Risk Assessment of Investments with Fuzzy Efficiency Indicators for Oil and Gas Production Industry
محورهای موضوعی : Mathematical EngineeringAli Zebardast 1 , Kiumars Shahbazi 2 , Amir Amini 3
1 - Department of Economic, Faculty of Economic and Management, Urmia University, Urmia, Iran
2 - Department of Economic, Faculty of Economic and Management, Urmia University, Urmia, Iran
3 - MSc. Graduate of Industrial Engineering, Alghadir institute of higher education, Tabriz, Iran
کلید واژه: investment, decision making, fuzzy theory, criteria, Risk Assessment, risk zone,
چکیده مقاله :
In the process of investment decision making, next to financial indicators many other aspects of investment projects are increasingly often considered. This leads to the multi-criteria evaluation of a project. The advantage of multi-criteria methods is the ability to take into account all (not only financial) aspects of the attractiveness of an investment project. The selection of criteria of project assessment must take into account the specificity of organization that makes a decision. Along with traditional method this paper introduces new approach for risk assessment based on each criterion characterizing the investment project on hydrocarbon resources exploitation.
در فرآیند تصمیم گیری سرمایه گذاری، در کنار شاخص های مالی بسیاری از جنبه های دیگر از پروژه های سرمایه گذاری به طور فزاینده ای اغلب در نظر گرفته میشود. این امر منجر به ارزیابی چند معیاری از یک پروژه میشود. مزایا روش های چند معیاری، توانایی برای در نظر گرفتن تمامی جنبه های جذابیت یک پروژه سرمایه گذاری است (نه تنها بخش مالی). انتخاب معیار ارزیابی پروژه باید وِیژگی سازمانی را تصمیم گیرنده می باشد، در نظر بگیرد. همراه با روش سنتی، این مقاله رویکرد جدیدی برای ارزیابی ریسک را بر اساس هر معیار توصیف پروژه های سرمایه گذاری در بهره برداری منابع هیدروکربنی معرفی میکند.
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