List of Articles Poor and Vulnerable Groups

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  1 - Analysis of Drivers of Housing Provision in Vulnerable Groups with Emphasis on Foresight and Scenario Writing (Case Study: Tabriz Metropolis)
  Rahman Mahdavi Karim Hosseinzadeh Dalir Soheila Hamidzadeh Khiavi
  In today's world, more than half of the world's population, in addition to being centers of social, economic and spatial development, live in cities and towns. Housing as one of the most basic human needs plays a very important role in the peace and mental sec More

  In today's world, more than half of the world's population, in addition to being centers of social, economic and spatial development, live in cities and towns. Housing as one of the most basic human needs plays a very important role in the peace and mental security of social groups. In the meantime, the study and knowledge of the population and how they enter the period of need for independent housing is the main part of the need for housing. The purpose of this study is structural analysis of housing barriers for vulnerable urban groups in a case study of Tabriz metropolis. The method of the present study is developmental in terms of purpose because it aims to identify and construct a conceptual model of housing barriers in the city of Tabriz and has an exploratory nature. Also, in terms of data type, this research is a combination research (qualitative-quantitative). In order to collect data, statistical yearbooks, censuses of different periods, information of health centers and other valid information of related centers have been used along with completing a questionnaire. In the present study, cross-sectional structural analysis with MICMAC software has been used for future research and recognition of key indicators of the housing sector and Scenario Wizard software has been used to develop possible future housing scenarios in Tabriz metropolis. The results of the research show that during the period 2016-1976, the quantitative and qualitative indicators of housing in the city of Tabriz have improved. The results show the housing market management style, housing policies, land and housing prices, marginalization expansion, lack of mass housing supply, urbanization growth, rental rates, housing quality, private sector absence, population growth, political developments, unemployment, strategic indicators And are an effective key to providing housing for vulnerable urban groups in the metropolis of Tabriz. Finally, two scenarios were obtained as the most probable future housing scenarios in the metropolis of Tabriz. In the first scenario, we see the stability of indicators of housing management, housing policies, mass housing supply, urban growth, private sector presence in housing, population growth and political developments and rising land and housing price indicators, marginalization, rental rates and unemployment. The only indicator of housing quality in this scenario is a declining trend. Manuscript profile