هدف: خشک سالی یک بلای طبیعی و قابل تکرار بوده که کلیه اقلیم ها را تحت تأثیر قرار می دهد. شرایط اقلیمی خشک و بارندگی ناچیز دشت سیستان سبب گردیده تا عمده منابع آبی آن به صورت جریان سطحی از خارج از مرزهای جغرافیایی کشور تأمین شود. در این پژوهش ارتباط خشک سالی هواشناسی و هیدرولوژی در دشت سیستان بررسی گردید. روش بررسی: ابتدا خشک سالی هواشناسی و هیدرولوژی با استفاده از میانگین متحرک و شاخص های SPI و SDI بررسی، سپس ارتباط بین دو شاخص در یک دوره 45 ساله ارزیابی گردید. یافته ها: نتایج پژوهش نشان می دهد که در کل دوره مطالعاتی شاخص های خشک سالی هواشناسی و هیدرولوژی با یکدیگر تطابق ندارند، لیکن در دوره خشک سالی رابطه آن ها در سطح 95% معنی دار است. همچنین مشاهده گردید یک دوره خشک سالی از سال 1378 شروع شده و تا سال 1391 ادامه داشته است. بحث و نتیجه گیری: براساس نتایج این تحقیق، وضعیت خشک سالی دشت سیستان را خشک سالی هیدرولوژی به دلیل حجم کم بارش و ضریب تغییرات بالای آن و نقش حیاتی جریان های سطحی در تامین منابع آب دشت، نسبت به خشک سالی هواشناسی بهتر نشان می دهد.
Background and Objective: Drought is a natural and repeatable disasterwhich affects all climates. Because of the intrinsically dry climate and low precipitation in Sistan plain, the main water resources are surface water originated from a neighboring country. This study investigates the relationship between meteorological and hydrological drought in Sistan plain. Method: At first, meteorological and hydrological drought were investigated by indices including moving average, SPI and SDI in Sistan plain. Moreover, the relationship between them was evaluated for 45 years. Findings: Results show that indices of meteorological and hydrological droughts do not match with each other in the entire of the study period, but there is a significant relationship between them during dry years. It was also observed that a drought period started in 1999 and continued until 2012. Discussion and Conclusion: Therefore, due to low volume and high coefficient of variations of rainfall and vital role of surface flows in the supply of water in the plain, hydrological drought shows conditions of drought is better than the meteorological drought in Sistan plain.
- Darbandi, S., Kaveh, F., Fakhery Fard, A., Sedgi, H., Kamali, Gh., 2008. Introducing of a New Index for Agricultural Drought Severity Evaluating on the Basis of Relative Yield, Journal OF Agricultural Sciences, Vol. 1(13), pp. 107-123. (In Persian)
- Khosh Akhlagh, F., Ranjbar, F., Tolabi, S., Moghbel, M., Masoom pour, J., 2011. Investigation of drought through water years 2008-2009 and its impacts on water and agricultural water (case study: Marvdasht city), Journal of the Iranian Geographical Association, Vol. 24, pp. 119-135
- Heim JR, R.R., 2002. A Review of Twentieth-century Drought Indices Used in the United States, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 83(8), pp. 1149-1165.
- Guttman, N.B., 1998. Comparing the Palmer Drought Index and the Standardized Precipitation Index, Journal of American Water Resource Association. Vol. 34(1), pp. 113-121.
- Noohi, K., Asgary, A., 2006. The study of drought and return period of wet and dry years in Qom region, Journal of aridity and drought, Vol. 15, pp. 47-64.
- Alavi Nia, S., Sadati Nejad, S., Abdollahi, Kh., 2012. Presentation of the model to simulate the hydrological drought in Karoon basin, Environmental Erosion Researches, Vol. 1(1), pp. 1-11.
- Azadeh, F., Chabokroo, G., Akbari, S, M., 2010. Negative impacts of drought and solutions to deal with it (case study: Sistan), National Conference on Water Crisis Management. The Islamic Azad University of Marvdasht, Fars, Iran.
- Mokhtary, D., Iraj, S., 2008. Analysis of Drought and Domestic Socio-Economic Dimensions and its Impact on Rural Households in Sistan, Sixth Iranian Agriculture Economics Conference.
- Rahimi, D., Movahedi, S., Barghi, H., 2010. Assessment of Drought Severity Using Normal Precipitation Index (Case study Sistan and Baluchestan Province ), Journal of Geography and Environmental Planning, Vol. 20(4), pp. 43-56.
- Karimi Nazar, M., Moghaddam Nia, A., Mosaedi, A., 2011. Investigation of climatic factors affecting the occurrence of drought (Case study: Zabol Region), Journal Water and Soil Conservation, Vol. 17(1), pp. 145-158.
- Ansari, H., Erfanian, M., Naderian Far, M., 2011. The evaluating of drought zoning models in various time scales case study: Sistan and Balouchestan Province, Journal Water and Soil Conservation, Vol. 18(1), pp. 59-79.
