Future studies to determine the components of the model in higher education

Subject Areas : Futurology

Marziyeh Niaz Azari ¹

1 - عضو هئیت علمی دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی واحد قائم شهر

Received: 2012-07-04 Accepted : 2012-09-19 Published : 2015-08-22

Keywords: Future study, evolution theory of ultra-syst, theory of triple vision of the, knowledge theory, information and knowledge -inf, theory of change,

Abstract :

In the third millennium era of globalization, the increasing growth of information andcommunication, rapid changes, organization such as higher educational institutions have to facechallenges. One of the key components to dealing with conflicts, collisions and challenges isfuture studies that encompass all aspects of the study and research in the future. The purpose ofthis study was to determine the components of future study and present model for highereducation in the country. To accomplish this goal, questions have been proposed as follows: What are the main components of future study in higher education? What model can be offered for future study in higher education? How is the degree of appropriateness of the model from viewpoint of selected sample?The research was descriptive - survey one. The population consisted of all directors, deputydirectors and faculty members of Islamic Azad University so that, sample size was calculated bythe formula 400 persons and was done multiple stages randomly, But by taking account a 10%loss of them, 407 questionnaires were distributed and examined. Data was collected by aresearcher made questionnaire which its validity was confirmed by related experts. Thereliability was calculated by Cronbach's alpha was 0.80. Data were analyzed using correlation,coefficient of determination, Kruskal-Wallis statistical test and, then the model consist ofphilosophy and objectives, theoretical foundations, administrative procedures and evaluationsystem was designed. Theoretical of models were including of the evolution theory of ultrasystem,theory of triple vision of the future knowledge system, knowledge theory, informationand knowledge -information and dynamic knowledge-information theory, theory of change.Four groups of samples have given high scores to the sub test, and the model has beendiagnosed appropriate with an average 87/25percentage. The highest scores were related to theimplementation and the evaluation and re-engineering. Other factors also have not scored lessthan 86.