ارزیابی تاثیر نامتقارن شوک های قیمت نفت بر تخریب محیط زیست
ثمین موسیوند
1
(
دانشگاه آزاد تهران مرکزی
)
علیرضا دقیقی اصلی
2
(
دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی
)
مرجان دامن کشیده
3
(
دانشکده اقتصاد و حسابداری ، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی واحد تهران مرکزی ، ایران
)
علی اسماعیل زاده مقری
4
(
ریاست دانشکده اقتصاد واحد تهران مرکزی
)
الکلمات المفتاحية: نفت, شوک نفتی, محیط¬زیست,
ملخص المقالة :
میزان آلودگی محیط زیست می‌تواند از عوامل متعددی ناشی شود. این عوامل از نظر اهمیت و میزان تأثیر در وضعیت یکسانی قرار ندارند و الزاماً نمی‌توان همه آنها را با هم در یک موقعیت مکانی یا زمانی مشاهده کرد. از این‌رو هدف این مقاله بررسی تاثیر نامتقارن شوک¬های قیمت نفت بر تخریب محیط¬زیست برای کشورهای حاشیه خلیج فارس از سال 2000 تا 2022 است. در این مطالعه شوک¬های نفتی مثبت و منفی استخراج شده و سپس اثر آنها بر انتشار کربن مدلسازی شده¬است. در این راستا، نتایج نشان داده است که شوک¬های مثبت قیمت نفت تاثیر مثبت و معناداری بر انتشار CO2 دارد. در حالی که شوک¬های منفی قیمت نفت تاثیر منفی و معناداری بر انتشار CO2 دارد. از این¬رو، این مطالعه می‌تواند به سیاست‌گذاران کمک کند تا سیاست های انرژی تجدیدپذیر را اتخاذ کنند و از فناوری‌های صرفه‌جویی در مصرف انرژی برای حفظ توسعه اقتصادی و بهبود کیفیت محیط¬زیست استفاده کنند.
#Abumunshar, M., Aga, M., and Samour, A. (2020). Oil Price, Energy Consumption, and CO2 Emissions in Turkey. New Evidence #from a Bootstrap ARDL Test. Energies 13, 5588. doi:10.3390/en13215588
#Agbanike, T. F., Nwani, C., Uwazie, U. I., Anochiwa, L. I., Onoja, T. G. C., and Ogbonnaya, I. O. (2019). Oil Price, Energy Consumption and Carbon Dioxide (CO 2) Emissions: Insight into Sustainability Challenges in Venezuela. Lat. Am. Econ. Rev. 28 #(1), 1–26. doi:10.1186/s40503-019-0070-8
#Aljadani, A., Toumi, H., Toumi, S., Hsini, M., and Jallali, B. (2021). Investigation of the N-Shaped Environmental Kuznets Curve #for COVID-19 Mitigation in the KSA. Environ. Sci. Pollut. Res. 28, 29681–29700. doi:10.1007/s11356-021-12713-3
#Anser, M. K., Syed, Q. R., Lean, H. H., Alola, A. A., and Ahmad, M. (2021). Do Economic Policy Uncertainty and Geopolitical Risk #Lead to Environmental Degradation? Evidence from Emerging Economies. Sustainability 13 (11), 5866. doi:10.3390/su13115866
#Apergis, N., and Gangopadhyay, P. (2020). The Asymmetric Relationships between Pollution, Energy Use and Oil Prices in Vietnam: Some Behavioural Implications for Energy Policy-Making. Energy Policy 140, 111,430–111,442. #doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111430
#Ari, I., and Şentürk, H. (2020). The Relationship between GDP and Methane Emissions from Solid Waste: A Panel Data Analysis #for the G7. Sustain. Prod. Consum. 23, 282–290. doi:10.1016/j.spc.2020.06.004
#Balaguer, J., and Cantavella, M. (2015). Estimating the Environmental Kuznets Curve for Spain by Considering Fuel Oil Prices. #Ecol. Indic. 60, 853–859.
