Anticipation of Fuel Consumption Social Costs in Railroad Transportation with the Application of ANFIS, Time-Series, and Structural Models

Subject Areas : environmental management

Received: 2008-01-10 Accepted : 2008-06-25 Published : 2009-06-22

Keywords: Regression, ARIMA, ANFIS, Time-Series, Fuel Consumption, Social cost,

Abstract :

Among the main factors affecting the development of different modes of transportation are the direct and indirect costs which should be taken into account in short-, medium-, and long-term plans. The fuel consumed in transportation sector is a significant factor in producing such costs. The main goal of the present study is to estimate and foresee the social costs of fuel consumption in railroad sector using ANFIS, time-series, and structural models. In this research study, such social costs are taken into account and anticipated till the year 2011. The results show that ANFIS model provides us with the best anticipation.