Modeling the effects of economic development indicators in 22 districts of Tehran metropolis
arman moslemi
1
(
دانشجوی دکترا جغرافیا و برنامه ریزی شهری دانشگاه شهید بهشتی
)
jamileh tavakoli nia
2
(
Associate Professor, Department of Human Geography, Faculty of Earth Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran
)
zohreh fanni
3
(
Associate Professor, Department of Human Geography, Faculty of Earth Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran
)
lotfali kozehgar kaleji
4
(
Assistant Professor, Department of Human Geography, Faculty of Earth Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran
)
Keywords: Tehran, economic development, dispersion, Leveling, Urban Economy,
Abstract :
the most important and complex developments in the last half century is the rapid growth of urbanization and the problems that exist in the development of less developed or more developed cities. Inequality in having indicators of urban economic development changes the spatial structure of the city; Therefore, the purpose of this study is to model the effects of economic development indicators in 22 areas of Tehran. The present research is based on the purpose of applied research and based on the nature and method of descriptive-analytical research and the data collection method is collected as a field (questionnaire). The statistical population of this study was all the citizens of Tehran in 1400 who according to Cochran's formula 384 people were randomly asked as a sample. The validity of the questionnaire was confirmed by a panel of experts and Cronbach's alpha coefficient was used to evaluate the research variables and reliability of the questions. The reliability of the questionnaire of citizens and experts has been confirmed with values of 0.90 and 0.93, respectively. After conducting field studies, for data collection and data analysis from statistical methods (factor analysis and correlation analysis) was performed using SPSS software. In addition to the structural equation model (SEM) using the partial least squares method in software (SMART) PLS3) AHP technique and Expert Choice software have also been used to level the regions in terms of economic development indicators. The results of factor analysis showed that the four identified factors were able to explain 75% of the variance of the effects of economic development indicators on the 22 metropolitan areas of Tehran. The results obtained from structural equations showed that among all indicators of economic development, T-coefficients between indicators (welfare-trade, industrial, resources and mines and goods-services) are above 1.96, ie the relationship between independent and dependent variable dimensions in the sample population with 99% confidence Confirmed. The results obtained from the AHP technique in the Expert Choice software showed that the highest score of the economic development index belongs to the 3rd district of Tehran and the lowest coefficient belongs to the 17th district.
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