#Bilgili, F., Mugaloglu, E., and Koçak, E. (2020). “The Impact of Oil Prices on CO2 Emissions in China: a Wavelet Coherence #Approach,” in Econometrics of Green Energy Handbook, 31–57. doi:10.1007/978-3-030-46847-7_2
#Boufateh, T. (2019). The Environmental Kuznets Curve by Considering Asymmetric Oil Price Shocks: Evidence from the Top #Two. Environ. Sci. Pollut. Res. 26 (1), 706–720. doi:10.1007/s11356-018-3641-3
#@Cashin, P., Mohaddes, K., and Raissi, M. (2014). The Differential Effects of Oil Demand and Supply Shocks on the Global #Economy. Energy Econ. 44, 113–134. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2014.03.014
#Chaudhry, I. S., Azali, M., Faheem, M., and Ali, S. (2020). Asymmetric Dynamics of Oil Price and Environmental Degradation: #Evidence from Pakistan. Reads 6 (1), 1–12. doi:10.47067/reads.v6i1.179
#Chen, L. J., and Lin, Y. L. (2015). Does Air Pollution Respond to Petroleum Price. Int. J. Appl. Econ 12, 104–125.#
#Constantinos, K., Eleni, Z., Nikolaos, S., and Bantis, D. (2019). Greenhouse Gas Emissions-Crude Oil Prices: an Empirical #Investigation in a Nonlinear Framework. Environ. Dev. Sustain 21 (6), 2835–2856. doi:10.1007/s10668-018-0163-6
#Dong, K., Sun, R., Hochman, G., Zeng, X., Li, H., and Jiang, H. (2017). Impact of Natural Gas Consumption on CO2 Emissions: #Panel Data Evidence from China's Provinces. J. Clean. Prod. 162, 400–410. doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2017.06.100
#Eliaspour Behnam, Nikoqadam Massoud, Sanjari Kanasandal Narges. (2022). Investigating the asymmetric effect of oil price and foreign direct investment on carbon dioxide emissions in Iran: Evidence from the NARDL approach. Quarterly Journal of #Energy Economics Studies, 18 (75), 83-116(in Persian)
#Emami, Karim, Shahriari, Samaneh, and Darbani, Samaneh. (2011). The effect of oil shocks on the economic growth of some oil #importing and exporting countries. Financial Economics, 5(16), 27-62.(in Persian)
#Hammoudeh, S., Mensi, W., Reboredo, J. C., and Nguyen, D. K. (2014). Dynamic Dependence of the Global Islamic Equity Index with Global Conventional Equity Market Indices and Risk Factors. Pacific-Basin Finance J. 30, 189–206. #doi:10.1016/j.pacfin.2014.10.001
#Haque, M. I. (2020). Negating the Role of Institutions in the Long Run Growth of an Oil Producing Country. Ijeep 10 (5), 503–509. #doi:10.32479/ijeep.9870
#He, J., and Richard, P. (2010). Environmental Kuznets Curve for CO2 in Canada. Ecol. Econ. 69 (5), 1083–1093. #doi:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2009.11.030
#Kilian, L. and D.P. Murphy. (2014). The Role of Inventories and Speculative Trading in the Global Market for Crude Oil. Journal #of Applied Econometrics, 29(3):454–478, 2014.
#Kilian, L., and Stock, J. H. (2015). Anticipation, Tax Avoidance, and the Price Elasticity of Gasoline Demand John Coglianese #Lucas W. Davis. Ann Arbor 1001, 48109.
Kuznets, S. (1955). Economic Growth and Income Inequality. Am. Econ. Rev. 45, 1–28.#
Li, K., Fang, L., and He, L. (2020). The Impact of Energy Price on CO2 Emissions in China: a Spatial Econometric Analysis. Sci. #Total Environ. 706, 135942. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.135942
#Lin, B., and Jia, Z. (2019). Impacts of Carbon Price Level in Carbon Emission Trading Market. Appl. Energy 239, 157–170. #\doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.194
#Mahmood, H., Adow, A. H., Abbas, M., Iqbal, A., Murshed, M., and Furqan, M. (2022). The Fiscal and Monetary Policies and Environment in GCC Countries: Analysis of Territory and Consumption-Based CO2 Emissions. Sustainability 14 (3), 1225. #doi:10.3390/su14031225
#Mahmood, H., Alkhateeb, T. T. Y., and Furqan, M. (2020). Oil Sector and CO2 Emissions in Saudi Arabia: Asymmetry Analysis. #Palgrave Commun. 6, 88. doi:10.1057/s41599-020-0470-z
#Maji, I. K., Habibullah, M. S., Saari, M. Y., and Abdul-Rahim, A. S. (2017). The Nexus between Energy Price Changes and #Environmental Quality in Malaysia. Energy Sources, Part B Econ. Plan. Policy 12 (10), 903–909. doi:10.1080/15567249.2017.1323052
#Malik, M. Y., Latif, K., Khan, Z., Butt, H. D., Hussain, M., and Nadeem, M. A. (2020). Symmetric and Asymmetric Impact of Oil Price, FDI and Economic Growth on Carbon Emission in Pakistan: Evidence from ARDL and Non-linear ARDL Approach. Sci. #Total Environ. 726, 138421. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138421
