ارزیابی تاثیر نامتقارن شوک های قیمت نفت بر تخریب محیط زیست
ثمین موسیوند
1
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دانشگاه آزاد تهران مرکزی
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علیرضا دقیقی اصلی
2
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دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی
)
مرجان دامن کشیده
3
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دانشکده اقتصاد و حسابداری ، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی واحد تهران مرکزی ، ایران
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علی اسماعیل زاده مقری
4
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ریاست دانشکده اقتصاد واحد تهران مرکزی
)
کلید واژه: نفت, شوک نفتی, محیط¬زیست,
چکیده مقاله :
میزان آلودگی محیط زیست می‌تواند از عوامل متعددی ناشی شود. این عوامل از نظر اهمیت و میزان تأثیر در وضعیت یکسانی قرار ندارند و الزاماً نمی‌توان همه آنها را با هم در یک موقعیت مکانی یا زمانی مشاهده کرد. از این‌رو هدف این مقاله بررسی تاثیر نامتقارن شوک¬های قیمت نفت بر تخریب محیط¬زیست برای کشورهای حاشیه خلیج فارس از سال 2000 تا 2022 است. در این مطالعه شوک¬های نفتی مثبت و منفی استخراج شده و سپس اثر آنها بر انتشار کربن مدلسازی شده¬است. در این راستا، نتایج نشان داده است که شوک¬های مثبت قیمت نفت تاثیر مثبت و معناداری بر انتشار CO2 دارد. در حالی که شوک¬های منفی قیمت نفت تاثیر منفی و معناداری بر انتشار CO2 دارد. از این¬رو، این مطالعه می‌تواند به سیاست‌گذاران کمک کند تا سیاست های انرژی تجدیدپذیر را اتخاذ کنند و از فناوری‌های صرفه‌جویی در مصرف انرژی برای حفظ توسعه اقتصادی و بهبود کیفیت محیط¬زیست استفاده کنند.
چکیده انگلیسی :
The amount of environmental pollution can be caused by several factors. These factors are not in the same situation in terms of importance and impact, and it is not necessarily possible to observe all of them together in the same location or time. Therefore, the purpose of this article is to investigate the asymmetric impact of oil price shocks on environmental degradation for the Persian Gulf countries from 2000 to 2022. In this study, positive and negative oil shocks were extracted and then their effect on carbon emissions was modeled. In this regard, the results have shown that positive oil price shocks have a positive and significant effect on CO2 emissions. While negative oil price shocks have a negative and significant effect on CO2 emissions. Therefore, this study can help policymakers to adopt renewable energy policies and use energy-saving technologies to maintain economic development and improve environmental quality.
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