Socio-economic Impacts of Investment Development Policy on the Agricultural Sector
محورهای موضوعی : Environmental policy and managementپرنیان زند 1 , حمیدرضا میرزایی خلیل آبادی 2 , حسین مهرابی بشرآبادی 3 , صدیقه نبی ییان 4
1 - دانشجوی بخش اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشگاه شهید باهنر کرمان
2 - اعضای هیات علمی بخش اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشگاه شهید باهنر کرمان
3 - عضو هیأت علمی گروه اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشکده کشاورزی، دانشگاه باهنر کرمان
4 - عضو هیأت علمی گروه اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشکده کشاورزی، دانشگاه باهنر کرمان
کلید واژه: investment, Economic Growth, Income, Social Accounting Matrix,
چکیده مقاله :
Investment in the agricultural sector is important because this sector greatly affects the realms of providing food independence and security, employment, sustainable development, and environmental preservation. So, this study investigated the socio-economic impacts (direct and indirect effects) of the investment development policy on the agricultural sector and its sub-sectors in Iran in 2011 using a social accounting matrix (SAM). The results included three scenarios including a 15% increase in investment in the agricultural sector, a 10% increase in the investment in the farming and gardening sub-sector, a 15% increase in the investment in the farming and gardening sub-sector, and a 10% increase in the investment in the other sub-sectors. They indicated that the total income of the economy was increased when these scenarios were implemented; however, the first scenario had a greater impact on the total income of the economy (13.12%) compared to the other scenarios. Furthermore, it can be said that the sectors of agriculture (2.98%) and industry (0.36%) were most influenced by the first scenario and the sub-sector of farming and gardening and the industrial sector were most influenced by the second and third scenarios. According to the results of this study, it is suggested to take some actions to develop crop insurance and secure investment against potential losses by the available risks in the agricultural sector. Moreover, the government can play an influential role in controlling inflation and preventing price fluctuations so as to assure and motivate investors to increase investment in the agricultural sector.
سرمایه‌گذاری در بخش کشاورزی از اهمیت بالایی برخوردار است. زیرا این بخش نقش به‌سزایی در زمینه تولید مواد غذایی، استقلال و امنیت غذایی، اشتغال و حفاظت از محیطزیست ایفا می‌کند. لذا در این مطالعه آثار اقتصادی و اجتماعی (آثار مستقیم و غیرمستقیم) سیاست توسعه سرمایه‌گذاری در بخش کشاورزی و زیربخش‌های آن در ایران با استفاده از ماتریس حسابداری اجتماعی سال 1390 بررسی شده است. نتایج ناشی از سه سناریو شامل افزایش 15 درصد سرمایه‌گذاری در بخش کشاورزی، افزایش 10 درصد سرمایه‌گذاری در زیربخش زراعت و باغبانی، افزایش 15 درصد سرمایه‌گذاری در زیربخش زراعت و باغبانی و 10 درصد سرمایه‌گذاری در سایر زیربخش‌ها نشان می‌دهد که درآمد کل اقتصاد در اثر اعمال سناریوهای فوق افزایش یافته است. هم‌چنین سناریو اول دارای تاثیر بیشتری بر کل اقتصاد (12/13 درصد) در مقایسه با سایر سناریوها بوده است. به‌علاوه می‌توان گفت که بخش کشاورزی (98/2 درصد) و صنعت (36/0 درصد) در اثر اجرای سناریو اول و زیربخش زراعت و باغبانی و هم‌چنین صنایع در اثر اعمال سناریوهای دوم و سوم بیشترین تاثیر را پذیرفتهاند. لذا براساس نتایج این مطالعه گسترش بیمه محصولات کشاورزی و سرمایه‌گذاری مطمئن در برابر ریسک‌های موجود در بخش کشاورزی پیشنهاد می‌شود. به‌علاوه دولت قادر است نقش موثری در زمینه کنترل تورم و محافظت در مقابل نوسانات قیمت و افزایش انگیزه برای سرمایه‌گذاران جهت افزایش سرمایه‌گذاری ایفا نماید.
Abdollahi, M. (2006). Investment and the challenges of the financial market in the agriculture sector. Ravand Quarterly, 49,169-200.
Aghanasiri, M. (2012). A review of the agricultural sector investment process in four country development programs. Monthly Newsletter on Issues and Economic Policies, 4&5, 61-78.
Ahmadi, A., Dehnavi, J., & Haghnejad, A. (2011). The investigation of the economic growth and FDI in the developing countries: An analysis based on panel data. Economics Research, 2,159-180.
Ainabor, A.E., Shuaib, I.M., & Kadiri, A.K. (2014). Impact of capital formation on the growth of Nigerian economy 1960-2010: Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). School of Business Studies, Readings in Management and Social Studies, 1(1), 132-154.
