سنجش متغیرهای اثرگذار بر شکل‌گیری مهاجرت معکوس در نواحی روستایی (موردی: بخش مرکزی شهرستان دزفول)
محورهای موضوعی : کالبدیسعید امانپور 1 , عظیم علی شائی 2 , نبی الله حسینی شه پریان 3
1 - دانشیار گروه جغرافیا و برنامه ریزی شهری دانشگاه شهید چمران اهواز
2 - استادیار گروه جغرافیا و برنامه ریزی شهری، دانشگاه پیام نور، ایران.
3 - دانشجوی دکترا جغرافیا و برنامه ریزی روستایی، دانشگاه تبریز
کلید واژه: شهرستان دزفول, مهاجرت معکوس, سیستم فازی, رگرسیون خطی,
چکیده مقاله :
هدف این پژوهش سنجش متغیرهای اثرگذار بر شکل‌گیری مهاجرت معکوس در روستاهای بخش مرکزی شهرستان دزفول می باشد. پژوهش حاضر از لحاظ هدف کاربردی و از لحاظ روش شناسی از نوع توصیفی – تحلیلی می‌باشد. جهت گردآوری اطلاعات از روش اسنادی و میدانی استفاده شده است. شیوه نمونه‌گیری در این پژوهش نمونه‌گیری سهمیه‌ای و پر نمودن پرسشنامه‌ها به صورت تصادفی ساده بین سرپرست خانوارها بوده است. نتایج به دست آمده از آزمون t نشان داد که از دیدگاه مهاجران شاخص اقتصادی مهمترین عامل مؤثر بر شکل‌گیری مهاجرت برگشتی است. همچنین نتایج آزمون رگرسیون خطی گویای آن است که در مهاجرت برگشتی، متغیرهای سن، جنس، تعلق بومی و فاصله سکونت تأثیرگذار هستند. براساس آزمون فریدمن، دسترسی به خدمات زیر بنایی، ارتباطی، رفاهی و اداری دارای اهمیت بیشتری نسبت به سایر متغیرها بوده اند. در نهایت نتایج سیستم فازی حاکی از آن است که روستاهای مورد مطالعه در مجموعۀ مهاجرت برگشتی بالا قرار دارند.
Abbasi, A., and Ranji, H (2015). Reverse Immigration: Starting an Immigration Case, Statistics, No.
15. (In Persian).
Adriaenssens, V., B. D. Baets, et al. (2004). “Fuzzy Rule-Based Models for Decision Support in
Ecosystem Management”, The Science of Total Environment, In Press.
Afrakhteh, H., Manafiazar, R., & Velayi, M. (2016). [The Spatial-Local Effects of Return Migration in
Miyandoab County, Journal of Research and Rural Planning, 5(1), 83-98. . (In Persian).
Alibabaiee, M. & Jom’epour, M. (2017). The procces and pattern of return migration and factors
affecting it )Case study: Hajilou Dehestan- Kabodarahang County). Journal of Research & Rural
Planning, 5(4), 91-105. (In Persian).
Amini Faskhodi. A, (2006): Application of Fuzzy Logic Inference in Regional Planning and
Development Studies, Journal of Science and Development, No. 17, pp. 40-60. (In Persian).
Bosworth, Gary (2006). “Counter-urbanization and job creation: entrepreneurial in- migration and
rural economic development”. Centre for Rural Economy Discussion Paper Series. No. 4.
Newcastle: University of Newcastle Upon TYNE.
Catney, G., and Stockdale, A (2014), A life course perspective on urban-rural migration: the
importance of the local context, Journal Population, Space and Place 2014 Vol. 20 No. 1 pp. 83-98.
Deshingkar, Priya and Grimm, Sven (2005). “Internal migration and development: a global
perspective”. IOM (International Organization for Migration); Overseas Development Institute,
Migration Research Series (MRS) 19. Internal Migration. pmd, No. 19.
Diani., L, Taherkhani., M., and Roknaddin Eftekhari, A (2007). Providing Resettlement of Rural
Immigrants, An Immigration Case Covered by the Imam Khomeini Relief Committee of Pakdasht,
The Village and Development Quarterly, 11, No. 2, Summer, pp. 119-142. (In Persian).
ERUM, A. (2002). Counter-Urban Migration in the Swedish Urban System , the Centre for Regional
Science at Umeå University, Sweden
Farajisabokbar, H. (2016): Provides a model for assessing the quality of the natural environment of
rural areas through knowledge based systems, Journal Rural Research and Planning, Year 5, Issue
1, pp. 1-18. (In Persian).
Flood J., (1997). Urban and housing indicators, Urban Studies Journal, Vol. 34, No. 10, pp. 1635-
1665.
Ghaffari, F., Niko Maram, H., and Kenani Moghaddam, S (2012). Identifying and Evaluating
Variables Affecting Reverse Immigration (Case Study: Tehran City), Quarterly Journal of Urban
Management Studies, Vol. 4, No. 9, pp. 69-58. (In Persian).
Ghasemi ,M., Javan, J., Saberi (2015), Analysis of the Causes of the Formation of Reverse Migration
to Rural Areas Case Study: Binalood County, Journal of Arid Regions Geographics Studies,
Volume 4, Issue 16, p.p:15-27. (In Persian).