#Marques, A. C., and Fuinhas, J. A. (2011). Drivers Promoting Renewable Energy: A Dynamic Panel Approach. Renew. Sustain. #Energy Rev. 15 (3), 1601–1608. doi:10.1016/j.rser.2010.11.048
Mensah, I. A., Sun, M., Gao, C., Omari-Sasu, A. Y., Zhu, D., Ampimah, B. C., et al. (2019). Analysis on the Nexus of Economic# Growth, Fossil Fuel Energy Consumption, CO2 Emissions and Oil Price in Africa Based on a PMG Panel ARDL Approach. J. Clean. #Prod. 228, 161–174. doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2019.04.281
#Moderi, Hamidreza, Daman-Kashideh, Marjan. (2023). Asymmetric oil price shocks, tax revenues, resource curse, stock market #and business cycles in oil exporting economies. Financial Economics, 64(17), 187-206(in Persian)
#Murshed, M. (2020). An Empirical Analysis of the Non-linear Impacts of ICT-Trade Openness on Renewable Energy Transition, Energy Efficiency, Clean Cooking Fuel Access and Environmental Sustainability in South Asia. Environ. Sci. Pollut. Res. #doi:10.1007/s11356-020-09497-3
#Murshed,M.(2021). LPG Consumption and Environmental Kuznets Curve Hypothesis in South Asia: a Time-Series ARDL Analysi #with Multiple Structural Breaks. Environ. Sci. Pollut. Res. 28, 8337–8372. doi:10.1007/s11356-020-10701-7
#Nwani, C. (2017). Causal Relationship between Crude Oil Price, Energy Consumption and Carbon Dioxide (CO2) Emissions in #Ecuador. OPEC Energy Rev. 41 (3), 201–225. doi:10.1111/opec.12102
#Saboori, B., Al-mulali, U., Bin Baba, M., and Mohammed, A. H. (2016). Oil-induced Environmental Kuznets Curve in #Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). Int. J. Green Energy 13 (4), 408–416. doi:10.1080/15435075.2014.961468
#Shahbaz, M., Bhattacharya, M., and Ahmed, K. (2017). CO2emissions in Australia: Economic and Non-economic Drivers in the #Long-Run. Appl. Econ. 49 (13), 1273–1286. doi:10.1080/00036846.2016.1217306
#Sun, C., Ding, D., Fang, X., Zhang, H., and Li, J. (2019). How Do Fossil Energy Prices Affect the Stock Prices of New Energy #Companies? Evidence from Divisia Energy Price Index in China's Market. Energy 169, 637–645. doi:10.1016/j.energy.2018.12.032
#Ullah, S., Chishti, M. Z., and Majeed, M. T. (2020). The Asymmetric Effects of Oil Price Changes on Environmental Pollution: #Evidence from the Top Ten Carbon Emitters. Environ. Sci. Pollut. Res. 27, 29623–29635. doi:10.1007/s11356-020-09264-4
#Umar, B., Alam, M. M., and Al-Amin, A. Q. (2020). Exploring the Contribution of Energy Price to Carbon Emissions in African #Countries. Environ. Sci. Pollut. Res. Int. 28 (63). doi:10.1007/s11356-020-10641-2
#Usman, M., Hayat, N., and Bhutta, M. M. A. (2020). SI Engine Fueled with Gasoline, CNG and CNG-HHO Blend: Comparative #Evaluation of Performance, Emission and Lubrication Oil Deterioration. J. Therm. Sci., 1–13. doi:10.1007/s11630-020-1268-4
#Wang,Q., and Li, R. (2016). Impact of Cheaper Oil on Economic System and Climate Change: A SWOT Analysis. Renew. Sustain. #Energy Rev. 54, 925–931. doi:10.1016/j.rser.2015.10.087
#Wang, X., Bai, M., and Xie, C. (2019). Investigating CO2 Mitigation Potentials and the Impact of Oil Price Distortion in China's #Transport Sector. Energy Policy 130, 320–327. doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2019.04.003
#Waqih, M. A. U., Bhutto, N. A., Ghumro, N. H., Kumar, S., and Salam, M. A. (2019). Rising Environmental Degradation and Impact of Foreign Direct Investment: an Empirical Evidence from SAARC Region. J. Environ. Manag. 243, 472–480. #doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.05.001
#Zaghdoudi, T. (2017). Internet Usage, Renewable Energy, Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth: Evidence from #Developed Countries. Econ. Bull. Access Econ. 37 (3), 1612–1619.
#Zain al-Dini, Shabnam, Sharif Karimi, Mohammad, Khanzadi, Azad (2019). Investigating the effect of oil price shocks on the #performance of the Iranian stock market. Financial Economics, 50(14), 145-170(in Persian)
#Zhang, S., Hu, T., Li, J., Cheng, C., Song, M., Xu, B., et al. (2019). The Effects of Energy Price, Technology, and Disaster Shocks on #China's Energy-Environment-Economy System. J. Clean. Prod. 207, 204–213. doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.09.256