Bagheri Dashbulaki, A., Hesari, N., & Arsalani Bod, R. (2016). The investigation of the impact of exports, investment, and employment on the economic growth with an emphasis on the agriculture sector. Paper presented at Ninth congress of the pioneers of progress, Iran, Tehran, The Center for Islamic-Iranian Model of Progress.
Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran. (2008). The social accounting matrix of Iranian economy 1999. Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, Economic Deputy Director of Economic Accounts.
Defourny, J., & Thorbecke, E. (1984). Structural path analysis and multiplier decomposition within a social accounting matrix framework. The Economic Journal, 94(373), 111-136.
Ekinci, A. (2011). The affect of foreign direct investment on the employment and economic growth: the case of Turkey (1980‐2010). Eskişehir Osmangazi University. Journal of Economics and Administrative Sciences, 6(2), 71‐96.
Encinas-Ferrer, C., & Villegas-Zermeño, E. (2015). Foreign direct investment and gross domestic product growth. Procedia Economics and Finance 24, 198-207.
Hadi Zonuz, B., & Kamali Dehkordi, P. (2009). Effect of FDI on the economic growth of the selected host countries. Iranian Journal of Economic Research, 39,113-136.
Hojabr Kiani, K., & Alizadeh Janvislu, M. (2000). The investigation of the effective factors in the investment of the private sector in the Iranian agriculture using non-linear least squares method. Agricultural Economics and Development, 29, 45-74.
Huang, T.T., Wiboonchutikula, P., & Tubtimtong, B. (2010). Does foreign direct investment promote economic growth in Vietnam? ASEAN Economic Bulletin, 27,295-311.
Khosravi, M., Mehrgoo, S., & Mohseni, R. (2014). The role of financial market and foreign direct investment on economic growth of agricultural sector dynamic panel data approach. Agricultural Economics Research, 1,103-130.
Kohansal, M., & Parmeh, Z. (2014). The estimation of the effect of the reduced subsidies of the agriculture sector on its production and employment. Journal of Economic Research (Sustainable Growth and Development) 1, 23-44.
Kohansal, M., Shahnooshi, N., & Golriz Ziaee, Z. (2009). The investigation of the impact of general investment in the agricultural infrastructures on the productivity growth in the agriculture sector of Iran. Journal of Knowledge and Development, 27, 79-97.
Kohansal, M.R., & Hatef, H. (2013). The investigation of the mutual impacts of financial development, foreign investment, and economic growth in the agriculture sector of Iran. Agricultural Economics and Development, 88, 1-22.
Mahdavi, R., Jahangard, A., & Khataee, M. (2011). The effect of the financial market development on the effectiveness of the foreign direct investment in the economic growth of the host countries using panel data method. Journal of Economic Modeling Research, 21(1), 2-40.
Marmazy, H., Afghah, M., Anvari, A., & Frazmand, H. (2014). Investigating the Impact of Investment in Agricultural, Industry and Services on Employment Income Distribution in Iran. Unpublished dissertation, Department of Economic Sciences, Shahid Chamran University of Ahvaz, Iran.
Mehrara, M., & Musai, M. (2013). The causality between capital formation and economic growth in MENA region. International Letters of Social and Humanistic Sciences, 8, 1-7.
Nikookar, F. (2002). The estimation of the function of investment demand in the agriculture sector of Iran (private and public). Unpublished dissertation Economics College of Allameh Tabatabaei University, Iran
Parmeh, Z., Maleki, B., Banoui, A., Andaish, Y., & Karami, M. (2011). Estimation of the impacts of the subsidy reform plan of the energy carriers on the price level of the commodity and services. Journal of Trade Studies, 58, 1-32.
Salami, H., & Parmeh, Z. (2001). The impacts of the increased exports of the agriculture and industry sectors on the economy of Iran: an analysis in the framework of the social accounting matrix. Journal of Economic Research, 59, 149-181.
Sherbaf, S., Tayebi, K., & Rajabi, M. (2013). The impact of the foreign direct investment and the financial market development on the economic growth in the selected countries in West Asia. Paper presented at the first electronic national conference on the perspective of the economy of Iran (with the approach of supporting national production), Iran, Isfahan, Islamic Azad University of Khorasgan, Iran.
Sridharan, P., Vijayakumar, N., & Rao, K. (2009). Causal relationship between foreign direct investment and growth: Evidence from BRICS countries. International Business Research, 2(4), 198-203.
Thorbecke, E. (2000). The use of social accounting matrices in modeling. Presented at 26th general conference of theinternational association for research in income and wealth Cracow, Poland.
Ugwuegbe, S.U., & Uruakpa, P.C. (2013). The impact of capital formation on the growth of Nigerian economy. Research Journal of Finance and Accounting, 4(9), 36-40.
