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      • Open Access Article

        1 - Mangroves Responses to Projected Sea-Level Rise Due to Impact of Climate Change
        Hana Etemadi
        Background and Objectives: In this study, we reviewed the state of knowledge of mangrove vulnerability and responses to predicted climate change impacts. It would be complex and difficult to identify response to sea level rise, increasing temperature and precipitation p More
        Background and Objectives: In this study, we reviewed the state of knowledge of mangrove vulnerability and responses to predicted climate change impacts. It would be complex and difficult to identify response to sea level rise, increasing temperature and precipitation pattern changes. Mangrove ecosystems are expected to exhibit a synergistic response to a combination of the climatic, anthropogenic and natural impacts Methods: Among all climate change impacts, relative sea-level rise may be the greatest threat to mangroves. Tidal gauge renege and the rate of sediment supply are the most important factors in mangroves forest response to the sea level rise. Results: If the compensation factors like surface sediment elevation augment did not work, mangroves seaward might depredate. On the other hand, the larger tide range in an area would result the lower mangrove damage. These responses would relate to the site-specific topographic properties which could determine possibility of mangrove landward migration. Most of the mangroves responses to the impact of climate change will be site-specific, also it would be impossible to extrapolate these responses from one place to other places. Discussion and Conclusion: Some of the adaptation measures in coastal areas against the climate change impacts include designing coastal defense systems such as embankments, planting and constructing mangrove forests, building flood facilities, retreating from the shoreline and managing the new shoreline, mapping risk and warnings and awareness to residents. Manuscript profile
      • Open Access Article

        2 - Predicting the effects of climate change on the distribution of mangrove forests in Iran using the maximum entropy model
        Raziyeh Ghayoumi Elham Ebrahimi Farhad Hosseini Tayefeh Mostafa Keshtkar
        Spatial modelling of distribution in the plant communities apply for predicting potential habitat areas and protecting species and determining the factors affecting their distribution. The study purpose is to determine the potential distribution of mangroves in Iran und More
        Spatial modelling of distribution in the plant communities apply for predicting potential habitat areas and protecting species and determining the factors affecting their distribution. The study purpose is to determine the potential distribution of mangroves in Iran under climate change. In this study, occurrence records for Avicenia marina as dominant species were collected and MaxEnt modeling was used to predict the distribution of mangrove forests. The result showed the most suitable areas for the mangrove distribution under current climatic conditions are the Oman Sea coasts and the eastern coast of the Persian Gulf from Gwadar Bay to the northern coasts of Qeshm Island and Nayband Bay in the southern part of Bushehr Province. In the year 2050, habitat suitability based on the RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 scenarios, on the eastern coasts of the Persian Gulf and the Oman Sea, will increase. Both current and future climatic conditions, the northern coasts of Bushehr Province and the coasts of Khuzestan Province were not defined as suitable habitats. The results can apply for the conservation plan and mangrove planting. Manuscript profile