Comparison of Signaling the Types of Profit and Their Impacts on Excess Stock Returns
Subject Areas :
Atiyeh Alikhani
1
,
Afsaneh Soroushyar
2
1 - Department of Accounting, Isfahan (Khorasgan) Branch, Islamic Azad University, Isfahan, Iran
2 - Department of Accounting, Isfahan (Khorasgan) Branch, Islamic Azad University, Isfahan, Iran. Corresponding
Received: 2022-12-30
Accepted : 2023-03-03
Published : 2023-03-21
Keywords:
Excess stock returns,
Investor Learning,
Keywords: Signaling of Profit,
Abstract :
AbstractPredicting stock returns is one of the main concerns of investors, because by this means they can get higher returns at a certain level of risk. Analyzing the information content in financial statements leads to increase the investor learning and changing the signaling of profit. This change can cause investors to change their perspective in using alternative measures of net income, such as gross profit and operating profit, and affect the acquisition of excess stock returns. Therefore, the purpose of this research is to compare the signaling of net income, gross profit and operating profit and compare the effect of profit on the excess returns in companies listed in the Tehran Stock Exchange. The research hypotheses are tested by regression analysis based on panel data, the five-factor model of Fama French (2015) and using the sample data includes 135 companies Listed in Tehran Stock Exchange. The results revealed that the net income signals are higher than the operating profit. The research result also indicates the net income signals are higher than the gross profit. Another result shows that net income has a greater ability to generate excess stock returns than gross profit and operating profit.
References:
فهرست منابع
ایزدی نیا، ناصر، سیدکمیل طیبی و علی اکبر کاشف، (1391)، "تعیین توان سود عملیاتی و تغییرات آن در تبیین و پیشبینی بازده سهام؛ مورد بازار بورس اوراق بهادار تهران"، دانش حسابداری، 3(9)، صص 7-33
بلگوریان، میثم، بابک حاجی زاده و مجید افشاری راد، (1400)، "مقایسه عملکرد نظریه قیمتگذاری آربیتراژ مبتنی بر ریسک نامطلوب و مدل بتای پاداشی در پیشبینی بازده سهام شرکتهای پذیرفته شده در بورس اوراق بهادار تهران"، اقتصاد مالی، (56)15، صص 25-58.
دسینه، مهدی، یداله تاری وردی و فرزانه حیدر پور، (1398)، "تأثیر معیارهای مبتنی بر حسابداری ویژگیهای سود بر ریسک نامطلوب سود"،پژوهشهای حسابداری مالی و حسابرسی، (41)11، صص 153-176
رحیمی، محمد و ابوالفضل شاه ابادی، (1394)، "جریان اطلاعات و پیشبینی پذیری بازده سهام"، دانش مالی تحلیل اوراق بهادار، (27)8، صص15-33
سعیدا اردکانی، سعید و محمد سالاری ابرقویی، (1394)، "رابطه بین محافظهکاری و کمتر قیمتگذاری عرضههای عمومی اولیه"،پژوهشهای حسابداری مالی و حسابرسی، (28)7، صص 87-114
مرادزاده فرد، مهدی و ناهید محرم زاده، (1396)، "آزمون تئوری علامتدهی و تئوری سودهای پیشین در رابطه میان تقسیم سود و سودآوری آتی"، دانش حسابداری مالی، (4)4، صص 101-118
نوذرپور، محمود و امیررضا کیقبادی، (1400)، "مدلسازی قیمتگذاری توزیع اطلاعات بر مبنای محدودیت تأمین مالی، استراتژی تجاری و راهبری شرکتی با رویکرد معادلات ساختاری"، پژوهش های حسابداری مالی و حسابرسی، (51)13، صص 187-214
_||_
Akbas, F., Jiang, C., & Koch, P. D. (2017), “The Trend in Firm Profitability and the Cross-section of Stock Returns”, The Accounting Review, 92(5), PP. 1-32.
Ball, R., Gerakos, J., Linnainmaa, J. T., & Nikolaev, V. V. (2015), “Deflating Profitability”, Journal of Financial Economics, 117(2), PP. 225-248.