Heanue, Kevin (2002). A Strategic Approach to Rural Repopulation Based ontheKnowledge Gained
from the ADM Pilot Rural Resettlement Programme, 1999/2000. Dublin: Area Development
Management .
Jamali, F(2002), Immigration, Cities and Migrant Adaptation, Journal of Faculty of Literature and
Humanities, Tabriz University, vol. 45, No. 182. (In Persian).
Kiani, A. Pasban Isaloo, V. Badali, A. and R. kanoni, (2015): Application of Fuzzy Inference System
in the Field of Human Development Assessment: Parsabad County, Geography and Territorial
Spatial Arrangement, No. 19, pp. 1-16. (In Persian).
Mahdavi Hajilvi, M., and Mohammad Zadeh, G.Hossein (2012). Analysis of Levels of Attainment of
Qualification and Employment Indices in Districts of Central District of Dezful City Using the
Morris Method, Geography Journal, Vol. 9, No. 26, pp. 25-25. (In Persian).
Mir Fallah Nassiri, S. N., Del Azimi, F., and Sabbaghi, S (2016). Is Inverse Immigration Implied In
The Country ?, Statistics, No. 20, pp. 20-14. (In Persian).
Mitchell, Clare A. J. (2004). Making Sense of counterurbanization , Journal of rural studies 20 (2004)
15-34.
Mohajerani, A.A., Rosta, Z (2015). Reverse Immigration and Its Impact on Economic, Social
Development and Cultural and Political Development in the Villages of Tonekabon and Ramsar
Townships in Mazandaran Province, 2006-2011, Urban Sociological Studies Journal, Vol. 5, No.
13, pp. 194-167. (In Persian).
Okali, David; Okpara, Enoch; and Olawoye, Janice (2001). “Rural-urban interactions and livelihood
strategies series: the case of Aba and its region, Southeastern Nigeria”. Working paper 4,
International Institute for Environment and Development (IIED), Human Settlements Programme,
London.
osworth, Gary. (2009). Commercial counterurbanization and the Rural Economy , Economic
Research and Development Unit, University of Lincoln
Papeli yazdi, M.H., and Rajabi, H (2003), City and Perimon Theories, Tehran, Samte.
Phillips, Joal L. and Potter, Robert B. (2003). “Social dynamics of ‘foreignborn’ and ‘young’ returning
nationals to the Caribbean: a review of the literature”, Geographical Paper. No. 167. The University
of Reading. Available on: http://www.geog.rdg.ac.uk/ research/ papers/ gp167.pdf.
Planck, Max (2006).“Internal migration and household living conditions in Ethiopia Blessing Uchenna
Mbera”. Institute for Demographic Research. Journal of Demographic Research, Vol. 14, Article
21.
Ratnayake, R.M.C. (2014). Application of a fuzzy inference system for functional failure risk rank
estimation: RBM of rotating equipment and instrumentation. Journal of Loss Prevention in the
Process Industries, 29(0), 216-224.
Rebhun, U., & Brown, D. L. (2015). Patterns and selectivities of urban/rural migration in Israel.
Demographic Research, 33,113.
Roknoddin Eftekhari., and Firooznia, G (2002). Position of village in the process of national
development from the point of view of experts, Tehran, Ministry of Agriculture, Deputy of
Industry, Rural Development and Development.
Salimi, K. (2019), Investigating Social and Economic Factors Related to Reverse Migration
Motivation (Case Study: Saqez City), Master Thesis in Geography and Urban Planning, Sabzevar
University. (In Persian).
Stockdale, A.; Catney, G (2014). A life course perspective on urban-rural migration: the importance of
the local context, Journal Population, Space and Place 2014 Vol. 20 No. 1 pp. 83-98.
Tacoli, Cecilia (1998). “Rural-urban interactions: a guide to the literature”. Environment and
Urbanization. Vol. 10, No. 1.
Taheri, M., Armaghan, S., and Estelaji, A. (2020), Explaining the Role of Reverse Migration in
Taleshi, M, Soltani, R., Ghaffari, S. R. & Karamifar, E (2016). Investigating the impact of economic
structure of agricultural products on the urban-rural relationship (Case study: Central District of
Dezful county). Journal of Research & Rural Planning, 5(2), 195-212. (In Persian).
Villages Settlements Development (Case Study of 19th area Villages), Quarterly of New Attitudes in
Human Geography (Autumn) 2020, Vol. 12. No 4. (In Persian).
Wang, Wenfie Winnie (2004). “Urban-rural return labor migration in China: a case study of Sichuan
and Anhui provinces”. Department of Geography UCLA.
WWW.amar.org.(2016).
Yaghoubi, J. & Zobeidi,T. (2018).[Assessing Reverse Migration's Motivations and Consequences in
Ijroud City, Zanjan Province, Journal of Rural Research, 9(2),196-209. (In Persian).
Zohry, Osman (2003). “Rural-urban migration in Egypt and other developing countries: a statistical
and literature review”. Available on: http://www.zohry.com/thesis/chapter3.pdf.