بررسی تأثیر عدم‌اطمینان متغیرهای کلان اقتصادی بر رفتار چسبندگی هزینه

محورهای موضوعی : پژوهش های مالی و رفتاری در حسابداری

بهزاد رضازاده ¹ (گروه حسابداری، واحد بین المللی خرمشهر، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، خرمشهر، ایران)
شکراله خواجوی ² (استاد گروه حسابداری، دانشگاه شیراز، شیراز، ایران)
اله کرم صالحی ³ (گروه حسابداری، واحد مسجد سلیمان، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، مسجدسلیمان، ایران)

تاریخ دریافت : 1400/03/14 تاریخ پذیرش : 1400/04/16 تاریخ انتشار : 1400/06/01

کلید واژه: رشد اقتصادی, عدم‌اطمینان اقتصادی, نرخ تورم, نرخ ارز و چسبندگی هزینه‌ها,

چکیده مقاله :

هدف این پژوهش، بررسی تأثیر عدم ‌اطمینان متغیرهای کلان اقتصادی بر چسبندگی هزینه‌ها با استفاده از رگرسیون دو مرحله‌ای فاما- مکبث در شرکت‌های پذیرفته شده در بورس اوراق بهادار تهران است. برای اندازه‌گیری عدم‌اطمینان متغیرهای کلان اقتصادی از چهار معیار رشد تولید ناخالص ملی، نرخ تورم، نرخ ارز و نرخ بهره با استفاده از شاخص‌های آرچ و گارچ استفاده شده است. بدین منظور فرضیه‌ای برای بررسی این موضوع تدوین شده و داده‌های مربوط به 108 شرکت عضو بورس اوراق بهادار تهران در فاصلۀ سال‌های 1390 تا 1398 تجزیه و تحلیل شده است. الگوی رگرسیون پژوهش با استفاده از روش دو مرحله‌ای فاما‌-‌ مکبث آزمون شده است. نتایج به دست آمده نشان می‌دهد معیارهای عدم‌اطمینان اقتصادی چون رشد تولید ناخالص ملی، نرخ تورم، نرخ ارز و نرخ بهره تأثیر مثبت و معناداری بر چسبندگی هزینه‌ها دارند. بنابراین نتایج پژوهش گویای آن است که عدم‌ اطمینان متغیرهای کلان اقتصادی موجب افزایش چسبندگی هزینه‌ها می‌شود.

چکیده انگلیسی:

The purpose of this research is to study macroeconomic uncertainty measures effect on cost stickiness conducting two steps Fama-Macbeth regression models on listed companies of Tehran Stock Exchange. In order to estimate macroeconomic uncertainty four measures of GDP growth, inflation rate, exchange rate and interest rate have been utilized by Arch and Garch models. For this purpose, a hypothesis is developed and the data of108 listed companies of Tehran Stock Exchange is analyzed during the period of 2011 to 2019. The research regression model is tested by two steps Fama-Macbeth regression model. Results show a positive significant effect of macroeconomic uncertainty measures (measures of GDP growth, inflation rate, exchange rate and interest rate) on cost stickiness. Thus, results hold that macroeconomic uncertainty measures increase cost stickiness.

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