Bhattacharya, D., Li, W. H., & Sonaer, G. (2017), “Has Momentum Lost Its Momentum?”, Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 48(1), PP. 191-218.
Bushman, R. M., Lerman, A., & Zhang, X. F. (2016), “The Changing Landscape of Accrual Accounting”, Journal of Accounting Research, 54(1), PP. 41-78.
Cakici, N., Chatterjee, S., Tang, Y., & Tong, L. (2021), “Alternative Profitability Measures and Cross-section of Expected Stock Returns: International Evidence”, Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 56(1), PP. 369-391.
Chiu, P. C., & Haight, T. D. (2020), “Investor Learning, Earnings Signals, and Stock Returns”, Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 54(2), PP. 671-698.
Chordia, T., Subrahmanyam, A., & Tong, Q. (2014), “Have Capital Market Anomalies Attenuated in the Recent era of High Liquidity and Trading Activity?”, Journal of Accounting and Economics, 58(1), PP. 41-58.
Collins, D. W., Maydew, E. L., & Weiss, I. S. (1997), “Changes in the Value-relevance of Earnings and Book Values over the Past Forty Years”, Journal of Accounting and Economics, 24(1), PP. 39-67.
Dichev, I. D., & Tang, V. W. (2008), “Matching and the Changing Properties of Accounting Earnings over the Last 40 Years”, The Accounting Review, 83(6), PP. 1425-1460.
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (2015), “A Five-Factor Asset Pricing Model”, Journal of Financial Economics, 116(1), PP. 1-22.
Givoly, D., & Hayn, C. (2000), “The Changing Time-series Properties of Earnings, Cash Flows and Accruals: Has Financial Reporting Become more Conservative?”, Journal of Accounting and Economics, 29(3), PP. 287-320.
Green, J., Hand, J. R., & Zhang, X. F. (2013), “The Supra View of Return Predictive Signals”, Review of Accounting Studies, 18(3), PP. 692-730.
Johnson, W. B., & Schwartz, W. C. (2000), “Evidence that Capital Markets Learn from Academic Research: Earnings Surprises and the Persistence of Post-announcement Drift”, Available at SSRN 255603.
Lev, B., & Zarowin, P. (1999), “The Boundaries of Financial Reporting and How to Extend Them”, Journal of Accounting Research, 37(2), PP. 353-385.
Liu, D., & Yadohisa, H. (2018), “Capturing Profitability in Asset Pricing Models for Japanese Equities 1994-2016”, International Journal of Economics and Finance, 10(5), PP. 254-260.
McLean, R. D., & Pontiff, J. (2016), “Does Academic Research Destroy Stock Return Predictability?”, The Journal of Finance, 71(1), PP. 5-32.
Milian, J. A. (2015), “Unsophisticated Arbitrageurs and Market Efficiency: Overreacting to a History of Underreaction?”, Journal of Accounting Research, 53(1), PP. 175-220.
Novy-Marx, R. (2013), “The other Side of Value: The Gross Profitability Premium”, Journal of Financial Economics, 108(1), PP. 1-28.
Richardson, S., Tuna, I., & Wysocki, P. (2010), “Accounting Anomalies and Fundamental Analysis: A Review of Recent Research Advances”, Journal of Accounting and Economics, 50(2-3), PP. 410-454.
Subrahmanyam, A. (2010), “The Cross‐section of Expected Stock Returns: What Have We Learnt from the Past Twenty‐five Years of Research?”, European Financial Management, 16(1), PP. 27-42.
Srivastava, A. (2014), “Why Have Measures of Earnings Quality Changed over Time?”, Journal of Accounting and Economics, 57(2-3), PP. 196-217.
Sloan, R. G. (1996), “Do Stock Prices Fully Reflect Information in Accruals and Cash Flows about Future Earnings?”, Accounting Review, PP. 289-315.
Zwieg, J .(2013), “Have Investors Finally Cracked the Sock-picking Code?”, Wall Street Journal 2B1