تأثیر سیاست‌ پولی بر ارزش افزوده بخش کشاورزی و زیر بخش‌های آن در اقتصاد ایران

محورهای موضوعی : فصلنامه علمی -پژوهشی تحقیقات اقتصاد کشاورزی

امیرعلی فرهنگ ¹ (گروه اقتصاد، دانشگاه پیام نور، تهران، ایران)
رفیع حسنی مقدم ² (گروه اقتصاد، دانشگاه دامغان، دامغان، ایران)
آنیتا ابونوری ³ (کارشناسی ارشد، آمار اقتصادی و اجتماعی، دانشگاه شهید بهشتی، تهران، ایران)
علی محمدپور ⁴ (دانشجوی دکتری، علوم اقتصادی، دانشگاه تبریز، تبریز، ایران)

تاریخ دریافت : 1400/12/26 تاریخ پذیرش : 1402/05/30 تاریخ انتشار : 1402/05/01

کلید واژه: ارزش افزوده بخش کشاورزی, سیاست پولی, GMM,

چکیده مقاله :

مقدمه و هدف: هدف از تحقیق حاضر، بررسی اثر سیاست پولی بر ارزش افزوده بخش کشاورزی و زیر بخش‌های آن (زراعی، دامی، جنگلداری و شیلات) است.

مواد و روش‌ها: جهت بررسی تحقیق از متغیرهای؛ نقدینگی، ارزش افزوده و سرمایه گذاری بصورت داده‌های سالانه طی دوره زمانی 1398- 1370 و روش اقتصاد سنجی GMM استفاده شده است.

یافته‌ها: نتایج پژوهش نشان‌ می‌دهد، نقدینگی در کل بخش کشاورزی موجب افزایش 06/3 واحدی ارزش افزوده شده است، در حالی که نقدینگی در زیر بخش‌های زراعی، دامی، شیلات و جنگلداری به‌ ترتیب موجب افزایش 017/0، 76/2، 18/2 و 05/1 واحدی آن شده است

بحث و نتیجه‌گیری: با توجه به نتایج تحقیق، سیاست‌های پولی در کارایی بخش کشاورزی موثر می‌باشند و با استناد به نتایج به دست آمده، هدایت نقدینگی موجود به سمت سرمایه‌گذاری در زیر بخش‌های پر بازده کشاورزی پیشنهاد می‌گردد.

چکیده انگلیسی:

Introduction:The aim of this research is to investigate the effect of monetary policy on the value added of the agricultural sector and its subsectors (crop, livestock, fisheries and forestry).

Materials and Methods: To investigate the research of the variables; Liquidity, value added, and investment as annual data from 1991-2019, and the GMM econometric method was used.

Findings: The results of the research show that liquidity in the entire agricultural sector has increased the value added by 3.06 units, While liquidity in the crop, livestock, fisheries and forestry sub-sectors has increased by 0.017, 2.76, 2.18 and 1.05 units, respectively

Conclusion: According to the research results, monetary policies are effective in the efficiency of the agricultural sector, and based on the obtained results, it is suggested to direct the available liquidity towards investment in the productive sub-sectors of agriculture.

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