Bank Credits and Investment Growth of Agricultural Sector in Iran
محورهای موضوعی : Environmental policy and management
Mehdi Shabanzadeh
1
(Ph.D. Student of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agricultural Economic and Development, university of Tehran)
Reza Esfanjari Kenari
2
(Ph.D. of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agricultural Economics, Zabol University)
Parinaz Jansouz
3
(Ph.D. Student of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agricultural Economics, University of Sistan and Baluchestan)
Mohammad Kavoosi Kalashami
4
(Assistant professor, Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agricultural Sciences, University of Guilan)
کلید واژه: Iran, ARDL, oil revenues, Bank Credits, growth investing,
چکیده مقاله :
This study were examined relationship between bank credits and investment growth of agricultural sector in Iran during the period of 1982-2011 by auto regressive distribution lag bounds test approach. Basically, the growth investing of the agricultural sector in Iran is related to oil revenues, bank credits, value added of agriculture sector and capital stock. The results confirm the existence of a long-run relationship between variables in model. In addition, according to the results, bank credit is the most significant variable in explaining the growth investing, so that increases access to it will encourage growth investment of the agricultural sector in Iran. The estimations show that elasticity of bank credits, oil revenues, stock investment and value added are 0.103, 0.015, 0.049 and -0.058 in the agricultural sector respectively.
در پژوهش حاضر ارتباط میان اعتبارات بانکی و رشد سرمایه‏گذاری در بخش کشاورزی ایران طی دوره زمانی 2011-1982 با استفاده از الگوی خود توزیع برداری (ARDL) مورد بررسی قرار گرفته است. جهت دستیابی به این هدف، رشد سرمایه‏گذاری در بخش کشاورزی ایران تابعی از درآمدهای نفتی، اعتبارات بانکی، ارزش افزوده بخش کشاورزی و موجودی سرمایه در این بخش در نظر گرفته شده است. نتایج حاصل از پژوهش حاضر نشان می‏دهد که میان متغیرهای لحاظ شده در الگوی سرمایه‏گذاری بخش کشاورزی، ارتباط بلندمدت وجود دارد. از میان متغیرهای فوق اعتبارات بانکی بیشترین اثر را بر رشد سرمایه‏گذاری در بخش کشاورزی ایران دارد به طوری که افزایش دسترسی به اعتبارات نقش اساسی را در تشویق سرمایه‏‏گذاری در بخش کشاورزی ایران ایفا می‏نماید. هم­چنین کشش اعتبارات بانکی، درآمد نفتی، موجودی سرمایه و ارزش افزوده بخش کشاورزی نسبت به سرمایه‏گذاری در مطالعه حاضر به ترتیب 103/0، 015/0، 049/0 و 058/0- محاسبه شده است.
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