سنجش میزان پایداری اجتماعی در نواحی روستایی (مطالعة موردی: دهستان پایین‌ولایت شهرستان کاشمر)
محورهای موضوعی : مطالعات برنامه ریزی شهری و منطقه ایالیاس چهرازی 1 , علی منظم اسماعیل پور 2 , مهدی قانعی زارع 3
1 - دانش آموخته کارشناسی ارشد جغرافیا و برنامه ریزی روستایی، دانشگاه بیرجند، بیرجند، ایران
2 - استادیار گروه جغرافیا و برنامه ریزی روستایی، دانشگاه پیام نور، تهران، ایران
3 - دانش آموخته کارشناسی ارشد معماری، واحد کاشمر، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، کاشمر، ایران
کلید واژه: تکنیک تاپسیس فازی, پایداری اجتماعی, روش دلفی فازی, شاخص ذهنی, نقاط روستایی بالای 1000 نفر,
چکیده مقاله :
مفهوم توسعه پایدار را می‌توان حالتی از تعادل و توازن میان ابعاد مختلف توسعه دانست که هدف آن برآورده کردن احتیاجات و بهبود بخشیدن به شرایط کیفی زندگی انسان است. از این روی دستیابی به توسعه پایدار، به منظور بهره‌برداری مناسب از منابع و ایجاد رابطه متعادل و متوازن میان انسان، اجتماع و طبیعت، هدف آرمانی برنامه‌ریزان و مدیران توسعه و به ویژه توسعه روستایی تلقی می‌شود. جامعة روستایی ما تحت تأثیر روندها و سیاست‌های دهه‌های اخیر دچار تحولات گسترده‌ای شده است، اما شواهد به گونه‌ای است که نشان از حرکت روستاها به سمت ناپایداری و به ویژه ناپایداری اجتماعی دارد. بر این اساس با بررسی نظری نوشتارهای توسعة پایدار و پایداری اجتماعی، اقدام به طراحی پرسشنامه ای جهت سنجش شاخص‌های ذهنی پایداری اجتماعی نواحی روستایی گردید که شاخص‌های آن با استفاده از روش دلفی فازی ارزش‌گذاری شده که با بکارگیری تکنیک تاپسیس فازی در سطح روستاهای بالای 1000 نفر ساکن و 384 نفر نمونه در دهستان پایین ولایت شهرستان کاشمر تحلیل شد، لذا روش شناسی تحقیق توصیفی و تحلیلی می‌باشد. در واقع در این مطالعه به دنبال یافتن بهترین روش برای تحلیل داده‌های ذهنی می‌باشد که یکی از سوالات اساسی پژوهش نیز می‌باشد. نتایج نشان می‌دهد که وضعیت مجموع شاخص‌های ذهنی پایداری اجتماعی روستاهای کسرینه و زنده‌جان در خوشة پایدار واقع شده‌اند و روستای عشرت‌آباد، خوشة مربوط به پایین ترین سطح پایداری اجتماعی را شکل می‌دهند.
The concept of sustainable development can be mode of balance between the different dimensions of development considered, which aims to satisfy the needs and improve the quality conditions human life. Therefore, in order to achive sustainable development, appropriate utilization of resources and the creation relationship balance and equitable between human, society and nature, the ideal aim development planners and managers, particularly rural development is to be considered. Rural population our, affect under trends and policy of recent decades transformations has been widely, but evidences show that rural areas tend to move toward instability – particulary social instability. Accordingly with reviewing theories of sustainable development and social sustainability, we designed a questionnaire in order to measure subjective social sustainability criteria of rural areas which its criteria has been valued using Fuzzy Delphi method and subsequently Fuzzy TOPSIS technique was used in order to analyze the villages over 1000 residents of PaeenVelayat rural district and in order to achieve this goal we distributed 384 samples among mentioned villagers of rural district. The methodology of research is Descriptive-Analytical. Results show that all social sustainability subjective criteria of Kasrineh and ZendehJan are placed in sustainable cluster, but the village AshratAbad zard are placed at least sustainable cluster.
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