نقش کانال‌های نرخ ارز و اعتباری در انتقال سیاست‌های پولی و تاثیر آن بر بخش سلامت و بهداشت کشورهای نفتی
محورهای موضوعی : -اقتصاد بهداشت و درمان
عباس هادی کاطع الزوامل
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حسین شریفی رنانی
2
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عباس علی جمعه
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بهار حافظی
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1 - دانشجوی دکتری رشته اقتصاد، واحد اصفهان (خوراسگان)، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، اصفهان، ایران
2 - دانشیار اقتصاد، واحد اصفهان (خوراسگان)، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، اصفهان، ایران
3 - استاد اقتصاد، دانشگاه نفت و گاز بصره، بصره، عراق
4 - استادیار اقتصاد، واحد اصفهان (خوراسگان)، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، اصفهان، ایران
کلید واژه: کانال نرخ ارز, کانال اعتبار, انتقال سیاست‌های پولی, بخش سلامت و بهداشت.,
چکیده مقاله :
مقدمه: تحقیق در زمینه نقش کانال‌های نرخ ارز و اعتباری در انتقال سیاست‌های پولی و تاثیر آن بر بخش سلامت کشورهای نفتی از آن جهت حائز اهمیت است که نوسانات ارزی و شرایط اعتباری می‌توانند بر تخصیص منابع به بخش سلامت تاثیرگذار باشند. این تحلیل به سیاست‌گذاران کمک می‌کند تا اثرات اقتصادی را بر سلامت عمومی به درستی مدیریت کنند.
روش پژوهش: این تحقیق به بررسی نقش کانال‌های نرخ ارز و اعتباری در انتقال سیاست‌های پولی و تاثیر آن بر بخش سلامت و بهداشت کشورهای نفتی از سال 2010 تا 2023 می‌پردازد. برای این منظور از روش پانل پویا (GMM) استفاده شد. نمونه آماری شامل 17 کشور منتخب نفتی است.
یافته‌ها: نتایج تحلیل نشان می‌دهد که نوسانات نرخ ارز با ضریب -0.0512 تأثیر منفی بر وضعیت سلامت دارد، به این معنا که افزایش نوسانات ارزی می‌تواند سلامت عمومی را تحت تأثیر منفی قرار دهد. از سوی دیگر، کانال اعتباری با ضریب مثبت 0.0512 اثرات مثبتی بر بخش سلامت دارد، که نشان‌دهنده نقش مثبت آن در بهبود وضعیت بهداشت عمومی است. همچنین، سیاست‌های پولی با ضریب منفی -0.01098 تأثیر منفی بر سلامت دارند، که این به معنای تأثیر منفی سیاست‌های پولی در کاهش منابع تخصیص یافته به بخش سلامت می‌باشد.
نتیجه‌گیری: نتایج نشان می‌دهد که نوسانات نرخ ارز و سیاست‌های پولی تأثیر منفی بر وضعیت سلامت دارند، در حالی که کانال اعتباری و درآمدهای نفتی اثرات مثبتی بر بهبود بخش سلامت می‌گذارند. بنابراین، سیاست‌گذاری‌های اقتصادی باید با در نظر گرفتن این روابط برای بهبود وضعیت بهداشت عمومی طراحی شوند.
Introduction: The research on the role of exchange rate and credit channels in the transmission of monetary policies and their impact on the health sector of oil-exporting countries is significant because exchange rate fluctuations and credit conditions can influence the allocation of resources to the health sector. This analysis helps policymakers manage the economic effects on public health effectively.
Research Methodology: This study examines the role of exchange rate and credit channels in the transmission of monetary policies and their impact on the health and healthcare sectors of oil-exporting countries from 2010 to 2023. For this purpose, the dynamic panel method (GMM) was used. The sample consists of 17 selected oil-exporting countries.
Findings: The analysis results show that exchange rate fluctuations, with a coefficient of -0.0512, have a negative impact on health status, meaning that increased exchange rate volatility can negatively affect public health. On the other hand, the credit channel, with a positive coefficient of 0.0512, has a positive effect on the health sector, indicating its role in improving public health status. Additionally, monetary policies, with a negative coefficient of -0.01098, have a negative effect on health, which means that monetary policies negatively impact the resources allocated to the health sector.
Conclusion: The results indicate that exchange rate fluctuations and monetary policies negatively affect health status, while credit channels and oil revenues have positive effects on improving the health sector. Therefore, economic policies should be designed considering these relationships to enhance public health outcomes.
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