کاربرد برنامهریزی آرمانی در تعیین الگوی بهینه کشت محصولات زراعی با تاکید بر آب مجازی دراستان کردستان
محورهای موضوعی :
مدیریت صنعتی
mostafa baghbanyan
1
,
Hamed Ghaderzadeh
2
,
Ghodratollah Emamverdi
3
,
Marjan Damankeshideh
4
,
Narciss Amin Rashti,
5
1 - Phd scholar of economic Department, Islamic Azad University, Tehran center
2 - Dept. of agricultural economic, University of Kurdistan
3 - Dept of Economic. Islamic Azad University. Tehran Center
4 - Faculty of Economics Department Faculty of Economics and Accounting ،Islamic Azad University Central Tehran Branch. Tehran,Iran
5 - Dept of Economic, Islamic Azad University, Tehran center.
تاریخ دریافت : 1399/04/17
تاریخ پذیرش : 1399/05/06
تاریخ انتشار : 1399/06/23
کلید واژه:
"آب مجازی",
"استان کردستان",
"برنامهریزی آرمانی",
"الگوی بهینه کشت",
چکیده مقاله :
امروزه تولید محصولات مقرون به صرفه ،همواره از دغدغه‌های کشاورزان و سیاست‌گذاران می‌باشد. بر این اساس، لازم به نظر می‌رسد تا بتوان در سیاست‌گذاری‌های کشت ،افزون بر هدف‌های سیاست‌گذاران، نیازمندی‌ها و اهداف کشاورزان در کنار یکدیگر در نظر گرفته شود. بنابراین، مطالعه حاضر با هدف ارزیابی اقتصادی الگوی بهینه کشت محصولات زراعی استان کردستان به تفکیک شهرستان‌های آن با تاکید بر حداقل آب مجازی طرح ریزی و اجرا شد. به این منظور آمار و اطلاعات موردنیاز در سال زراعی 95-1394 در قالب تدوین الگوی برنامهریزی آرمانی استفاده گردید. نتایج مطالعه نشان داد، الگوی کشت فعلی واحدهای تولیدی شهرستان‌های استان دارای مزیت نسبی نبوده و از اینرو الگوی فعلی کشت باید تغییر یابد. به بیان دیگر، تغییرات الگوی کشت محصولات زراعی به سمت تخصصی شدن و متناسب با مزیت نسبی منطقه در حال تغییر هستند و محصولاتی وارد الگوی کشت شده‌اند که با امکانات و شرایط هر منطقه (شهرستان) سازگار می‌باشند. این تغییرات به نحوی است که سطح زیرکشت برخی از محصولات نسبت به وضعیت فعلی کاهش و برخی دیگر افزایش معنی‌داری پیدا کرده است. به طوری که محصولی مانند گندم آبی به طور کلی در الگوی بهینه وارد نشده است. همچنین بیشتر محصولات به دلیل عدم مزیت نسبی و غیرمتناسب با شرایط منطقه و همچنین بازدهی پایین آن‌ها از الگو حذف شدند.
چکیده انگلیسی:
Nowadays, production of economic production is one of the most important of policymaker’s tensions. Address to this. It is necessary to merge the farmer’s aims along policy makers as well as their necessities. Therefore, the current study attempted to investigate on optimum cropping pattern of agricultural crops in Kurdistan province respect to each county emphasizing on minimize virtual water. To follow research aim the necessary data were collected for the agricultural year 2015-6 using goal programming. The results showed that, the current cropping pattern does not has no comparative advantage and it has to experience significant change. In other words, the current cropping pattern willing must to change from mixed form to specialized one according to comparative advantage according to resource possibilities of each district. The range of change showed that, there are significant decrease and increase in some crops compare to current situation. The results showed that, irrigated wheat did not get permission to enter optimum model. In addition, the most of current crop due to low return as well as disadvantage of study area omitted in recommended pattern.
منابع و مأخذ:
Allan, J.A. (1997). Virtual water: A long-term solution for water short Middle Eastern economies. Paper presented at the 1997 British Assoc. Festival of Sci., University of Leeds, UK.
Allen, R.G., Periera, L.S., Raes, D., & Smith, M. (1998). Crop evapotranspiration. Guidelines for computing crop water requirements. FAO Irrigation and Drainage Paper 56, Rome, Italy, 300 p.