- Piri, H., Rahdri, V., Maleki, S., 2014. Study and compare the performance of four meteorological drought index
in the risk management droughts in Sistan and Baluchestan province, Iranian Journal OF Irrigation and Water Engineering, Vol. 11(3), pp. 96-114. - Piri, H., Ansari, H., 2013. Study of drought in Sistan Plain and its impact on Hamoun international wetland. Wetland Ecobiology, Vol. 5(1), pp. 63-74.
- Hossein Zadeh Talaei, P., Zare Abiane, H., Maroofi, S., 2010. Evaluation of hydrological drought using streamflow drought index (SDI), National Conference on Water Crisis in Agriculture and Natural Resources, Islamic Azad University of Rey city. Tehran, Iran.
- Fatehi Marj, A., Heidarian, S. A., 2014, Investigation of meteorological and hydrological drought using GIS in Khuzestan Province, Iranian Journal of Watershed Management Science, Vol. 7(23), pp. 19-32.
- Shokrikochak, S., Behnia, A., 2013. Monitoring and Prediction of Khuzestan Province, Iran Drought Using SPI drought Index and Markov Chain, Journal of Irrigation Sciences and Engineering, Vol. 36(3), pp. 1-12.
- Eslami, A., Shokoohi, A., 2013. Analysis of streamflow conditions using hydrologic environmental drought index, Journal of Watershed Engineering and Management, Vol. 5(2), pp. 125-133.
- Fathzadeh, A., Ebdam, S., Beginner, S., Salari, Z., 2013. Evaluation of hydrological drought using streamflow drought index (SDI). The 9th National Conference on Watershed Management in Iran. Yazd, Iran.
- Dehban, H., Ebrahimi, K., Araghinejad, Sh., 2015. Introduction and Assessment of a New Drought Monitoring Index, MRDI (Case Study: Gorganroud Basin, Iran), Iranian Journal of Soil and Water Research, Vol. 46(1), pp. 19-30.
- Nasrollahi, M., Khosravi, H., Moghaddamnia, A., Malekian, A., 2015. Assessment of drought hazard index using standardized precipitation index (Case Study: Semnan province, Iran), Research and Scientific Journal of Agricultural Meteorology, Vol. 3(1), pp. 57-66.
- Mozafari, G., 2006. An unconformity in meteorological and hydrological drought in two neighboring basins at
North Mountain slope of Shirkoh Yazd, Journal of Modarres Human Sciences, Vol. 10(48), pp. 173-190. - Babai, H., Araghinejad, Sh., Hoorfar, A., 2011. Time interval identification of the occurrences of meteorological and hydrological droughts in Zayandeh-Rud basin, Arid Biom Scientific and Research Journal, Vol. 1(3), pp. 1-12.
- Nalbantis, I., 2008. Evaluation of a Hydrological Drought Index. European Water Resources Association, Vol. 23(24), pp. 67-77.
- Van Lanen, H., Wanders, N., Tallaksen, L. M. and Van Loon, A., 2013. Hydrological drought across the world. Impact of climate and physical catchment structure. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Journal, Vol. 17, pp. 1715-1732.
- Azareh, A., Rahdari, M.R., Rafidi, S.E., Moghadam. A.F., 2014. Investigate the relationship between hydrological and meteorological droughts in Karaj dam Basin. European Journal of Experimental Biology, Vol. 4(3), pp. 102-107.
- McKee, T.B., Doesken, N.J. and Kleist, J., 1995. Drought Monitoring with Multiple Time Scales. In Proc, 9th Conf. on Applied Climatology. January 15-20. American Meteorological Society, Massachusetts, 233-236.
- Nalbantis, I. and Tsakiris, G., 2009. Assessment of hydrological drought revisited, Journal of Water Resource Management, Vol. 23, pp. 881-897.
- Das, G., 2000. Hydrology and soil conservation engineering. Prentice-Hall of India Private Limited Pub. 489 pp.
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- Darbandi, S., Kaveh, F., Fakhery Fard, A., Sedgi, H., Kamali, Gh., 2008. Introducing of a New Index for Agricultural Drought Severity Evaluating on the Basis of Relative Yield, Journal OF Agricultural Sciences, Vol. 1(13), pp. 107-123. (In Persian)
- Khosh Akhlagh, F., Ranjbar, F., Tolabi, S., Moghbel, M., Masoom pour, J., 2011. Investigation of drought through water years 2008-2009 and its impacts on water and agricultural water (case study: Marvdasht city), Journal of the Iranian Geographical Association, Vol. 24, pp. 119-135
- Heim JR, R.R., 2002. A Review of Twentieth-century Drought Indices Used in the United States, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 83(8), pp. 1149-1165.
- Guttman, N.B., 1998. Comparing the Palmer Drought Index and the Standardized Precipitation Index, Journal of American Water Resource Association. Vol. 34(1), pp. 113-121.
- Noohi, K., Asgary, A., 2006. The study of drought and return period of wet and dry years in Qom region, Journal of aridity and drought, Vol. 15, pp. 47-64.
- Alavi Nia, S., Sadati Nejad, S., Abdollahi, Kh., 2012. Presentation of the model to simulate the hydrological drought in Karoon basin, Environmental Erosion Researches, Vol. 1(1), pp. 1-11.
