بررسی عوامل مؤثر بر خشکسالی کشاورزی گندم کاران بخش کبگیان شهرستان بویراحمد

محورهای موضوعی : فصلنامه علمی -پژوهشی تحقیقات اقتصاد کشاورزی

علی غلامی کالوس ¹ (دانشجوی دکتری توسعه کشاورزی دانشگاه یاسوج گروه مدیریت توسعه روستایی، دانشکده کشاورزی، دانشگاه یاسوج، یاسوج، ایران.)
آیت اله کرمی ² (دانشیار اقتصاد کشاورزی، گروه مدیریت توسعه روستایی، دانشکده کشاورزی، دانشگاه یاسوج، یاسوج، ایران.)
مهدی نوری پور ³ (دانشیار ترویج و آموزش کشاورزی، گروه مدیریت توسعه روستایی، دانشکده کشاورزی، دانشگاه یاسوج، یاسوج، ایران.)

تاریخ دریافت : 1400/05/24 تاریخ پذیرش : 1402/05/25 تاریخ انتشار : 1402/05/01

کلید واژه: رشد اقتصادی, سرمایه‌گذاری مستقیم خارجی, امید به زندگی, داده‌های پانل,

چکیده مقاله :

مقدمه و هدف: خشکسالی از مهم­ترین مخاطرات اقلیمی است که دارای اثرات اجتماعی، اقتصادی و زیست محیطی می­باشد. این پدیده تهدید بزرگی برای کشاورزی و توسعه به شمار می­رود. خشکسالی هر ساله در بخش­هایی از ایران­ رخ داده و خسارت­های زیادی به همراه دارد، در اثر خشکسالی­های اخیر، طبق برآورد صورت گرفته، در شهرستان بویراحمد، سطح زیر­کشت گندم آبی 1399 نسبت به سال 1382 حدود 26 درصد کاهش یافته است. بنابراین پرداختن به مسئله­ی خشکسالی امری اجتناب ناپذیر به­نظر می­رسد.
مواد و روش­ها: هدف از انجام این پژوهش شناخت اثرات خشکسالی کشاورزی در مناطق روستایی بخش کبگیان شهرستان بویراحمد می­باشد. حجم نمونه براساس جدول بارتلت180 نفر انتخاب و تجزیه و تحلیل داده­ها با روش تحلیل محتوا و نرم افزار SPSS و به روش تحلیل عاملی انجام گرفت.
یافته ها: نتایج حاصل نشان می­دهد عامل­های تاب­آوری اقتصادی، تاب­آوری اجتماعی و زیرساختی- مدیریتی به ترتیب به عنوان مهم­ترین و اصلی­ترین عامل­های اثرات اقتصادی، اجتماعی و زیست محیطی خشکسالی شناسایی شدند.
بحث و نتیجه­ گیری: احداث سدهای کوچک و سیل بندها به عنوان اصلی­ترین فاکتور عامل زیرساختی از نظر کشاورزان منطقه مورد مطالعه برای کاهش پیامدهای خشکسالی می­باشد.

چکیده انگلیسی:

Introduction: Drought is one of the most important climate hazards that has social, economic and environmental effects. This phenomenon is a great threat to agriculture and development. Droughts occur every year in some parts of Iran and cause a lot of damage. As a result of the recent droughts, according to estimates, in Boyer Ahmad county, the area under water wheat cultivation in 2019 compared to 2012 has decreased by about 26%. Therefore, addressing the issue of drought seems inevitable.
Materials and Methods: The purpose of this research is to know the effects of agricultural drought in the rural areas of Kabgian district of Boyer Ahmad county. The sample size was selected based on Bartlett's table of 180 people and data analysis was done by content analysis method and SPSS software and by factor analysis method.
Findings: The results show that the factors of economic resilience, social resilience and infrastructural-management were identified as the most important and main factors of the economic, social and environmental effects of drought, respectively.
Conclusion: The construction of small dams and floodgate is the main infrastructure factor in the opinion of the farmers of the study area to reduce the consequences of drought.

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