Asaadi, M.A., Mortazavi, S.A., Zamani, O., Najafi, G.H., Yusaf, T., & Hoseini, S.S. (2019). The Impacts of water pricing and non-pricing policies on sustainable water resources management: A case of Ghorveh plain at Kurdistan province, Iran. Energies, 12, 2667.
Asgaripoor, A. R. (2012). Determination of optimum and sustainable cropping pattern of Bahar’s agricultural respect to farmers view. Unpublished. Thesis of master program. College of agriculture and natural resource. University Mohaghegh Aradabili (In Persian).
Azadegan, A., Babaei, M., Sabouhi, M., & Kavousi Akbarpoor. (2012). Application of target programming in agricultural plan design emphasizing sustainable development, a case of Sistan district. 1st national conference on Dry and Semi- Dry Regions. Abarkooh, Islamic Azad university of Abarkooh (In Persian).
Azizi, J., & Yazdani, S. (2004). Determination of comparative advantage of major horticultural crops of Iran. Journal of Agricultural Economics and Development. 12(43), 41-72 (In Persian).
Baghestani, A., & Mehrabi Boshrabadi, H. (2007). The concept of virtual water and its application in determination of Iran’s agricultural crops trade. 9th National Seminar of Irrigation and Reduction of Evaporation. Kerman (In Persian).
Chiezary, A., Yousefi, A., and Mousavi, S.H. (2006). Survey on target export markets of Iran’s ornamental. Journal of Agricultural Economics and Development. 55, 47-66 (In Persian).
Dastwar, S., Hassani, H.A., Shirdeli, A., Khalfi, J., & Ghaidi, A. (2014). Survey on cadaster and agricultural land integration in accessible water productivity. A case of lnad under Shovaier Dam. Unpublished. Thesis of master program. College of agriculture and natural resourse. Zanjan (In Persian).
Doorandish, A., & Torabi, S. (2015). Selection of optimum agricultural cropping pattern emphasizing on water resource constraint. A case of Koozran city of Kermanshah province. Journal of Agricultural Economics. 9(1): 117-134 (In Persian).
Hanasaki, N., Inuzuka, T., Kanae, S., & Oki, T. (2010). An estimation of global virtual water flow and sources of water withdrawal for major crops andlivestock products using a global hydrological model, Hydrology Journal, 384: 232-244.
Mansouri, H., & Kohansal, M. (2007). Determination of agricultural cropping pattern based on economic as well as environmental views. 6th two years conference of Iran Agricultural Economiocs. Mashad; University of Mashad Ferdaowsi (In Persian).
Mohammadi Kani Golzar, F. (2012). Water consumption management respect to virtual water exchange in selected products of Iran. Unpublished. Thesis of master program in agricultural management. University of Tehran.
Nazari, A.M., Manafi Azr, R., & Abdollaqhi, A. (2013). Evaluation of effect of extension of compressed irrigation in agricultural structure change cropping pattern and production return. A case of Miandoab city. Jornal of Gepgraphical prospective in Human Studies. 8 (25), 147-161 (In Persian).
Shajari, Sh. (2014). Optimization of exploitation of water resources to maximizing of social benefits in Fars province. Journal of Agricultural Economics. 8, 175-189 (In Persian).
Turton, A. R. (2000). Precipitation, people, Pipelines and Power: Towards a virtual water based political ecology discourse, MEWREW Occasional paper, 11.
(2018). Statistical yearbook of agricultural organization of Kurdistan province (In Persian).
Verma, S., Kampman, D. A., Van der Zaag, P.& Hoekstra, A. Y. (2009). Going against the flow: A critical analysis of inter-state virtual water trade in the context of India’s national river linking program. Journal of Physics and Chemistry of the Earth 34(4-5): 261–269.
Wang, Z., Zhang, L., Zhang, Q., Wei, Y., Wang, J., Ding, X., & Mi, Z. (2019). Optimization of virtual water flow via grain trade within China. Ecological Indicators, 97: 25-34.
Yoo, S.H., Choi, J.Y., Lee, S.H., & Kim, T. (2014). Estimating water footprint of paddy rice in Korea. Paddy and Water Environment, 12(1): 43-54.
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Allan, J.A. (1997). Virtual water: A long-term solution for water short Middle Eastern economies. Paper presented at the 1997 British Assoc. Festival of Sci., University of Leeds, UK.