- Azadeh, F., Chabokroo, G., Akbari, S, M., 2010. Negative impacts of drought and solutions to deal with it (case study: Sistan), National Conference on Water Crisis Management. The Islamic Azad University of Marvdasht, Fars, Iran.
- Mokhtary, D., Iraj, S., 2008. Analysis of Drought and Domestic Socio-Economic Dimensions and its Impact on Rural Households in Sistan, Sixth Iranian Agriculture Economics Conference.
- Rahimi, D., Movahedi, S., Barghi, H., 2010. Assessment of Drought Severity Using Normal Precipitation Index (Case study Sistan and Baluchestan Province ), Journal of Geography and Environmental Planning, Vol. 20(4), pp. 43-56.
- Karimi Nazar, M., Moghaddam Nia, A., Mosaedi, A., 2011. Investigation of climatic factors affecting the occurrence of drought (Case study: Zabol Region), Journal Water and Soil Conservation, Vol. 17(1), pp. 145-158.
- Ansari, H., Erfanian, M., Naderian Far, M., 2011. The evaluating of drought zoning models in various time scales case study: Sistan and Balouchestan Province, Journal Water and Soil Conservation, Vol. 18(1), pp. 59-79.
- Piri, H., Rahdri, V., Maleki, S., 2014. Study and compare the performance of four meteorological drought index
in the risk management droughts in Sistan and Baluchestan province, Iranian Journal OF Irrigation and Water Engineering, Vol. 11(3), pp. 96-114. - Piri, H., Ansari, H., 2013. Study of drought in Sistan Plain and its impact on Hamoun international wetland. Wetland Ecobiology, Vol. 5(1), pp. 63-74.
- Hossein Zadeh Talaei, P., Zare Abiane, H., Maroofi, S., 2010. Evaluation of hydrological drought using streamflow drought index (SDI), National Conference on Water Crisis in Agriculture and Natural Resources, Islamic Azad University of Rey city. Tehran, Iran.
- Fatehi Marj, A., Heidarian, S. A., 2014, Investigation of meteorological and hydrological drought using GIS in Khuzestan Province, Iranian Journal of Watershed Management Science, Vol. 7(23), pp. 19-32.
- Shokrikochak, S., Behnia, A., 2013. Monitoring and Prediction of Khuzestan Province, Iran Drought Using SPI drought Index and Markov Chain, Journal of Irrigation Sciences and Engineering, Vol. 36(3), pp. 1-12.
- Eslami, A., Shokoohi, A., 2013. Analysis of streamflow conditions using hydrologic environmental drought index, Journal of Watershed Engineering and Management, Vol. 5(2), pp. 125-133.
- Fathzadeh, A., Ebdam, S., Beginner, S., Salari, Z., 2013. Evaluation of hydrological drought using streamflow drought index (SDI). The 9th National Conference on Watershed Management in Iran. Yazd, Iran.
- Dehban, H., Ebrahimi, K., Araghinejad, Sh., 2015. Introduction and Assessment of a New Drought Monitoring Index, MRDI (Case Study: Gorganroud Basin, Iran), Iranian Journal of Soil and Water Research, Vol. 46(1), pp. 19-30.
- Nasrollahi, M., Khosravi, H., Moghaddamnia, A., Malekian, A., 2015. Assessment of drought hazard index using standardized precipitation index (Case Study: Semnan province, Iran), Research and Scientific Journal of Agricultural Meteorology, Vol. 3(1), pp. 57-66.
- Mozafari, G., 2006. An unconformity in meteorological and hydrological drought in two neighboring basins at
North Mountain slope of Shirkoh Yazd, Journal of Modarres Human Sciences, Vol. 10(48), pp. 173-190. - Babai, H., Araghinejad, Sh., Hoorfar, A., 2011. Time interval identification of the occurrences of meteorological and hydrological droughts in Zayandeh-Rud basin, Arid Biom Scientific and Research Journal, Vol. 1(3), pp. 1-12.
- Nalbantis, I., 2008. Evaluation of a Hydrological Drought Index. European Water Resources Association, Vol. 23(24), pp. 67-77.
- Van Lanen, H., Wanders, N., Tallaksen, L. M. and Van Loon, A., 2013. Hydrological drought across the world. Impact of climate and physical catchment structure. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Journal, Vol. 17, pp. 1715-1732.
- Azareh, A., Rahdari, M.R., Rafidi, S.E., Moghadam. A.F., 2014. Investigate the relationship between hydrological and meteorological droughts in Karaj dam Basin. European Journal of Experimental Biology, Vol. 4(3), pp. 102-107.
- McKee, T.B., Doesken, N.J. and Kleist, J., 1995. Drought Monitoring with Multiple Time Scales. In Proc, 9th Conf. on Applied Climatology. January 15-20. American Meteorological Society, Massachusetts, 233-236.
- Nalbantis, I. and Tsakiris, G., 2009. Assessment of hydrological drought revisited, Journal of Water Resource Management, Vol. 23, pp. 881-897.
- Das, G., 2000. Hydrology and soil conservation engineering. Prentice-Hall of India Private Limited Pub. 489 pp.