Socio-economic Impacts of Investment Development Policy on the Agricultural Sector
محورهای موضوعی : Environmental policy and management
پرنیان زند
1
(دانشجوی بخش اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشگاه شهید باهنر کرمان)
حمیدرضا میرزایی خلیل آبادی
2
(اعضای هیات علمی بخش اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشگاه شهید باهنر کرمان)
حسین مهرابی بشرآبادی
3
(عضو هیأت علمی گروه اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشکده کشاورزی، دانشگاه باهنر کرمان)
صدیقه نبی ییان
4
(عضو هیأت علمی گروه اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشکده کشاورزی، دانشگاه باهنر کرمان)
کلید واژه: investment, Economic Growth, Income, Social Accounting Matrix,
چکیده مقاله :
Investment in the agricultural sector is important because this sector greatly affects the realms of providing food independence and security, employment, sustainable development, and environmental preservation. So, this study investigated the socio-economic impacts (direct and indirect effects) of the investment development policy on the agricultural sector and its sub-sectors in Iran in 2011 using a social accounting matrix (SAM). The results included three scenarios including a 15% increase in investment in the agricultural sector, a 10% increase in the investment in the farming and gardening sub-sector, a 15% increase in the investment in the farming and gardening sub-sector, and a 10% increase in the investment in the other sub-sectors. They indicated that the total income of the economy was increased when these scenarios were implemented; however, the first scenario had a greater impact on the total income of the economy (13.12%) compared to the other scenarios. Furthermore, it can be said that the sectors of agriculture (2.98%) and industry (0.36%) were most influenced by the first scenario and the sub-sector of farming and gardening and the industrial sector were most influenced by the second and third scenarios. According to the results of this study, it is suggested to take some actions to develop crop insurance and secure investment against potential losses by the available risks in the agricultural sector. Moreover, the government can play an influential role in controlling inflation and preventing price fluctuations so as to assure and motivate investors to increase investment in the agricultural sector.
سرمایه‌گذاری در بخش کشاورزی از اهمیت بالایی برخوردار است. زیرا این بخش نقش به‌سزایی در زمینه تولید مواد غذایی، استقلال و امنیت غذایی، اشتغال و حفاظت از محیط­زیست ایفا می‌کند. لذا در این مطالعه آثار اقتصادی و اجتماعی (آثار مستقیم و غیرمستقیم) سیاست توسعه سرمایه‌گذاری در بخش کشاورزی و زیربخش‌های آن در ایران با استفاده از ماتریس حسابداری اجتماعی سال 1390 بررسی شده است. نتایج ناشی از سه سناریو شامل افزایش 15 درصد سرمایه‌گذاری در بخش کشاورزی، افزایش 10 درصد سرمایه‌گذاری در زیربخش زراعت و باغبانی، افزایش 15 درصد سرمایه‌گذاری در زیربخش زراعت و باغبانی و 10 درصد سرمایه‌گذاری در سایر زیربخش‌ها نشان می‌دهد که درآمد کل اقتصاد در اثر اعمال سناریوهای فوق افزایش یافته است. هم‌چنین سناریو اول دارای تاثیر بیشتری بر کل اقتصاد (12/13 درصد) در مقایسه با سایر سناریوها بوده است. به‌علاوه می‌توان گفت که بخش کشاورزی (98/2 درصد) و صنعت (36/0 درصد) در اثر اجرای سناریو اول و زیربخش زراعت و باغبانی و هم‌چنین صنایع در اثر اعمال سناریوهای دوم و سوم بیشترین تاثیر را پذیرفته­اند. لذا براساس نتایج این مطالعه گسترش بیمه محصولات کشاورزی و سرمایه‌گذاری مطمئن در برابر ریسک‌های موجود در بخش کشاورزی پیشنهاد می‌شود. به‌علاوه دولت قادر است نقش موثری در زمینه کنترل تورم و محافظت در مقابل نوسانات قیمت و افزایش انگیزه برای سرمایه‌گذاران جهت افزایش سرمایه‌گذاری ایفا نماید.
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