Allen, R.G., Periera, L.S., Raes, D., & Smith, M. (1998). Crop evapotranspiration. Guidelines for computing crop water requirements. FAO Irrigation and Drainage Paper 56, Rome, Italy, 300 p.
Asaadi, M.A., Mortazavi, S.A., Zamani, O., Najafi, G.H., Yusaf, T., & Hoseini, S.S. (2019). The Impacts of water pricing and non-pricing policies on sustainable water resources management: A case of Ghorveh plain at Kurdistan province, Iran. Energies, 12, 2667.
Asgaripoor, A. R. (2012). Determination of optimum and sustainable cropping pattern of Bahar’s agricultural respect to farmers view. Unpublished. Thesis of master program. College of agriculture and natural resource. University Mohaghegh Aradabili (In Persian).
Azadegan, A., Babaei, M., Sabouhi, M., & Kavousi Akbarpoor. (2012). Application of target programming in agricultural plan design emphasizing sustainable development, a case of Sistan district. 1st national conference on Dry and Semi- Dry Regions. Abarkooh, Islamic Azad university of Abarkooh (In Persian).
Azizi, J., & Yazdani, S. (2004). Determination of comparative advantage of major horticultural crops of Iran. Journal of Agricultural Economics and Development. 12(43), 41-72 (In Persian).
Baghestani, A., & Mehrabi Boshrabadi, H. (2007). The concept of virtual water and its application in determination of Iran’s agricultural crops trade. 9th National Seminar of Irrigation and Reduction of Evaporation. Kerman (In Persian).
Chiezary, A., Yousefi, A., and Mousavi, S.H. (2006). Survey on target export markets of Iran’s ornamental. Journal of Agricultural Economics and Development. 55, 47-66 (In Persian).
Dastwar, S., Hassani, H.A., Shirdeli, A., Khalfi, J., & Ghaidi, A. (2014). Survey on cadaster and agricultural land integration in accessible water productivity. A case of lnad under Shovaier Dam. Unpublished. Thesis of master program. College of agriculture and natural resourse. Zanjan (In Persian).
Doorandish, A., & Torabi, S. (2015). Selection of optimum agricultural cropping pattern emphasizing on water resource constraint. A case of Koozran city of Kermanshah province. Journal of Agricultural Economics. 9(1): 117-134 (In Persian).
Hanasaki, N., Inuzuka, T., Kanae, S., & Oki, T. (2010). An estimation of global virtual water flow and sources of water withdrawal for major crops andlivestock products using a global hydrological model, Hydrology Journal, 384: 232-244.
Mansouri, H., & Kohansal, M. (2007). Determination of agricultural cropping pattern based on economic as well as environmental views. 6th two years conference of Iran Agricultural Economiocs. Mashad; University of Mashad Ferdaowsi (In Persian).
Mohammadi Kani Golzar, F. (2012). Water consumption management respect to virtual water exchange in selected products of Iran. Unpublished. Thesis of master program in agricultural management. University of Tehran.
Nazari, A.M., Manafi Azr, R., & Abdollaqhi, A. (2013). Evaluation of effect of extension of compressed irrigation in agricultural structure change cropping pattern and production return. A case of Miandoab city. Jornal of Gepgraphical prospective in Human Studies. 8 (25), 147-161 (In Persian).
Shajari, Sh. (2014). Optimization of exploitation of water resources to maximizing of social benefits in Fars province. Journal of Agricultural Economics. 8, 175-189 (In Persian).
Turton, A. R. (2000). Precipitation, people, Pipelines and Power: Towards a virtual water based political ecology discourse, MEWREW Occasional paper, 11.
(2018). Statistical yearbook of agricultural organization of Kurdistan province (In Persian).
Verma, S., Kampman, D. A., Van der Zaag, P.& Hoekstra, A. Y. (2009). Going against the flow: A critical analysis of inter-state virtual water trade in the context of India’s national river linking program. Journal of Physics and Chemistry of the Earth 34(4-5): 261–269.
Wang, Z., Zhang, L., Zhang, Q., Wei, Y., Wang, J., Ding, X., & Mi, Z. (2019). Optimization of virtual water flow via grain trade within China. Ecological Indicators, 97: 25-34.
Yoo, S.H., Choi, J.Y., Lee, S.H., & Kim, T. (2014). Estimating water footprint of paddy rice in Korea. Paddy and Water Environment, 12(1): 43-54.
